A Heart Black as Toxic Coal Sludge

It’s a real-coals-to Newcastle situation writing one more diatribe against Senator Joe Manchin, seeing as just about everyone has something to say about the man these days — but seeing as I did I deep dive on him this past weekend, and we have news today that he has a plan to leave the Democratic Party, bombs away!  In truth, after absorbing what I could of the man’s history and recent maneuvering against the Democratic Party agenda, there’s not much I have to say about the man himself that hasn’t already been said.  But one detail that I’m surprised people don’t play up more is that not only does Manchin actively make money from owning companies in the coal industry, the specific focus of these businesses is on second-hand, more-toxic-than-normal coal left behind or generated following the mining of good old regular Joe Blow coal.  And so I am unable to shake the idea of Manchin as a bizarro universe analogue to the Joker, who rather than falling into a pool of toxic sludge as his origin story, decided instead to sell that nasty toxic sludge, and make his fortune off the ruination and debilitation of West Virginia’s lands and people.

Manchin truly embodies a particular American mindset hardly unique to him.  Writers like Jamelle Bouie have rightly dissected the senator’s worries about America becoming an “entitlement” society if the Democrats pass too many social and economic programs, with his general point being that a millionaire who dictates the writing of laws that just so happen to benefit his personal business interests, with nary a reservation about the blatant corruption this entails, seems to fit far better the idea of someone who feels “entitled” than an ordinary citizen who receives government assistance in order to afford child care, get an education, and contribute to the actual greater good of American society.  

More particular to the overlords of extractive industries like oil and coal, Manchin’s sense of entitlement extends to his sense of immunity to the environmental ravages of West Virginia — ravages that are both the direct and indirect results of his commitment to coal as an energy source and money maker.  From mountaintop removal that obliterates ecosystems and poisons drinking water, to the climate change-fueled rains that are drowning West Virginians out of house and hollow, commitment to coal mining and coal power plants is increasingly a literal death sentence for citizens of his state.  The (also literal) rising tide besetting West Virginia casts a sinister light on the fact that Manchin lives aboard a yacht while in Washington, D.C., but whose official homeport is Charleston, as if he were a millionaire doomsday prepper ready take full advantage of the state’s soon-to-be submerged highways and byways.  

Reading coverage from even just last month, before Manchin really brought the hammer down on any climate change legislation being included in the Build Back Better Act, the writing was already etched on the wall.  The combination of acknowledging human-caused climate change, while proposing nonsense measures like paying coal plants to switch to natural gas, while also generally signaling that we really have to slow it down on all this saving the earth from total destruction stuff, is so nakedly self-serving, but also, crucially, delusional.  There is simply no road to a habitable planet that includes the continued fetishization of fossil fuels just because they make a handful of people filthy rich. That is crazy, not the idea of getting our power from wind and solar. It also brings into focus the predatory and feudal attitude Joe Manchin has toward his own constituents, as if they deserve nothing better than to dig for coal and man the rowboats when the inevitable floods come in.  Posing as their savior and protector of their way of life, he is in truth an accomplice to their doom.  As others have pointed out, Joe Manchin could have gotten his voters almost anything he might have asked for, in exchange for his support of measures he might otherwise oppose — but when given the chance to be West Virginia’s version of Jesus Christ, the Easter Bunny, and Santa Claus all rolled into one, Manchin couldn’t see beyond just giving everyone another lump of coal. 

Mitch McConnell Provides Official Cover for Right-Wing Intimidation of School Boards

We’ve talked a lot here at The Hot Screen about the ongoing transformation of the GOP into America’s authoritarian party, and the basic fact that Republicans have continued to build this movement against democracy even though Donald Trump is no longer in office.  Indeed, the cracked notion that Trump is actually our rightful president and had the office stolen from him by corrupt Democrats is now a key tenet of the Republican Party.

The move toward lawlessness isn’t just coming from GOP congressmen and other elected officials, though.  In recent months, we’ve also seen right-wing parents and others attempt to pressure local school boards on covid-related matters (such as opposition to masking and vaccination requirements) and the teaching of American history that includes references to slavery or racism.   The latter effort is embodied in supposed opposition to the teaching of critical race theory, which in reality isn’t even taught at the elementary or high school level at all.  These two broad concerns are, not coincidentally, also central emphases of the authoritarian GOP.  In fact, there’s plenty of evidence that these protests are being encouraged and organized at least in part by right-wing interests such as Turning Points USA and the DeVos Family Foundation.

It’s not surprising that right-leaning parents, aided by right-leaning groups, are attempting to drum up the appearance of a mass parental movement against vaccine and mask mandates associated with Democratic governance, or against the purported poisoning of white student brains with accurate knowledge of American history.  And while these objectives are insane and fundamentally racist, respectively, giving voice to these ideas is hardly out of bounds in and of itself; of course parents have a right to express their thoughts and feelings about what they want their children to be taught. What is out of bounds, though, is the effort not to debate the goals of education, but to harass and intimidate school board members and teachers, including through the threat of violence — which marks this movement as one in which parents are not so much arguing in good faith for certain educational standards for their children, as asserting their right to a style of fascist politics in which might makes right and the ultimate goal is to intimidate your opponents from fighting back or participating in a reasoned debate.  And when you add in the role of right-wing corporate groups encouraging this violence, a dark and damning picture emerges of the authoritarian threat we face.

The situation has become so bad that, a week and a half ago, Attorney General Merrick Garland directed “the F.B.I. and U.S. attorneys’ offices to meet with local officials over the next month to coordinate a response to the threats,” and noted that such actions “are not only illegal, they run counter to our nation’s core values.”  For once, the Biden administration seems to be acting with dispatch against clearly illicit right-wing agitation against American society.

Garland’s order also had the benefit of fleshing out the relationship between GOP elected officials and the illiberal effort to intimidate schools on basic matter of public health and the teaching of American history.  Senator Mitch McConnell pretended that Garland had ordered federal law enforcement to suppress parental free speech, writing to the attorney general that, “Parents absolutely should be telling their local schools what to teach. This is the very basis of representative government.”  McConnell’s misdirection, by cutting out reference to the actual violence and harassment that prompted Garland’s action, effectively gives cover and encouragement to that violence and harassment by pretending it’s not happening, and that the U.S. government is engaging in tyrannical overreach.  McConnell was not alone in his highly misleading condemnation; Florida Governor Ron DeSantis essentially echoed the senator, stating that, “Florida will defend the free speech rights of its citizens and will not allow federal agents to squelch dissent.”  Rather than joining the attorney general in condemning violence against civil servants and educators, both McConnell and DeSantis promoted a false story about a federal crackdown on parents that will likely encourage even more violence and intimidation.

McConnell and DeSantis provide further, chilling evidence that the Republican Party now sees violence as key to its political future, and that supposed grassroots efforts to intimidate opposition to this authoritarian party and movement have the protection of GOP leaders.   This is a high-risk strategy, depending greatly on the reluctance of journalists and media outlets to fully report on the party’s embrace of violence, and willingness to accept statements like McConnell’s and DeSantis’ at face value, rather than the dog whistles to further violence that they are.

Such politicians are also depending on the Biden administration and Democrats not to press this case.  It’s notable that Garland’s effort to confront what is essentially right-wing violence has provoked efforts by GOP leaders to provide cover for this violence.  This is yet another piece of evidence that we are no longer in the realm of peaceful democratic competition between our two major parties, and that the Democrats had better quickly form a coherent and comprehensive strategy for dealing with the fact that the GOP sees violence as just another tool in the toolbox, just as the party has also decided that subversion of elections is an acceptable way to gain power.

Paradoxically, the perceived need to resort to violence and harassment of their opponents, as dangerous as it is for American politics and society, is also the ultimate sign of the basic weakness and failure of the contemporary GOP, and of the roots of the authoritarian movement that has overtaken it.  Lacking majority support for morally reprobate ideas like white supremacism and vaccine resistance, enforcing such beliefs through the rule of the gun and rigging our elections system are the remaining, twinned ways forward.

How to End an Insurrection

Through the course of this year, I’ve tried to argue that the single most important fact of American politics is that the right-wing insurrection that burst into view on January 6 never ended, but has continued on multiple fronts to this very day.  At its dark heart is the contention by most GOP elected officials, the Republican base, and right-wing media that the Democrats stole the 2020 presidential election from Donald Trump.  This purported theft of an election has been used as justification for unprecedented efforts by GOP state lawmakers not only to suppress the votes of Democratic-leaning voters, but to manipulate formerly non-partisan activities like the counting of votes.  

One basic reason that the term “insurrection” is the proper description for these efforts, rather than, say, just for the violence perpetrated by the thousands of Trump supporters who stormed the Capitol on January 6, is because they are based on the rejection of the verified 2020 election results.  This is not simply hardball or dirty politics; there is simply no difference between rejecting election results and rejecting American democracy.  The clincher is that this Republican movement that rejects American democracy is simultaneously putting in motion plans to capture power even if it gets less votes, through manipulation of those elections.

There has been a lot of great reporting on the various GOP maneuvers, but this recent piece by Robert Kagan is a standout for its clear summary of the various elements of this anti-democratic movement and the dangers it poses.  Kagan also effectively elucidates perhaps the central reason why so many people are having trouble clearly seeing what amounts to the greatest crisis of American democracy since the Civil War (which itself is arguably part of our crisis): 

With the party firmly under his thumb, Trump is now fighting the Biden administration on separate fronts. One is normal, legitimate political competition, where Republicans criticize Biden’s policies, feed and fight the culture wars, and in general behave like a typical hostile opposition.

The other front is outside the bounds of constitutional and democratic competition and into the realm of illegal or extralegal efforts to undermine the electoral process. The two are intimately related, because the Republican Party has used its institutional power in the political sphere to shield Trump and his followers from the consequences of their illegal and extralegal activities in the lead-up to Jan. 6.

Kagan neatly describes the dissimulation at the heart of our crisis: GOP politicos continue to behave as the “legitimate political” opposition, even as simultaneously condone efforts to undo democracy itself.  This doubleness of the GOP approach, so clearly stated, in turn illuminates the parallel crisis we are also experiencing: the failure of the Democratic Party to acknowledge and confront the basic insurrectionary nature of the GOP, and instead to continue engaging with the Republican Party as if its sole identity were that of a GOP practicing “normal, legitimate political competition.”

This blindness has also undermined the Democrats’ ability to effectively respond to the ongoing covid pandemic.  The idea that Republican governors and other elected officials would oppose covid mitigation measures out of a desire to harm the Biden presidency and the Democrats’ prospects in 2022 and beyond seemed beyond the pale to most Democrats at the beginning of the year; yet at this late stage it seems unquestionable, given GOP criticism of Biden’s inability to quell the spread of the virus, that many in the GOP view their ability to prolong the pandemic, and its accompanying economic malaise, as key to their hopes of reclaiming the House and Senate in 2022.  Indeed, the GOP’s sabotage of efforts to control the coronavirus — such as by opposing masking and vaccination mandates — is arguably another front in their insurrection against American democracy, an effort to hobble Democratic governance so that they are better positioned to press forward an authoritarian playbook amidst the resulting public disillusionment and economic disarray.

I note the GOP’s malpractice around covid because it helps us understand the limits to viewing the GOP’s insurrection as “merely” a matter of the Republican Party attempting to subvert the levers of government to maintain power despite only being supported by a minority of the American electorate.  It’s a glaring example of how the GOP plays by an entirely different rule book that reaches beyond opposition to democracy, to encompass even the sacrifice of public health in the pursuit of power — including, increasingly, the disproportionate suffering of Republican-leaning voters and their families, as the pandemic increasingly ravages unvaccinated, red-shaded areas of the country.  And it is of a piece with the GOP’s increasing use of violence and intimidation to achieve its political ends, such as in the various efforts at the county level to intimidate both election and public health officials at public hearings — behavior that has now resulted in a request by AG Merrick Garland that the FBI begin addressing the issue.

Because the GOP’s assault on democracy and the common good extends far beyond attempt to subvert the gears of power, the proper response must do so as well.  Ironically, because Kagan’s piece is so effective at describing the Trumpist-Republican uprising as an attack on the mechanisms of government, it’s helped me see how this is an insufficient way to view our crisis.  After all, even if the Democrats in Congress were somehow able to pass legislation that prevented voter suppression and partisan gerrymandering, this would only blunt the right-wing political onslaught, and perhaps only temporarily, as repeal of these laws would always be a lost election away.

This is not to say that opposing and defeating GOP election subterfuge shouldn’t be the highest priority of Democrats — it certainly should be, and count me among those who are somewhat maddened that the party didn’t seek election reforms just as soon as Biden and the new Congress took office, when the depredations of the Trump years and the ignominy of January 6 were still relatively fresh in the public consciousness.  But there is still time for them to do right, and political interest alone should impel Democrats to protect free and fair elections in 2022 and beyond, once they have worked through the rollicking sausage-making party of the Build Back Better and bipartisan infrastructure bills.  

But it’s imperative to recognize that the GOP’s election sabotage is the spear-tip of a broader movement — a movement that sees Donald Trump as its figurehead and leader, as Kagan rightly emphasizes, but that also extends far beyond him.  The fascistic hero worship may be new, but the essential authoritarianism so central to this movement is vintage GOP, a strain found from the Nixon presidency and its emphasis on law and order, through the modeling of George W. Bush as a wartime president, through its recent Trumpian incarnation and the resurgence of overt law and order rhetoric and substance.  Deeply intertwined with the authoritarianism is a deep misogyny that was previously glimpsed in right-wing opposition to the Equal Rights Amendment and more recent GOP indifference to providing childcare that might allow mothers to provide for their families without risking exhaustion and penury.  There is also an enormous strain of Christianist belief, that sees the United States as an exclusively Christian nation, and yearns to blur the separation of church and state to privilege the beliefs of this particular religion.

But at its glowing toxic core, burning away many of the conflicts of its adherents (such as class and religious denomination), is a fundamental commitment to white supremacy, a tribal vision of the United States in which the only real Americans are white Americans, and in which non-whites are seen alternately as resources to be exploited, criminals to be demonized, or competitors to be neutralized.  As the American population grows more diverse, white Americans feel their status increasingly threatened (indeed, polls show that most white Americans believe they are no longer a majority in the country, even though demographers predict that shift is still decades away).  

Recognizing the white supremacist, authoritarian movement that is powering the specific anti-democratic actions rightly calls into question the sufficiency not only of the Democratic response that aims to fix and strengthen our election procedures, but of the tacit Biden administration response that the key way to win future elections is by ensuring broad prosperity among working class and middle-class Americans.  These two Democratic strategies aim to empower and engage the Democratic majority that already exists in this country (7 of the last 8 elections having seen the Democratic president win the popular vote); the second in particular also aims to persuade some percentage of Republican voters to reward the Democrats for bringing them financial security.  Overall, this strategy is the stuff of regular politics, indistinguishable from what would be ideal were the party not facing an authoritarian nemesis.

Yet the very reasonableness and rationality of this approach, its basic conservatism, do not adequately respond to the challenge of an energized, reactionary GOP movement, in which a huge chunk of the electorate believes that its status and livelihoods are endangered so long as Democrats, and Democratic voters, hold power.  This approach by Democrats does not fully recognize the conscious solidarity that so many Republicans have with each other, and the degree to which the vision of common prosperity promised by the Democrats might be seen as a threat to their relative status.  How can millions of Trump voters consider the Democrats to be good for them if, even though they themselves might prosper in absolute terms, brown and black Americans appear to be catching up to them in relative terms of wealth and power?  To much of the Trump base, what most Democratic politicians and voters would consider an ideal vision of America would constitute not just failure, but an increased threat to them, the culmination of their worst fears.  Beyond the racial element, Democratic governance that promotes gender equality will surely arouse resistance from the misogynists of the GOP, while a defense of secularism and an ecumenical attitude toward religions will validate Christianist concerns that godless atheism is on the march.

Likewise, a Democratic approach of “normal” politics risks lulling the Democratic base and Democratic-leaning independents into a false sense of, well, normalcy.  Behavior like continuing to fetishize bipartisan legislation — such as with the “hard” infrastructure bill whose fate is being decided even as I write this — and otherwise acting as if congressional Republicans were not providing cover for their renegade confederates in state capitols who are busily rolling back voting rights and doing what they can to lock in permanent power — is a grotesquely unwarranted gift to the GOP.  In the mistaken name of dialing down the temperature or other such nonsense, the Democrats are telling their own voters that it might be fine to vote for the GOP at some point, or at least that it doesn’t totally matter if they show up to vote for the Democrats.  The reality is this: so long as the GOP is embarked on a mission to secure minority rule in America, it will never be fine to cast a vote for this authoritarian party.  Any messaging otherwise supports authoritarianism, and even (indirectly) abets the ongoing insurrection, by helping the GOP falsely cloak itself under the guise of republican virtue.

It is not just that the Republicans intend to subvert democracy so that they can hold power even when they aren’t supported by majorities, as bad as that subversion would be.  It is that they would then be able to enact laws that would attempt to impose the substance of their movement on the nation, beyond its anti-democratic dimensions — a regressive, hateful vision of misogyny, race hatred, and a twisted religious outlook that has very little to do with the basic teachings of Christianity itself, all united in a push to elevate the Republican base while punishing and diminishing the diverse Democratic majority.  This basic fact seems sometimes to be lost in the discussions that emphasize the importance of defending free and fair elections.  It is not just that power gained in such a way would be illegitimate; the governance and policies that would follow would embody racist, anti-egalitarian principles that are fundamentally opposed by a majority of Americans.  

Given the stakes, Democrats and other defenders of American democracy can’t confine themselves to confronting only Republican legislation: they need to attack head on the foul ideologies of Trumpist authoritarianism — to name them, to make them explicit, and to expose them to the scrutiny of justice, reason, and solidarity.  The goal of this attack is to discredit and demolish these ideas in the public sphere, as far as can be effected.  In this sense, Democrats need to discard prior notions of political competition.  They don’t just need to win elections — they need to win the battle of ideas.

To do this, it’s not enough to define and dismantle Trumpist ideas, as important as that task is.  It’s equally pressing that Democrats publicly articulate the positive, egalitarian worldview that underlies much of Biden’s economic and social agenda — the idea that no matter your race, wealth, gender, sexual identity, or physical ability, our government and our society will help lift you up, will help you contribute to your own development, and in turn to contribute to the common good.  Far from being a “radical” or “communist” idea, as the GOP will doubtless continue to assert, these values are arguably simply the basic ideas of any healthy community.

As both an example of what I’m suggesting, and as a central issue in and of itself, Democrats need to publicly discuss the changing demographics of American society, in which white Americans constitute a decreasing share of the population.  This basic demographic fact has supercharged white identity politics, to the point that observers have noted that Donald Trump was the first president in modern times to more or less explicitly portray himself as the president of white America, as the instrument of their fears and grievances.  Suppressing or failing to acknowledge the psychic importance of this change to the collective white psyche will only empower those politicians and media figures who wish to amplify white fears through fearmongering and neo-Nazi “white replacement” craziness.  Rather, the Democrats needs to talk about these changes, to facilitate open and honest public discussion, and ultimately to give voice to the enormous potential of these changes: that a more diverse, more egalitarian America will lift all Americans, that diversity will strengthen us, that more democracy will benefit the vast majority of Americans.  The grander the vision, the better — after all, the U.S. has the chance to be a shining example to the rest of the world, a multi-ethnic democracy that models a democratic future for nations everywhere.  This goal is something to proclaim, to shine like a beacon against the tribalism and cruelty of Trumpism in the U.S. and the welter of fascist and authoritarian movements abroad.

The objective is not just to persuade Americans of a vision that can unite us, but to essentially raise the consciousness of Americans so that they see themselves as part of a vast and historic movement; that they see Americans with whom they otherwise might not feel a connection as fellow citizens in a grand civic enterprise.  Even as the GOP activates white tribalism and works to turn Americans against each other, Democrats should ceaselessly work to remind Americans that they are already part of a greater nation than the Republican Party can ever offer — one where America isn’t hobbled by white supremacy or “makers versus takers” rhetoric, but includes everyone who wants to be a part of it.

By clearly articulating — and working toward — a clear vision of a democratic, egalitarian America, the Democratic Party also sets itself up to confront the worst case scenario that we can no longer discount as a remote possibility: that Republican election subversion will result in the GOP gaining control of Congress and the presidency in coming years, and that the party will then employ that control to cement its position in a way that shuts the Democrats and any other opposition out of power permanently.  By articulating a clear line in the sand now as to what is and is not legitimate democratic behavior, and of an unbridled vision of American democracy and society, the Democrats will better position themselves to remove the GOP from power through a combination of de-legitimization, mass resistance, and moral suasion. For the good of the country, Democrats need to be playing a long game.

Democrats on the Verge

For anyone who cares about the economic and political future of the United States, or the survival of human life on planet earth, the last week has been a real nail biter.  With razor-thin control of both the House and Senate, Democrats have appeared to be teetering at the edge of failure to pass legislation that could meaningfully reform the American economy and set us more solidly on a path to decarbonization.  I’ll confess to being deeply stressed by the see-sawing struggle between House moderates and progressives, and by the prospect that either Senator Joe Manchin or Senator Kristyn Sinema might single-handedly gut the Democrats’ best efforts.  On the economic front, the U.S. badly needs both “hard” infrastructure spending on things like bridges and roads, and “soft” infrastructure like child care and education that will help Americans in their daily work lives for the long-term good of the country.

But the nearer-term political consequences of failure could also be catastrophic.  If the Democrats cannot get the bulk of their economic agenda passed, it will create a strong headwind against the party in the 2022 midterms, demoralizing the party’s base and clearing the way for GOP takeover of the House and Senate.  This, in turn, would energize the authoritarian movement that has consumed the Republican Party, encouraging a new wave of anti-democratic actions across GOP states, while also crippling President Biden’s ability to get anything substantive done in the lead-up to the 2024 election.

Counterintuitively, though, the Democrats’ agonized push to not only pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill, but the much larger Build Back Better Act with its broad mix of economic and social spending, signals a positive, profound shift in the direction of the party.  As much as I might lament that Biden and other Democrats chose to make bipartisan cooperation a priority for the infrastructure bill, the fact that the vast majority of Democrats are on board with passing Democrats-only-backed legislation in the BBB Act is a huge deal.

If anything, the party has been underselling the boldness of this legislation, which represents not just a vision of greater economic equality and productivity, but also an accompanying democratic vision.  By mobilizing the power of government to support the economic well-being of ordinary Americans, the BBB Act represents democracy in action, as it serves the majority who put the Democrats in power to serve their interests.  And at another level, increasing the economic power of lower and middle class Americans will also increase their political power relative to the millionaire and billionaire classes that have twisted so much of American politics to their priorities.

Democratic leaders, and Democratic voters, should not lose sight of the fact that the policies they’re trying to enact are broadly popular among the American citizenry, and that these policies in fact are the legislative outcome of a de facto social movement, as fragmented as it might be, towards greater social and economic justice in this country.  One of my personal revelations in recent years has been that our society, economy, and democracy have been profoundly crippled by the suppression of individual opportunity, often based on lines of race and class.  Of course, this has only been my personal revelation because these ideas have been discussed, analyzed, and propounded by many, many sociologists, historians, and activists, whose ideas, with the power of truth, have filtered into public consciousness and seized the imagination of increasing numbers of Americans, opening our eyes to the reality around us.  

This means that whatever the outcome of the current legislative negotiations, there must be no backing down from the far-reaching goals that most Democratic senators and representatives now support.  The fight against climate change strikes me as the single most non-negotiable element in the current legislation.  We are at the point where it is reasonable to treat not only climate change deniers, but those who have no plan to combat climate change, as simply insane, and irrelevant to the public discussion.  Reality is on the side of the Democrats — as is also the case for legislation that makes the economy fairer, and treats ordinary Americans as deserving the backing and full faith of their government.

The fraught negotiations also reinforce how Democrats need to keep the fight for American democracy, and against GOP authoritarianism, front and center.  Even as the Democrats have effectively worked to normalize the GOP by prioritizing the importance of a bipartisan infrastructure bill, the Republican Party has continued down its path towards political radicalization, with state legislatures continuing their assault on voting rights and fair elections.  The fact that the Democratic House majority is so narrow is due in part to Republican gerrymandering and voter suppression, creating the illusion that the Democratic Party is less popular that it is; if the Democrats are to push even more ambitious legislation in the future, they can only do so by ensuring free and fair elections going forward.  There can be no economic advances without advances in democracy.  

Energy Imbalance

Recently, The Hot Screen has become fairly obsessed with a fundamental fault line in our politics: even as the GOP base and elected officials urge each other on to greater and greater opposition to American democracy, in a clear cycle of radicalization, Democratic leaders continue to respond sluggishly to this crisis, and have so far appeared either unwilling or unable to energize the Democratic base to provide a countervailing force against a rising tide of Republican authoritarianism.  Even if Democrats manage to pass some version of voting protections, which I am not at all counting out, and which could help turn back the tide of gerrymandering and voting restrictions passed by GOP state governments since the start of the year, this would still leave unaddressed the question of how to ensure Democrats and independents surge to the polls in 2022 and beyond.

At Talking Points Memo, David Kurtz has a concise but striking post on a new CNN poll that documents what Kurtz refers to as the “urgency gap” between rank-and-file Democrats and Republicans on the matter of America’s democracy crisis.  When asked whether democracy is under attack, some 75% of Republican voters said yes, while only 46% of Democrats responded in the affirmative.  Assessing these and other results of the poll, Kurtz writes:

We often talk about the enthusiasm gap in electoral politics, but we now face an urgency gap. Republicans under Trump have not only succeeded in selling the lie that Democrats are out to destroy democracy, they’ve got Republicans more stoked about it than Democrats are about the verified, believe-your-own-eyes threat to democracy that reached its current pinnacle with a GOP-led violent attack on the Capitol to subvert an election.

[. . .] [T]hat polling question is a strong signal that rank-and-file Democrats are taking their cues from the slow-footed, ambivalent, conflicted response of elected Democrats – not the other way around (though it probably functions as a self-reinforcing feedback loop).

This is such a great, pithy encapsulation of the perverse phenomenon I’ve been trying to document over the past several months, in which the GOP is just much more enthused about overthrowing democracy than Democrats are about defending it.  Kurtz is dead-on that this polling supports the contention that Democratic officials are failing to communicate the stakes to their constituents.  Why this might be the case, and how to resolve this “urgency gap” (itself a useful shorthand for describing this issue), are interrelated issues that desperately need to be addressed if we are to effectively defend democracy in this country.

First, to be fair, I think the Biden administration, and by extension its allies in Congress, are in something of a bind in responding to Republican radicalism.  Biden built his candidacy on restoring both normalcy and partisan comity to America after the horrors of the Trump years.  While this hardly stopped him from savaging the former president during the campaign, or from criticizing the GOP, it did set out a framework for how Joe Biden would proceed to govern.  Unlike his predecessor, the new president would not be stirring the pot of American politics on a daily basis, would not be not amping up his political rhetoric and fomenting cultural war conflict.  The new president would also look to the GOP as an equal, legitimate partner in government, both as part of his mission to turn down the political temperature, and out of the reality of a closely-divided House and even more closely-divided Senate.

In theory, Biden’s strategy made sense, not just for the good of the country, but for the good of the Democrats.  A politics that is less emotional, less angry, would open up space for Democrats’ traditional strategy of appealing to voters’ rational, material interests: by stopping the coronavirus and reviving the economy, Democrats would bring tangible benefits to the great majority of Americans set back or threatened by the covid-Trump economy.  And the massive government spending contemplated under the Build Back Better act could reasonably be anticipated to act as both symbol and substance of a new sort of politics, in which a powerful government role in promoting broad-based prosperity and equality could energize not only Democratic-leaning voters, but begin to peel away GOP voters who benefitted from the legislations’ manifold programs.  It’s also important to note that the emphasis on climate change-related spending could also reasonably be expected to reap political dividends from the increasing numbers of voters who prioritize the fight against global warming.

Given all this, why should it matter if there’s an urgency gap between Democratic and Republican voters on the question of whether our democracy itself is badly in need of being defended?  If the Democrats can win without their voters being as riled up about defending democracy as GOP voters are about upending it, what’s the problem?

The approach of attracting votes by benefitting voters’ material circumstances gives short shrift to some glaring realities.  First, in state after state, Republicans have worked assiduously since last year’s elections to ensure that the nightmare of majority rule is not repeated.  From extreme gerrymanders based on the 2020 census results, to voter suppression aimed at primarily Democratic constituencies, to efforts to subvert the mechanisms of elections and the counting of votes, the GOP is rewriting the rules of democracy in favor of locking in permanent Republican power, impervious to the will of the voters.  As writers like Brian Beutler and others have been hammering, it really doesn’t matter if most voters want to reward Democrats for the economic good they’ve done if the GOP ensures that their votes don’t count.  You can’t benefit from the support of the majority if the opposition party subverts majority rule.  Just as it’s self-defeating for the Democrats not to prioritize protection of elections, it's also self-defeating for them to discourage, or at least not to activate, a sense of urgency among Democratic rank and file that could pressure hesitant Democrats to support voting rights legislation, as well as incentivize grassroots involvement that could counteract GOP efforts to subvert election machinery at the state and local levels.

Second, Democratic over-emphasis on American politics as a limited contest between GOP and Democratic visions for providing Americans with material benefits badly undersells the stakes of elections in 2022 and beyond.  The GOP and its base are driven not simply by a false sense that Democratic-leaning voters and Democrats are taking away their job prospects and wealth (e.g., the Democrats are “socialists” trying to redistribute wealth from the “makers” to the “takers”), but more broadly by a white grievance politics that increasingly sees all possible measures as being on the table to stop the growing cultural and political power of non-white Americans, and to restore the social and economic preeminence of white Americans.  Throw in the deeply-rooted misogyny of the GOP and the avowed belief in America as a Christian nation, and top it off with the GOP’s barbaric opposition to science and reason, and it’s easy to see that America’s deepest conflicts are rooted in conflicting systems of values and morality, not in what party can best bring home the bacon.

I would contend that GOP voters see these full stakes more clearly than Democratic voters, and that they’re reflected in the CNN poll results cited above; after all, it’s not simply that Republicans believe the lie that the Democrats stole the 2020 election, but that they increasingly believe it’s actually unacceptable that Democrats might have won, since Democratic governance — governance by a party that supports the equal political rights of non-white Americans — is illegitimate on its face.  In this way, the fight over “American democracy” is as much a struggle over which Americans can be considered actual members of this democracy, as it is over whether or not non-white Americans can effectively exercise their right to vote.

So how to close the urgency gap, given the underlying stakes of our political conflict?  I generally think that Democrats are mistaken in not more explicitly discussing the demographic shifts that are supercharging the white supremacism and white insecurity that have always been present in American society.  This has left the field wide open for the GOP alone to define these changes in a way that appears maximally threatening to white voters — to portray them as unambiguously threatening to the social status and economic security of white Americans.  Counterintuitively, even as Democrats have largely chosen not to overtly discuss the demographic changes sweeping America — perhaps out of fear of alienating some of their own white voters or adding credence to GOP voters’ fear and anxiety — they have arguably abetted Republican efforts to exploit these fears.

Ironically, the counter-narrative is not difficult to articulate, and has the benefit of being grounded in reality: that America is strengthened by its diversity; that an economy in which everyone is able to contribute will create national wealth that will lift all boats; and that a politics in which all may participate on an equal footing represents a moral vision in keeping with the best traditions of this country.

It feels absolutely bonkers to me that, in the midst of a titanic struggle over the direction and nature of American democracy — indeed, a struggle over whether we’re to be a democracy at all — the Democratic Party would shy away from trying to define the roots and reality of this struggle, particularly when their opponents have no qualms about doing so.  And after the insanity of the Trump years, when we got a preview of the authoritarianism, unbridled white supremacism, incompetence, and violence that will surely ensue should the current GOP ever regain full national power, this reluctance moves from the category of incomprehensible to borderline incompetence.

This is why recent signs that the Biden administration and Democrats may be seizing on the Republicans’ sabotage of the covid fight as a path to energizing the Democratic Party’s base leave me with a mixture of hope and ambivalence.  As Greg Sargent argues, California Governor Gavin Newsom’s resounding defeat of the Republican recall effort was based not only on foregrounding Democrats’ tough measures against the coronavirus, but also because “Newsom and Democrats [. . .] aggressively prosecuted the case against conservative and Republican radicalization when it comes to resisting public health measures.”  Sargent continues: “A big question here is whether the derangement of Republicans around covid could be a kind of substitute energizer for Democratic voters at a time when Trump — who supercharged turnout among those types of voters in the 2018 and 2020 elections — is not on the ballot.”

In other words, making an issue of GOP covid sabotage can be seen as a way to make the case against the GOP’s broader incompetence and authoritarian tendencies, in a way that many Americans could not only easily understand, but that also riles them up emotionally and so boosts the likelihood they will vote Democratic in 2022.  My hesitation is not that I don’t think this is an effective argument — it’s no exaggeration to argue that the Republicans have the blood of hundreds of thousands of Americans on their hands due to their lies and propaganda around covid — but that it potentially gets the Democrats off the hook from articulating an even broader indictment against the GOP, and an even broader vision for Democratic governance.  Persuading voters that the GOP will inflict mass death through disease on the country should they return to power could well be a powerful motivator in 2022; but will it counter the reality that GOP voters themselves are energized by the very tribalism represented by the GOP’s unabashed covid policies, in which literally dying to own the libs is now part of the party’s playbook?  

But the apparent effectiveness (in California at least) of emphasizing GOP radicalism via the specific issue of the covid fight does suggest to me that the Democrats may be well served by making the broader case against GOP authoritarianism, white supremacism, and anti-science tribalism through concrete, readily-grasped real world examples beyond the important but limited matter of pandemic malpractice.  It’s probably too much to ask that Joe Biden lead seminars on how exactly white supremacism has poisoned the souls of millions of Republican voters; but I don’t think it’s too much for him and other Democrats to say explicitly that a country in which millions of Americans aren’t able to work up to their potential makes the whole country poorer, that the GOP’s anti-science attitudes that undermine the global warming fight are deeply linked to the party’s belief in the inferiority of non-whites, and that the party’s obsession with banning abortion is profoundly linked to white supremacist ideas of white women not producing enough babies to outnumber the brown hordes.  Challenging the GOP’s zero-sum racist thinking — if black or brown people have more power, white people are threatened—can’t be left unchallenged, or be handled merely by indirect approaches.

Twenty Years After 9/11, Will the U.S. Finally Confront the Folly of the War on Terror?

The 20th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks seems to have catalyzed a broad assessment among even middle-of-the-road political observers that the overall American response to the attacks has had dire consequences that stretch far beyond foreign policy, warping the fabric of American life and the nature of our politics.  I’ve been startled to read pieces like this one by Stephen Collinson at the CNN website, which includes the observation that, “[T]he thousands of deaths and injuries in foreign wars, the trillions of dollars spent on nation building, fury at Washington elites and prejudice against Islam brewed a pool of resentment ripe for a demagogue. And along came Donald Trump.”  Even George W. Bush seemed to gesture at the connection between the war and the rise of political extremism in the U.S., though I doubt that Bush would ever accept responsibility for this terrible domestic development.  No doubt the coincidence of the American withdrawal from Afghanistan just weeks ago has focused minds and attention in a way that the 20th anniversary alone may not have — as has the recent publication of Spencer Ackerman’s Reign of Terror: How 9/11 Destabilized America and Produced Trump, which has created a strong framework for critical thinking about 9/11 and the war on terror. 

I haven’t done any sort of exhaustive reading of 9/11 commentary over the past few weeks, but I’ve read some excellent and informative pieces discussing the folly of the global war on terror, including the above-mentioned piece by Collinson; this damning essay by Garrett Graff; this very Vox-like piece at Vox by Dylan Matthews evaluating whether the global war on terror has been worth the cost; and interviews of Spencer Ackerman by Sean Illing, Chris Hayes, and Ezra Klein that provide a good distillation of Ackerman’s Reign of Terror.  

However, there are several points that I haven’t seen given the attention they merit, particularly in mainstream coverage of the 20th anniversary of 9/11; collectively, I believe these under-discussed threads help explain, at least in part, why the dire consequences of 9/11 continue to ramify even as consciousness of the ill effects of the war on terror has never been higher. 

First, the continued insistence that Americans were “unified” for some time after 9/11 confuses the collective horror and resulting activation of basic patriotic sentiment (“we’re all in this together”) with how the Bush administration quickly warped this unity into a cudgel to attack its political opponents and build support for the disastrous war in Iraq (“you’re either with us or against us”).  It is the difference between an organic sense of feeling united in the face of a great horror and harm, and a political administration consciously constructing a politics in which to oppose the administration was to oppose America.  In the months and years after 9/11, the latter form of unity quickly replaced the former.  And in the way that the Bush administration channeled remaining feelings of solidarity into a thirst for revenge to support its political goals, whatever sense of unity remained became indistinguishable from embracing a dark and unhealthy set of impulses that included rage, paranoia, and bloodlust.

The perversion of American unity points to a second aspect of 9/11’s aftermath that remains deeply repressed: despite the very real Bush administration interest in using the attacks to enact a vision of America as a sort of hyperpower astride the globe, the administration and its allies in the Republican Party were even more enraptured by how they could ride conquest and perpetual war into dominance in American politics.  Promoting the idea that anyone who opposed the Bush administration’s radical decisions to occupy Afghanistan and invade Iraq was disloyal and un-American wasn’t just a way to maintain support for its foreign adventures; it was a way to shape American politics so that to oppose the Bush administration on any issue was to oppose America itself.  A central goal was to stomp the living bejesus out of the Democrats by either making them passive bystanders of the Bush vision, or into despicable enemies of America; either way, the GOP would come out ahead.  The ultimate distillation of this strategy was Bush’s now-infamous declaration of victory in Iraq a mere two months after the American invasion, in which a “Mission Accomplished” banner was unfurled across the bridge of the USS Abraham Lincoln as Bush landed on the carrier’s flight deck and announced the end of major combat operations in that country.  The fact that Bush’s use of war as a conscious political strategy ended up backfiring, as the disaster of Iraq became impossible to deny, renders his form of hypernationalist, authoritarian politics no less despicable.

Twenty years on, the country also seems unwilling to admit the basic immorality at the heart of the war on terror ignited by 9/11: the idea that any number of non-Americans, whether terrorists or civilians, can legitimately be killed so long as it’s done in the name of keeping Americans safe.  In a better country, the nature of the 9/11 attacks would have led to the opposite conclusion: that the only way to respond to such barbarism was to avoid mirroring the terrorists’ own inhumanity at all costs, to do everything possible to make sure that the only people harmed in the American response were those who deserved it, and to take every precaution to avoid the loss of civilian life.  The brutality and nihilism of al-Qaeda’s attacks called for any American response to repudiate indiscriminate violence.  Instead, the Bush administration determined to out-terrorize the terrorists, embarking on wars that to date have killed hundreds of thousands of innocents, displaced millions more, and consumed $8 trillion in U.S. spending.

The indifference to mass civilian death, not only by the war on terror's executors, but also by too many Americans, is closely linked to the essential racism of the war.  Brown-skinned people overseas are simply not considered fully human, or at least as human as Americans, which is a distinction without a difference.  This aspect of the war on terror remain broadly unacknowledged.

Finally, the war represented a tragic mis-assessment of the dangers most threatening the United States in the 21st century.  By elevating the threat posed by future Islamist terror attacks to an existential level, U.S. policymakers enmeshed the country in a global war on terror that continues to the present day, despite the withdrawal from Iraq and Afghanistan.  This war preoccupied the nation even as a true existential threat was allowed to gather force while the country dawdled: and so, in the two decades after 9/11, traumatic climate change moved from possibility to inevitability, as the U.S. and other nations of the world continued to emit carbon into the atmosphere without meaningful measures to slow or stop the damage.  Now the necessary response to climate change may yet involve a war-like mobilization of the United States, but of a far different kind than the global war on terror: one that seeks alliances and the input of friends; is based on the preservation and equality of all human life; and requires the dropping of not a single bomb.

Portland Mayor Does a Head-Spinning Reversal on Anti-Right Wing Gang Strategy

Recently I described the unfathomable decision by the Portland Police Bureau, with the support of Mayor Ted Wheeler, to allow far-right street gangs to brawl with counter-protestors on Portland streets without the intervention of law enforcement.  In the ensuing chaos, gunfire was exchanged between participants downtown, while neighbors in the Parkrose neighborhood were traumatized by rolling fights and property damage.

Amazingly, in the immediate aftermath of the violence, Wheeler insisted to the public that the police strategy had actually been a success.  As I wrote at the time, “It is startling that the mayor thinks that the terrorization of a Portland neighborhood counts as a success if actual casualties were confined to the brawlers.”

Now, weeks later, Wheeler has reversed his previous assertions that the police adopted the correct strategy.  At a city council meeting on Wednesday, he said that, “It is clear based on the public outcry, on the media outcry, on the national front, that that strategy was not the right strategy. I think we can all acknowledge that.  I take full responsibility for it.”  Oregon Public Broadcasting also reports that, “Wheeler said he’s asked the police bureau to provide a ‘thoughtful, dispassionate analysis’ of the bureau’s approach to the demonstrations.  ‘We’re still trying to find the right recipe,’ he said.”

While Wheeler’s acknowledgment of obvious error is welcome, it needs to be weighed against his nonsensical earlier response to the clear failure of the police strategy, as well as his mistaken endorsement of it prior to implementation.  It should not require a “public outcry, media outcry” for the mayor to recognize facts as plain as these.  Alongside reports that the PPB will be exempted from the covid vaccine mandate that supposedly applies to all city employees (according to OPB, this makes Portland the only major U.S. city with a special vaccination exemption for police officers), Wheeler seems once again unable to provide proper oversight or control over the police bureau he heads.  If the mayor is truly unable to direct Portland police to perform such an unobjectionable task as protecting Portland residents from terrorization by violent street gangs, he should seriously consider looking for another line of work.

Democrats Should Never Play Defense on Coronavirus Pandemic

For the duration of the coronavirus pandemic in the United States, the Republican Party has been incentivized to downplay the severity of the crisis and the necessity of an effective government response.  The former impulse has been driven by the party’s need to give cover to the former president’s catastrophic mishandling of the disease, the latter by the GOP’s knee-jerk opposition to activist governance and an ideology that privileges “keeping the economy open” over saving lives.  Neither of these observation should be controversial, as the evidence for them is overwhelming.

But after Joe Biden’s election, these two toxic streams merged with a third, poisonous torrent: the need to undermine a Democratic presidency by any means necessary.  Not only would waging a war against masking and giving tacit approval to vaccine resistance rile up the GOP base, it would have the real world effect of slowing America’s recovery from mass death and economic malaise.

The idea that the GOP would effectively undermine common-sense measures aimed at saving thousands of American lives in order to promote their political interests only sounds controversial or extreme if you ignore the bountiful evidence of the last nine months, not to mention the GOP’s sociopathic rhetoric on the coronavirus during the final, deadly year of the Trump administration.  And yet, the great majority of political observers, and certainly elected Democrats, have been deeply reluctant to discuss what is emerging as perhaps the most salient fact of American politics, or at least one that gives fierce competition to the GOP’s transformation into America’s authoritarian party: that in the great chess game of American politics, many Republican leaders have shown little hesitation in literally sacrificing American lives as pawns in a quest to retain and regain political power.

But as Greg Sargent discusses in a post at The Plum Line today, Democrats seem to be starting to grasp that they can no longer avoid a reckoning with the Republican Party’s deadly pro-covid policies.  He reports on a new Democratic congressional strategy memo that calls for foregrounding GOP sabotage on the coronavirus front: 

The memo from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee directly ties GOP extremism on covid to the health of the country — and, importantly, to our prospects for economic recovery and a return to normalcy.

“House Republicans have lied about its impact” and “dangerously rejected medical guidance to wear masks and social distance,” the memo says, adding that “extremist Republicans” have “even encouraged Americans to consume horse and cattle dewormer.”

House Republicans and GOP candidates have spread disinformation about the virus, have staged epic fake-outrage fests about mask mandates, have demagogued about vaccines in ridiculoushallucinogenic and obscenely wretched ways, and have pushed the rankest of absurdities to undermine confidence in federal health officials.

Crucially, Sargent notes that the Republican Party itself has made clear it intends to use President Biden’s purported failures on the coronavirus pandemic as a primary strategy in the 2022 midterms.  In other words, having worked assiduously to undermine the country’s response, the GOP now plans to turn around and place all the blame on the Democrats.  In this light, the Democrats would seem to have no choice but to go on offense to ensure voters understand the reality of the situation.  But beyond this, it’s hard to see how Democrats can make the case that they have addressed the pandemic if they also fail to make a case against the pandemic’s aiders and abettors in the GOP.   As Sargent says, doing so wouldn’t just be for the good of the party, but for the good of the country.

As Sargent summarizes, the memo could help Democrats move to making the case that “electing more Republicans to positions of responsibility right now would likely mean more economic malaise, sickness, misery and death.”  This would be exactly the right strategy.  In fact, I think there is little downside in staking out a maximalist position about the horrors that would await America should the GOP return to national power.  Foregrounding covid will likely be necessary as we get closer to the 2022 midterms, since even if we are past the worst of the pandemic we will still be dealing with its after effects and continued GOP sabotage.  But the GOP’s covid response also effectively highlights the broader moral, political, and intellectual turpitude of today’s Republican Party.  Any discussion of it can easily encompass the GOP’s increasing embrace of lawlessness (for example, as anti-masking protestors attempt to intimidate authorities like school boards); its opposition to democratic governance (witness the GOP governors who won’t allow Democratic-led cities to pass masking ordinances); its disregard for science (which, apart from covid, has its most disastrous consequences in the party’s refusal to accept the reality of human-driven climate change); and its assault on free and fair elections (“the GOP wants to suppress your vote so that they can pass policies that ensure covid will continue threatening your family’s health and your ability to work.”)

While such a Democratic strategy wouldn’t miraculously transform the thinking of most GOP stalwarts, the demonstrable case for GOP incompetence may manage to peel off Republican voters for whom the infliction of mass death on the country is a bridge too far.  As Ron Brownstein notes in an Atlantic piece about Democratic emphasis on covid and vaccines in the California recall and the Virginia governor’s race, “Democratic strategists [. . .] say the emphasis on vaccine and mask mandates, and the linkage of Republican candidates to Trump and the anti-mandate GOP governors, not only appeals to independent voters but also energizes the Democrats’ base.”  But more importantly, applying this strategy at a national level would help lay bare the true stakes of 2022 and other future political contests for Democratic and independent voters in a way that could truly energize turnout and mass political engagement.  In a nation where arguably the most pressing single issue is whether nihilistic, anti-science voices are able to convince sufficient numbers of Americans not to get vaccinated or use common-sense measures like masking, we are beyond even the usual highly-torqued stakes of recent American elections.

Disorder in the Court

Though the Supreme Court’s ruling last week effectively assenting to the near-total elimination of abortion in Texas is shocking for its destruction of women’s rights, it portends a broader, frightening assault by the Republican Party against the basics of liberal democracy and a free society.  Particularly unsettling to me is the court’s refusal to dismiss outright the Texas legislature’s particular approach to destroying women’s rights; under the law, individual citizens enforce the abortion restrictions via civil lawsuits, in what many observers are describing as a form of “vigilante” justice, turning individual citizens against each other and creating a system of snitching akin to that found in authoritarian regimes.  Even worse, citizens are incentivized to act under the law because they stand to be paid a $10,000 bounty for reporting those who break the law.  As Michelle Goldberg persuasively describes, this encouragement of vigilante justice is part and parcel of a wider movement in the GOP:

Today’s G.O.P. made a hero out of Kyle Rittenhouse, the young man charged with killing two people during protests against police violence in Kenosha, Wis. Leading Republicans speak of the Jan. 6 insurgents, who tried to stop the certification of an election, as martyrs and political prisoners.

Last year, Senator Marco Rubio praised Texas Trump supporters who swarmed a Biden campaign bus, allegedly trying to run it off the road: “We love what they did,” he said. This weekend in Pennsylvania, Steve Lynch, the Republican nominee in a county executive race, said of school boards that impose mask mandates, “I’m going in with 20 strong men” to tell them “they can leave or they can be removed.”

Over the last several years, Republicans have taken a number of steps to legalize various forms of right-wing intimidation. Several states have granted immunity to drivers who hit people protesting in the street. In some states Republicans have given partisan conspiracy theorists access to election equipment to search for ways to substantiate accusations of voter fraud. They’ve also passed laws empowering partisan poll watchers, who have a history of intimidating both voters and election worker.  

Goldberg places the Texas law squarely in this demented vein, describing how the law will allow citizens to harass and intimidate those who assist women in seeking an abortion.  The end result, not surprisingly, is that the threat of harassment will effectively end even the pretense of abortion rights left in Texas — if anyone can launch a lawsuit based on their gut feeling that a woman is getting an abortion after six weeks, how many people would run such a risk to help her?  Capping off the sinister construction, such vigilantism is aimed at overturning a right still ostensibly protected by Roe v. Wade, which the Texas law’s 6-week pregnancy rule obviously runs afoul of.

Tellingly, the Texas abortion law and other maneuvers that Goldberg describes are an explicit perversion of democratic norms.  Citizens are encouraged to become politically active — what would generally be a positive thing in a democracy! — yet their activism has anti-democratic ends, aimed as it is at intimidation and the suppression of the rights of their fellow citizens.  The GOP is increasingly comfortable with subordinating the rule of law to the rule of force.  The prime exhibit for me remains the GOP’s broad indifference, if not outright support for, the events of January 6, when a Republican president instituted a violent coup against the American government — yet as dark and dangerous as that day was, the idea of encouraging millions of Americans to take the law into their own hands will have still more catastrophic and long-lasting consequences for our country.

The Editorial Board’s John Stoehr makes complementary points to Goldberg’s about the Court ruling, arguing that it’s of a piece with a pervasive lawlessness in the GOP that encompasses not only vigilante justice, but governors and legislatures that pass laws to prevent local communities from anti-coronavirus mask mandates, a general opposition to gun control measures of any kind, and the secretive nature of the abortion ruling itself that was clearly intended to avoid the repercussions of abortion restrictions opposed by a strong majority of the American people.  Stoehr makes the key point that this ruling not only undermines the rule of law, but the basic trust necessary for our society to function, writing, “By putting a bounty on the heads of people who aid and abet abortion-seekers, the law creates a market for snitching, turning neighbor against neighbor, family against family, giving bad-faith actors something to gain from treachery. Instead of making law that incentivizes service to the common good, Texas made law that incentivizes the moral corruption of social bonds.”  He also points out how these dangerous effects intersect with the means of the Court’s ruling, which came via the “shadow docket” process wherein the Court declines to include either its reasoning or subject the decision to the arguments of outside counsel.

So what in isolation would have been merely a catastrophic move by the Supreme Court — more or less eliminating abortion rights for women in Texas — also brings into sharper, chilling focus the broader authoritarian movement that has overtaken the GOP.  We can argue about whether the seeds of authoritarianism were always latent in the modern Republican Party (and I would respond with a YES), but no objective observer can now say that this is a party that adheres to democratic norms and the ideals of a liberal democracy.  I never thought that an effective overturning of Roe v. Wade would potentially be overshadowed by how it illuminated even deeper dangers to our democracy, or be rivaled by the idea that the Supreme Court would give its approval to mob justice — and yet this is our disorienting reality (as Stoehr notes, the Court’s decision, “was done in the shadows, and because of that, the Supreme Court risks becoming, if it is not already, a font of lawlessness and disorder rather than a sentinel of lawfulness and order”).

The idea that not only Republican politicians, but now GOP-appointed Supreme Court justices, are building a quasi-legal framework that dismantles both the rule of law, and a free and fair society, fills me with dread, and doubly so because the Democrats and other supporters of democracy seem so far behind the curve in responding to this existential threat.  The Nation’s Elie Mystal has a great Twitter thread making just this point on the abortion front:

Not having a plan for this day, from either the WH or Congress, only "looking into federal options" or "planning to bring a bill to the floor" now, is ITSELF malpractice.  Texas passed this law in MAY.  Mississippi has it's own Roe killing law in front of SCOTUS NOW.  Did you think they were JOKING?  Did you think these conservatives who have spent a generation trying to take away abortion rights were going to STOP? [. . .]  The Executive Branch has "whole of government" action plans for everything from alien invasion to LOTS OF SNOW. But they *didn't* have something on file, ready to DEPLOY, the moment women's rights were attacked in this country, LIKE RED STATE REPUBLICANS HAVE PROMISED TO DO?

While there’s some small gratification in seeing the House move to pass legislation codifying Roe v. Wade, there’s no way such a law is going to pass the Senate — and so Mystal’s points gain even greater resonance.  The Supreme Court has just assaulted the basic human rights of millions of Americans, and there is no immediate plan by the White House to protect the right to abortion of Texas women in the here and now?  As frustrating as the lack of a plan is the predictability that Mystal highlights. As he says, so long as Roe v. Wade is the law of the land, the executive branch should be guaranteeing the right to an abortion, whatever smoke and mirrors the Court’s ruling has put up (Mystal has a piece in The Nation that elaborates on possible ways the Biden administration can continue to ensure that Texas women have access to abortion). 

Dispiritingly, the lack of a Democratic response to Republican moves on abortion is echoed across a much broader range of political conflict.  As the GOP essentially mobilizes vigilante movements against voting rights, where is the Democratic national legislation to defend free and fair elections?  As GOP legislatures pass laws allowing drivers to mow down Black Lives Matter protestors, where is the federal legislation strengthening the right to protest free of physical harm?  As right-wing extremists assault members of the media, where is the federal legislation that ensures that those who attack a free press go to jail?  A year out from civil rights protests often handled in brutal and repressive fashion by police, where is the federal legislation requiring that no members of white supremacist groups are able to join law enforcement?  As the GOP mobilizes against the basics of our democracy, it is incomprehensible to me that the Democrats are not using their main levers of power — the ability to pass and enforce laws — to repel this wave of violence and intimidation. 

The threat to Americans’ freedoms isn’t something vague lurking over the horizon; it’s actually happening, here and now.  As Ron Brownstein describes, multiple states controlled by Republicans have already enacted right-wing agendas, including legislation meant to retain power even against the will of the majority — an authoritarian vision put into everyday practice.  For Democrats not to respond to this with federal legislation undoing this assault on basic freedoms and majority rule is, again, self-defeating and incomprehensible to me.

Likewise, as I’ve written before, Democratic politicians’ unwillingness or inability to rally the democratic majority, to mobilize the citizenry to the (mostly symbolic) democratic ramparts by getting involved with local and state politics, and to pressure their elected officials to defend democracy, may be the single most glaring failure of the Democratic Party today.  In light of the reality that the GOP is mobilizing a mass vigilante movement against American democracy, the continued Democratic consensus that they must treat the GOP as equal, good-faith partners in American democracy seems increasingly suicidal.  The Democratic failure to properly describe and frame the stakes of American politics today is astonishing, and only becomes more so when you consider that the principles I’m talking about — free and fair elections, freedom from right-wing violence, the right of women to bodily autonomy, just to name a few — are the clear majority position in the U.S.  In fact, positions like the GOP’s anti-masking zealotry and refusal to acknowledge, let alone act on, climate change, lead to a reasonable conclusion that the modern Republican Party simply cannot be trusted to protect the lives or livelihoods of Americans.  Meanwhile, a more detailed case could be made that the GOP constitutes a retrograde movement that rejects modern life, science, and individual liberty in favor of a white supremacist, Christianist, male-dominated hierarchical society.  The GOP’s turn to lawlessness is ultimately a sign of weakness, not strength, and there is simply no excuse for the Democratic Party not to make the stakes of our political conflict as plain as day to the American people, and rally the support of a clear majority to reinforce and reconstruct a vital American democracy that serves us all.

Portland Fumbles Response to White Supremacist Incursion

For anyone concerned about the rise of right-wing political violence in the United States, I strongly recommend these recent pieces from Oregon Public Broadcasting, Willamette Week, and The Oregonian for an object lesson in how politicians and police can completely mishandle the challenge.  A little over a week ago, Portland was the destination for a motley gang of Proud Boys and other violent white supremacists who had long planned a rally in the city.  Before their arrival, the Portland Police Bureau, backed by Mayor Ted Wheeler, who also serves as the police commissioner, stated publicly that they would not attempt to intervene in the event of any fights between the right-wingers and counter-protestors, except in the case of a “life safety emergency.”

In doing so, the city sent a signal not only to the Proud Boys and their ilk, but also to the misguided counter-protestors who seek physical confrontation with their right-wing nemeses, that they were free to turn parts of the city into free-fire zones of roving gangs and lawlessness — which is exactly what happened Sunday, as fights and mayhem ensued in both northeastern Portland and downtown.  In the Parkrose neighborhood, fights in a K Mart parking lot moved onto the property of nearby businesses, as well as Parkrose High School, where vehicles were vandalized.  Downtown, among clashes between right-wingers and counter-protestors, a man fired a gun; thankfully, no one was injured, and the police arrested him within minutes (the police say he wasn’t associated with any of the brawling groups).

Perversely, Mayor Wheeler proclaimed the police strategy a resounding success, saying, “With strategic planning and oversight, the Portland Police Bureau and I mitigated confrontation between the two events and minimized the impact of the weekend’s events to Portlanders.  In the past, these same groups have clashed with extremely violent and destructive results. This time, violence was contained to the groups of people who chose to engage in violence toward each other.  The community at large was not harmed and the broader public was protected. Property damage was minimal.’’

But these claims of success are contradicted by the actual events of the weekend.  Residents of the Parkrose neighborhood told reporters from Willamette Week and OPB of feeling traumatized by the violence and unsafe on their own streets.  Even absent outright violence against them, police decisions that turned over parts of one of Portland’s most diverse neighborhoods to groups who avow hatred for minorities, with the result being that Portlanders feared for their safety on the streets and in their workplaces, is incomprehensible and contemptible.  It is startling that the mayor thinks that the terrorization of a Portland neighborhood counts as a success if actual casualties were confined to the brawlers.

It is also incredibly difficult to believe that Portland police wouldn’t have responded if the Proud Boys and their compatriots had invaded a wealthier, and whiter, neighborhood.  As Zakir Khan, a Portland civil rights advocate, told the Willamette Week, “We learned lessons on Sunday that showed that East Portland and West Portland are treated like entirely different places, that one huge swath of the city will be disregarded and unprotected.  When you say you are not going to put a police presence in between groups that are going to fight each other—and especially between a Proud Boys group that has shown a propensity for hurting innocent bystanders before—you are saying that you are willing to accept collateral damage as a city.”  Indeed, this is a theme that Willamette Week’s coverage captures very well — decision-making by the city that ended up allowing racist groups to rally and brawl in a diverse neighborhood.  

The shooting incident in downtown Portland, though, gives the lie to the idea that the hands-off approach by police was wise or justified.  Even if the man who fired his weapon was not connected to the day’s clashing groups, as the police state, Mayor Wheeler’s suggestion that violence can be easily confined to battling gangs still flies out the window when we consider that terrible piece of technology, the firearm, which is well know for shooting high-speed projectiles at long distances and hitting innocent bystanders.  It is completely within the realm of possibility that a non-participant might have been wounded or killed by the downtown shooting.  But it’s also unsettling to think that the mayor thinks that anyone who shows up to fight deserves what they get, even if what they get is a bullet in the head.

Police officials expressed concern that a police presence might inflame the protestors, but the protestors seemed self-inflaming even in their absence.  Police also suggested that they might become targets of the factions if they were to intervene, but this seems an inevitable part of the job of stopping violent individuals.  They also pointed to a depleted number of officers as one reason why police adopted their hands-off strategy, but it is hard to believe that an organization that still has more than 800 sworn officers could not handle the much smaller groups of brawlers involved in Sunday’s fights.

But this last police concern goes to a larger point raised by Amy Herzfeld-Copple, deputy director of programs and strategic initiatives at the Western States Center. Herzfeld-Copple told The Oregonian that, “It’s time for city and county officials and communities outside Portland to take responsibility for countering such violence.  Portland isn’t an island. It requires support from all levels of government.”  If Portland police really lack sufficient manpower to combat political violence, then other jurisdictions, including state support, should be requested.  And beyond this, political leaders in Oregon and beyond need to be asking hard questions about how to counter right-wing violence that denies Americans their basic liberties of safety, the right to work, and free movement.  The city and police are also making a grotesque error in continuing to conflate the threat from right-wing and left-wing protestors.  Only one side is dedicated to violent opposition to modern America and encompasses groups that participated in an actual armed insurrection against the U.S. government on January 6, which also included mass mob violence against law enforcement personnel.  Herzfeld-Copple notes that, “When there isn’t rule of law, when law enforcement doesn’t intervene to protect public safety, it only reinforces the lawlessness and fear that anti-democratic groups thrive on.”

City and police decisions to turn any section of Portland into a free-fire zone for brawling political factions are not compatible with public safety or a free and democratic society where we are all able to move about our neighborhoods and city, without Proud Boys or antifa types catching us in their crossfires, and causing us to fear for our physical well-being.  When the police and mayor decided to contain right-wing violence rather than disrupt it, they failed in their duty to the city.  The mayor’s statements that the Portland police achieved a great victory last weekend is the very definition of gaslighting, and ignores the lived reality of thousands of Portlanders that day.

What They Say in the Shadows

While major media’s excessive and uncritical coverage of Donald Trump’s 2016 presidential run was a catastrophe that very likely enabled his election — I am thinking in particular of CNN’s decision to run his campaign rallies unfiltered, providing millions of dollars in free advertising and priceless legitimization — the media may now be repeating the mistake in the opposite direction.  Just as some of the decision-making around Trump in 2016 was likely rooted in the belief that since he was unelectable, there could be no harm in excessively covering him in order to boost ratings and readership, a sort of parallel editorial judgment seems to exist today, in which ignoring or dismissing Trump’s post-presidential machinations is tacitly seen as the proper way to handle him.

But given that Trump was the first president in our history who attempted to remain in power by means of a coup, and has not yet been fully held to account for his actions, a tendency to write the former president out of the news also obscures the ongoing need for a national reckoning with his actions.  Trump has continued to publicly insist that the 2020 election was stolen from him, using the same falsehoods that supported his coup attempt to undermine the legitimacy of Joe Biden.  Propagation of this big lie is at the center of his ongoing attempt to rally an authoritarian, if not outright fascistic, movement that cannot be reconciled with American democracy, and in fact is democracy’s enemy.  And as if all of this were not sufficient reason to subject the former president to ongoing, critical coverage, Trump is clearly still the leader of the Republican Party, with high-ranking officials such as House minority leader Kevin McCarthy continuing to almost literally kiss his ring.

My 30,000-foot take is that we need more coverage of the former president’s ongoing activities - but coverage that contextualizes the words he speaks and the ideas he propagates within the reality that he’s at the center of an anti-democratic movement: a movement that encompasses both his personal cult of personality and the efforts of GOP elected officials to undermine voting rights and the electoral process for 2022 and beyond.  Because this movement is antithetical to the basics of American democracy, there’s no question in my mind that the press has a responsibility to communicate its unvarnished reality, and its dangers, to the American people.

I’m thinking about this today in particular because of an excellent Twitter thread by Laura Jedeed, in which she both describes and comments on the former president’s rally in Alabama this weekend.  While not an exact model for how other media might cover Trump — I don’t know if the average non-political junkie American needs THIS much detail! — her method is spot on.  No Trump line is communicated without providing context for its significance to Trump’s authoritarian project.  For example, she notes that Trump was introduced not only by a speech by Alabama Representative Mo Brooks that painted Democrats as enemies of the state, but also by playing a speech from the movie Patton that includes the lines, “The object of war is not to die for your country but to make the other bastard die for his.  All real Americans love the sting of battle!” (among Trump’s many offenses, we must now include making George C. Scott roll over in his grave).  Jedeed homes in on Trump’s efforts to portray the American departure from Afghanistan as a humiliating, shaming event for the country — a sensation that Trump has repeatedly invoked as part of his fascistic appeal to redeem a nation that has supposedly been crushed and betrayed by external and internal enemies.  If Trump plans to start using the Afghanistan withdrawal — which he authored — as part of his insistence on the failures of American democracy, then this strikes me as pretty newsworthy.

From what I’ve seen so far, coverage of the Trump speech by most outlets has centered on one small part of it, when told his listeners, “I believe totally in your freedoms, I do, you gotta do what you gotta do, but I recommend take the vaccines. I did it. It's good” and was booed in response.  But as Jedeed remarks, “If Trump doesn't come out against vaccines in the next couple days, he has more of a moral compass than I ever could have imagined.”  I am not holding my breath that he will ever repeat that unsuccessful line — as Jedeed neatly speculates, “That frosty silence wounded him to his core--a nightmare scenario for the man.”  Such coverage only bolsters my point — by emphasizing the one normal thing that Trump said (and that he likely will not say again), it normalizes him while underemphasizing the radical bulk of his speech.  A casual observer might conclude that the president is going around promoting vaccines, while the reality is that the president is going around promoting authoritarianism.  Is this really how a free press should defend democracy? 

Executive Indecision in Oregon

On a grand scale, the United States is acting out the cliche twist ending of horror movies, where the monster everyone thought well-killed comes back and embarks on a final round of slaughter against protagonists who prematurely stood down.  The coronavirus delta variant is pushing the United States toward record levels of infection and hospitalization, as a combination of letting down our collective guard and the reluctance of millions to do their civic duty by getting vaccinated have formed a perfect environment for the delta variant to spread.

Here in Oregon, the same overall vulnerabilities have led to a huge upsurge in covid cases, with the added ironic factor that because of Oregon’s previous relative success in stemming infections, there’s less natural immunity against the virus among those who haven’t been vaccinated.  The state hit a record daily high of 2,971 cases yesterday, and has averaged a pandemic high of 2,020 cases a day over the last week.  With 226 people in Oregon ICU beds, the state is now using 93% of its intensive care capacity.  Even more disturbingly, health officials predict that by early September, the number of people hospitalized for covid is expected to result in a 500-bed shortage in Oregon hospitals.  

But beyond the broader national factors that have made our state vulnerable, questionable policy decisions by local health authorities and Governor Kate Brown appear to have made the state’s population a sitting duck for this latest wave of death and disease.  As state health authorities warned of the dangers posed by the delta variant, county leaders across Oregon simply refused to support or implement the most basic, common-sense measures — such as requiring masking in public places —that could help slow the infection rate.  This cut the legs out from county health authorities, many of whom appeared wary of acting without political backing.  Instead, county officials averred their faith in the ability of Oregonians to make their own decisions to protect their health, even as evidence mounted that too many of those citizens were doing no such thing.  The refusal to implement countermeasures also inevitably signaled to Oregonians that there was no real threat to the public health, when in fact the threat was increasing and severe.  This lack of leadership and the decision to ignore basic science is now killing and sickening Oregonians.  

Fairly or unfairly, the mass incompetence of county level leaders placed the burden of action on Governor Kate Brown.  Until far too late, though, Brown declined to accept this burden.  As The Oregonian outlines, until this week, when she announced a statewide indoor mask mandate that goes into effect today, Brown continued to insist that local officials take the lead on coronavirus health measures — despite the fact that these same officials repeatedly indicated they would not, and never actually did.  (Yesterday, Brown also issued a mandate that teachers and health care workers in the state receive vaccinations by mid-October, following a mandate a week ago for executive branch workers to be vaccinated within the same time frame). Indeed, in a state where many local politicians tried to burnish their conservative bona fides by denouncing Brown’s health measures earlier in the pandemic, such resistance and health policy illiteracy was completely predictable.

Combined with warnings not just from Oregon state health officials, but from national officials as well, the reasons for Brown’s dilatory and insufficient action are hard to understand.  The most credible explanation is that she feared that faster, strong state-level action would result in a backlash, which is a point that Oregon Health Authority Director Patrick Allen has made:

Allen defended the lack of earlier intervention, saying a portion of the public has become unreceptive to warnings and wouldn’t have followed preventative measures a month ago, even if the governor ordered them.

“Even today, with what we know today with where our hospitalizations are, with the amount of disease in the state, the actions that the governor is taking are being characterized by some as ‘oppressive,’” Allen said. " ... A month ago, with the reality on the ground being what it was, we would have had a huge problem with trying to get some people to follow those” mandates.

If Brown in fact followed advice based on the idea that the only time you’re going to get public buy-in is when a surge is well under way, this would fly in the face of everything we’ve learned to date about how to get the coronavirus under control — by acting before it has had a chance to spread exponentially.  But equally bad is the possibility that Brown hesitated to act because of fear of non-compliance or backlash — in the face of county officials doing nothing, any action by the governor would be better than no action.  In fact, various county health officials have indicated how important it is for the state to act, in order to give them political cover at the local level to push protective measures.  

It’s also notable that the state GOP continues to push divisive, nonsensical, and anti-science responses to the pandemic.  The Oregonian reports that, “The Oregon House Republican caucus described both of the new requirements set by Brown, a Democrat, as ‘oppressive.’  Senate Republican Leader Fred Girod, of Lyons, criticized the governor Wednesday for what he characterized as a lack of clear standards.”  In a statement, Girod said that, “[T]hese mandates seem to be driven by left-wing activists who want a permanent pandemic to push forward unpopular policies.”  Girod’s remarks made me laugh out loud, but are also a reminder that anything Brown does will be met by the Republican opposition with vitriol and inflammatory lies intended to divide Oregonians.  In the face of this, Brown has a particular responsibility to stand up for science and common sense, even if it inevitably provokes a discredited opposition.

The comments of health experts regarding the state’s ability to flatten the curve in the coming weeks, even with the mask mandate, are not encouraging.  Let’s hope that Governor Brown is giving serious consideration to further measures, such as limiting the number of indoor occupants at retail businesses, and implementing vaccine requirements for leisure activities such as movie theaters and sports events.  This is not a local pandemic, but a statewide one, and requires a statewide response.  As overburdened hospitals in southern Oregon send patients to the Portland metro area, we’re reminded, as if we needed reminding, that we’re all in this together — like people keep saying, the coronavirus doesn’t care about borders, county or otherwise.  The governor is obligated to protect the state against the incompetence of local officials who have refused to do their jobs, and citizens blinded by ideology or disinformation from getting vaccinations that could stop covid in its tracks.

Delta Force

As we enter yet another wave of covid resurgence, this time fueled by the “I’m as transmissible as chicken pox” delta variant, and hear warnings that an even worse variant could emerge, the ability of health officials and political leaders to persuade Americans to get vaccinated and take mitigating action like wearing masks remains as urgent as ever.  Yet the dominant single fact of the U.S. response to this pandemic is that this public health effort has long been politicized and undermined by the Republican Party, ever since Donald Trump made denial of the severity of covid and the pandemic central to his re-election effort, as a way to excuse his incompetence in stopping its spread and to resist the economic restrictions that he saw as harmful to his re-election.  In a Republican Party that had come to view Trump less as a president and more as a figure of cult-like worship, Trump’s interests (and the interests of businesses who prioritized profit over saving citizens’ lives) became the interests of the GOP.  And so the GOP quickly became the Grand Old Party of covid denialism, the attitudes of Republican elites being reflected among the rank and file, and continuing in many ways to this day; according to a recent poll cited in a Vox article, “95 percent of Democrats are already vaccinated or want to get vaccinated, while just 50 percent of Republicans report the same.”

This has presented public health officials and Democratic politicians with a basic conundrum — how to take on anti-covid attitudes without triggering political resistance based on people’s identities as Republicans?  Among other things, this has resulted in a clear reluctance to critique Republican opposition to common-sense measures like vaccines and masking.  There has certainly been value in making good-faith efforts not to alienate Republican rank-and-file through such a strategy.

However, we’re at a point where Democrats need to seriously re-consider whether holding their fire against Republican politicians and right-wing commentators is doing more harm than good, both in terms of the immediate need to mitigate the delta surge, and from the longer-term perspective of holding the GOP accountable for propounding health policies that teeter somewhere between manslaughter and mass murder.   In Texas and Florida, governors like Greg Abbott and Ron DeSantis are apparently competing to determine which of them is the most incompetent GOP governor in the union, with Abbott forbidding localities from requiring mask mandates and DeSantis fighting to make sure unvaccinated kids don’t have to wear masks at school, even as covid cases in their respective states are soaring. Paul Waldman draws the line from their sabotage straight back to our former president, writing that the two governors “are using their power to prevent local officials from implementing basic public health measures in a highly selective way that is plainly molded around the obsessions of former president Donald Trump and his movement, not anchored in any genuine public interest rationale.” It also appears that Governor Abbott is concerned about appearing weak to right-wing voters in an upcoming primary fight should he reinstate anti-covid measures, leading to the very real possibility that he’s chosen to put his political future over the present lives of his constituents.

The current reality of the pandemic puts the facts squarely on the side of taking on Republican resistance more directly.  We are now a year and a half into this catastrophe, with plentiful evidence of what works and what doesn’t.  Beyond any reasonable doubt, vaccine reluctance and opposition to mitigation measures have demonstrably made the horrific scale of the delta wave possible — blowing up a tacit Republic strategy that the pandemic could be defeated by a lackadaisical approach that downplayed and undercut the most basic tools of public health.  However difficult and fraught the path may be, the Democrats must recognize that the Republican Party is effectively undermining the U.S. pandemic response, and needs to figure out a way to make GOP party leaders back down to prevent even more preventable loss of life.

Beyond this, the Democrats need to recognize that many Republican leaders have decided to continue politicizing covid, including promotion of anti-scientific attitudes, as a key strategy for winning the 2022 and 2024 elections.  The GOP will be all too eager to blame Democrats for any backsliding in the coronavirus fight, and Democrats need to counter this effort to rewrite the GOP's sordid history of undermining the national effort. As Greg Sargent writes, “The bottom line is that these Republicans are actively trying to polarize the country around covid, for nakedly instrumental purposes. That’s because in midterm elections, the angrier the out-of-the-White House party’s voters are, the more likely it is that their torqued-up turnout will swamp the more complacent in-party’s voters.”

So if the prevailing attitude up to now has been that Democrats needed to figure out how to de-politicize public health questions, clear evidence that Republican intransigence is prolonging the country’s suffering points to the opposite solution: that the Democrats engage more fully in the political aspects of the covid response.

First and foremost, this would involve critiquing Republican elected officials for demonstrably incompetent policies that are killing those officials’ constituents.  Sargent goes on to note that the Biden administration may be starting to grasp the need for such a course change; just last week, the president criticized the polices in Texas and Florida (though, as Sargent notes, without directly naming the states’ governors). Sargent writes:

[The] thinking inside the White House is plainly that this is a tough balance to get right. Escalating political brawls around these arguments could conceivably make it harder to get more Republicans vaccinated.

And yet, it’s fair game politically to call out all this bad acting. Democrats should stand squarely on the right side of what will inevitably be a cultural battle: If Republicans are actively working to polarize the electorate, Democrats have a responsibility to level with their own voters about the public threat posed by cynically motivated GOP anti-vax and anti-mask derangement.

Sargent’s last point dovetails with the case I tried to make last week: that Democrats have a tremendous interest in rallying their voters in a way that counters the ongoing GOP radicalization of its base.  On the covid front, Democrats should not allow overblown fears of further politicizing the pandemic response from reminding their voters that, just as Democrats are what stands between them and future insurrections, Democrats are also what stands between them and the pandemic spiraling out of control should the GOP return to power.  It would also be smart politics to remind voters that we would not be in nearly as bad a place with the pandemic were it not for President Trump’s failed leadership and promulgation of anti-masking attitudes that still haunt the country’s response.  This is a case where good politics is also good public health policy: the more Democrats can be encouraged to hammer their elected officials, and raise GOP concerns about a wipeout in 2022 and beyond due to Democrats mobilized by covid fears, the greater the possibility that the GOP will respond to such pressures.

But the arguments Sargent makes can be pushed even further.  Democrats have an interest not only in communicating to their own voters about the threat of bad GOP health policy, but to communicate this to the GOP’s rank-and-file as much as possible, with the goal of inducing those voters to put pressure on their Republican officials to reverse noxious policies, and to persuade some of them to switch to supporting Democrats in future elections (the possibility of which would also help impel GOP politicians to change their attitudes in the here and now).  

Suggestively, efforts by the likes of DeSantis and Abbott to double-down on deadly policies are happening at the same time that other elements of the GOP seem to be backing off their previous efforts to undermine vaccination efforts.  Talking Points Memo and others have noted what seems almost to be a coordinated initiative by politicians like House minority whip Representative Steve Scalise and talking head Sean Hannity to turn on a dime and talk about the benefits of vaccination.  The likeliest explanation for this turn is what has always been the greatest threat to Republican disinformation and obstructionism: reality.  As Josh Marshall describes at Talking Points Memo, “we can see a sudden collision between vaccine resistance advocacy, which has more and more become an emblem of Republican partisan affiliation, and the explosion of cases hitting hardest in regions with the lowest rates of vaccination.”  Whether through a sudden outbreak of having a conscience, or — far likelier — out of fear for their political futures as their constituents fear for their lives, some Republican officials and media figures are starting to see a downside to downplaying basic steps to ending the pandemic.  If the GOP is beginning to see political weakness in their covid attitudes, then this seems like a good time for the Democrats to exploit such weakness, both in the name of public health and political self-interest.  Joe Biden and Democrats in Congress will rightly be judged by voters for their handling of the coronavirus pandemic.  If Democrats fail to devise a strategy to confront the GOP’s politically-motivated efforts to undermine the country’s response, then the party and the public health will both pay the price.

Governor Brown's Hands-off Approach to Fighting Oregon Covid Surge Is Indefensible

Given the near-total county-level refusal across Oregon to enact new measures to combat the spread of the delta variant of the coronavirus, Governor Kate Brown’s decision in June to push responsibility for coronavirus prevention measures to the counties, and not promulgate new statewide mandates, looks more and more like a grave mistake.  I don’t know what specific mix of reasons are behind her inaction, but it’s hard not to think that the governor has been intimidated by a right-wing and business community backlash against covid restrictions that were in place until fairly recently.  As articles like this one from Oregon Public Broadcasting describe, ICU hospital beds in the state are filled nearly to the previous highest point of the pandemic, while in southern Oregon, infection rates are surpassing the winter’s highs. As a nurse interviewed in the piece says, all this illness was preventable.

While it makes sense to consider whether new rules might be counterproductive should they provoke a backlash, this logically doesn’t seem possible when counties aren’t promulgating any new rules in the first place.  Things simply can’t get worse than they already are.  And at any rate, we are deep into this pandemic, and know what works from a public health perspective.  Masking works.  Social distancing works.  And above all, vaccination of as many people as possible works.  Arguments from slow-moving county officials that ordinary Oregonians know what to do at this point, and that therefore new regulations are unnecessary, is simply wrong — not when so much disinformation continues to circulate, and when the Republican Party has tacitly made mask resistance and vaccine reluctance core to the party’s identity.  In refusing to countenance common-sense measures like mask mandates in public places, these public officials  are helping to amplify the deadly lies, and are often embracing partisan identity over patriotic, humanitarian values.  They are failing to do their duty.  Amid so much propaganda and disinformation, strong public guidance and rules to combat the coronavirus are absolutely necessary.

It is clear at this point that the bulk of vaccine resistance, as well as resistance to common-sense measures like masking, is driven by a combination of disinformation and right-wing identity politics.  Neither are valid bases for making public health decisions, and in fact are problems that should be targeted for refutation by public-minded politicians. 

The governor’s responsibility in the midst of a pandemic that has already taken the lives of thousands of Oregonians, and which now threatens to kill many more, is to minimize further loss of life.  As this Oregonian article notes, Governor Brown can effectively take the heat for unpopular decisions, drawing fire from county-level executives who are afraid to enrage misinformed constituents.  The fact that she’s not running for re-election means that she has little to lose at this point (and if she’s holding back for fear of a negative impact on her future political career — perhaps a run as a senator or representative at some point — then shame on her).

If the governor refuses to act, then Multnomah County commissioners and health officials need to institute stricter measures to protect the state’s most populous county, including a requirement for proof of vaccination or a recent negative covid test for dining in at restaurants, going to movie theaters, and other leisure activities.  Mask mandates should be reinstated for businesses, and business owners should be encouraged to require employees to be vaccinated.  It is an abomination that a year and half into this pandemic, when we have miraculous vaccines that could stop this pandemic dead in its tracks, we are looking at possibly the worst surge yet.  Our elected leaders and public health officials need to step up to the severity of this moment.

Two final points.  First, it’s been all too easy to lose track of a simple but crucial point — in a very real way, those who have been misinformed about the nature of the coronavirus and the vaccines are victims of immoral propaganda efforts by unscrupulous individuals and actors.  We should be eager to see the state and local governments act to protect our fellow Oregonians who have been misinformed.  Second, those of us who believe in science and common sense need to keep foregrounding the basic fact that people should wear masks and get vaccinated not simply to protect themselves, but to make sure they don’t pass it on to others.  This is a huge blind spot in the mentality of many who refuse to take the coronavirus seriously, and I believe remains the Achilles heel of such resistance.  It is a failure of common decency and of basic social solidarity, and while it may be counterproductive to aim such a harsh critique at ordinary individuals, it can effectively be leveled at elected officials who refuse to take stronger actions to shut down the pandemic.  This is not just a question of individual freedom to defy health guidelines; it is also a question of whether such individuals should have the right to threaten the health, and yes, the basic freedom to health, of everyone else — whether it’s vaccinated people who are at risk of breakthrough infections, those more vulnerable to the coronavirus due to age or infirmity, or those unable to receive the vaccine due to underlying medical conditions, not to mention younger children for whom the vaccine has not yet been approved.  It may be counterproductive to try to shame ordinary Oregonians into more responsible behavior, but it’s absolutely fine to shame those in positions of public power who continue to enable mass death and economic destruction. These officials betray their voters, their state, and their country.

Collision Course

The current House inquiry into the January 6 insurrection will ideally be a turning point for the Democratic Party’s stance towards the GOP, an opportunity to move from an elaborate and self-defeating attitude that declares the Republican Party an equal partner in American democracy, into a no-holds-barred indictment of the contemporary GOP as an authoritarian, white supremacist party that poses a clear threat to American democracy.  It was one thing for Democrats to believe, immediately after Donald Trump’s defeat in the 2020 election and the Democrats’ capture of the Senate, that these losses would catalyze reform and reflection amid their GOP opposition, and that the GOP would come to its senses and slough off the hate and authoritarian tendencies that culminated in the horrors of the Trump presidency.

But the calculation is entirely different now that we are nine months past the November 2020 elections, and seven months past the January 6 insurrection, when the Republican Party has clearly made its choice.  The great majority of its congressional and Senate members continue to pledge fealty to the former president, to the point that it is now a litmus test for such officials to declare the January 6 insurrection no big deal, and to assert that the 2020 election was stolen from the former president — the second falsehood legitimizing the first as a righteous and necessary act.  Indeed, the GOP is at a point where, along with its right-wing media allies, it has sought to re-write the insurrection as the fault of Nancy Pelosi, and declare the arrested insurrectionists to be maltreated political prisoners.

As I’ve written before, this continued denial of the violent intent of the January insurrectionists constitutes a tacit acceptance of their violence, a cover-story not only for those who defiled the halls of Congress with their Confederate flags and Trump banners, but for a president who ultimately turned to violence as a last-ditch effort to remain in office.  And the GOP’s broad assertion that Trump was the rightful winner of the 2020 presidential election is itself an attack on our democracy no less than the January 6 attack on the Capitol — particularly as it has provided the justification for an ever deeper assault on our government, via the armada of voter suppression efforts undertaken by GOP legislatures across the country that seek to deny Democratic-leaning voters their right to vote and have their votes count.

But the assault on democratic governance goes even deeper than the self-interested promulgation of lies, concrete anti-democratic legislation, and promotion of political violence.  In pursuing this scorched earth authoritarian strategy, the GOP is, crucially, radicalizing the GOP base into further opposition to democracy and openness to employ violence to achieve political ends, and to view neighbors who happen to be Democrats not as fellow citizens, but as illegitimate pretenders to American-ness.  Through lies and incitement, the GOP is building a mass movement built on violence and anti-democratic legislation, in the service of white supremacism and the interests of their wealthy donors.

Recognizing ongoing Republican efforts to whip up millions of Americans into a frenzy against their fellow citizens and to reject the basics of American democracy (i.e., one person, one vote and majority rule) provides a stark contrast with the Democratic strategy for maintaining power in the 2022 midterms and beyond.  The Biden administration seems to have bet its political future, and that of the Democrats in the near-term, in defeating the covid-19 pandemic and ensuring both economic growth and measures to bring more fairness and equality to the American economy.  In terms of turning out and persuading voters, the theory appears to be that Americans will be incentivized to reward the party that saved them from covid and resuscitated the economy.  The contrast with the GOP’s strategy is perhaps most starkly illustrated in how the Democrats have not prioritized protection of voting rights to the same degree that the GOP has prioritized destroying voting rights. While it is true that the fate of democracy-protecting legislation like the For the People Act and the John Lewis Voting Rights Act are in question largely through the opposition of a handful of Democratic senators (and primarily Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema), it is also true that the Biden administration has, at least so far, chosen to prioritize economic legislation over pro-democracy laws.

I hold to a hope that once the infrastructure battles are resolved, the Biden administration will make a full court press on legislation that protects the right to vote.  In the absence of such prioritization, and instead with a current emphasis on achieving a bipartisan infrastructure bill, the Democratic leadership is doing nothing equivalent to the ongoing GOP effort to energize its base: namely, making an effort to energize the Democratic base in defense of democracy.

This basic political imbalance, more than any other, persuades me that the Democrats are pursuing a dangerous and potentially self-defeating strategy in failing to match the intensity of the GOP’s authoritarian movement with a countervailing pro-democracy movement.  Every day, the GOP is essentially asserting that the Democratic Party stole the 2020 election, instantiating this lie by anti-democratic legislation aimed at crippling Democratic electoral efforts in key battleground states.  Meanwhile, the Democrats seem to be betting that the popularity they gain by fostering economic recovery and ending the pandemic will effectively overcome GOP voter suppression.

What feels increasingly frustrating, if not outright crazy, is that the same GOP authoritarian efforts that are threatening free and fair elections, and are inciting the GOP base to turn out in 2022, are enormous vulnerabilities for the Republican Party — if the Democrats are willing to exploit them.  But part of the craziness of the situation is that the Democrats don’t just have an electoral incentive to do what they can to beat their opponents — they have a moral duty to our democracy to highlight the GOP’s anti-democratic animus. And key to taking advantage of this GOP weakness is actually talking about the authoritarian menace that the GOP poses.

Democratic unwillingness to engage more directly with the GOP’s extremist assault is deeply tied up with the party’s uncertainty about how to handle Donald Trump’s continued elephantine presence in the Republican Party.  Because the Democrats don’t want to give the former president attention that they fear would inflate his post-presidential status, they seem to have consequently limited their ability to talk about the Trump-centered authoritarian movement that the GOP has now become.  Unwilling to say the former president’s name, they’re also unable to name the authoritarian movement that he has done so much to advance.

While I would love to “move past” Donald Trump as much as the next guy, sticking unquestioningly to this wish becomes delusional when we consider that Trump remains at the center of GOP politics, and indeed seems set on running for president again in 2024.  In a way that’s oddly complementary to the GOP’s own continued Trump-worship, the Democrats appear to ascribe power to the former president far beyond what he actually possesses.  They seem to fear that talking about Trump will make him more powerful, when the reality is that this silence is allowing him and his allies to build out their authoritarian movement away from fuller public scrutiny and attacks from the Democratic Party.

But what if the opposite is actually far more the case — that Donald Trump remains what he always has been, a highly-flawed tribune for a nascent American fascism, a man who so effectively assumed leadership of this authoritarian, white supremacist movement because of his own morally flawed, narcissistic, and depraved character?  What if, it turns out, the former president graphically illustrates the dangers, immorality, and nihilism of a movement that continues to gain force within the Republican Party even now, in a way that is easily grasped by million of Americans who believe in democracy and hate white supremacism?

Thinking about the unique vulnerabilities of Donald Trump helps clarify, in turn, the massive vulnerabilities of a Republican Party that has embraced not only him, but that now openly avows a collection of retrograde beliefs that had found a home in the GOP even before his presidency.  Even as the Republican Party has taken direct aim both at American democracy and the Democratic Party, the Democrats have so far declined not to respond in kind.  But not only does this betray the Democrats’ obligation to defend American democracy, it also badly misreads the extremely vulnerable position that the GOP has placed itself in.  In the first place, the GOP has tied itself to a president who not only lost the last election, but, more importantly, is uniquely galvanizing for millions of Democratic voters.  (To my relief, I see I’m not alone wondering about the enormous slack that Democrats and the press are cutting the GOP around its Trumpophilia; John Stoehr has been digging into this issue recently, writing that, “The question of whether the Republicans are taking an enormous risk sticking with a losing president has not gotten nearly the attention it deserves,” and discussing how Trump’s insurrection blows apart GOP “law and order” claims that they hope will propel them to victory in 2022 and beyond.)

In terms of energizing their respective bases, the GOP is currently enjoying all of the benefits of Trump (jazzing the base) while suffering none of the downside (provoking a backlash among a Democratic base that despises the former president).  But I would humbly submit that at a pragmatic, common-sense level, the Democrats have every interest in reminding their base that their own political success is all that stands between ordinary Americans and the return to office of the worst president of our lifetimes.

But this strategy shouldn’t depend only on greater comfort with reminding Americans of the horrors of the Trump presidency, and of his continued sway over the GOP.  Democrats should also get much more comfortable with reminding voters that they are also the party that stands between ordinary Americans and further right-wing attacks against our government; the party that stands between ordinary Americans and future insurrections.  This has both the virtue of being true, and of energizing Democratic voters around the actual stakes of the 2022 and 2024 elections.  As much as Biden’s team might want to make those elections about our economic recovery, they are in reality as much about whether we continue to be a democratic nation — and waging those elections on such explicit terms should be seen as a net advantage to Democrats.  For Democrats to run the risk of not making the stakes of future elections clear, particularly when doing so will only help them, is the very definition of political folly.

This is why I keep coming back to the importance of foregrounding both the January 6 insurrection and Trump’s continued leadership of the GOP — not only are they essential facts for making the case against allowing the GOP to hold power at any level of government, from city dogcatcher to president, but they are easy to understand — emotionally provocative data points that serve to open broader discussions of GOP authoritarianism, including its assault on elections and its encouragement of political violence.  For instance, the Democrats would be remiss not to continue valorizing and promoting the Capitol police who defended Congress against a hateful mob of neo-Confederates, white supremacists, Proud Boys, Oath Keepers, and other enemies of the United States.  In one fell swoop, these police officers have provided powerful testimony that GOP lies about the January 6 insurrection are the blatherings of a party that supports authoritarian violence, and as John Stoer argues, has no claim to support either law or order.  Rather than fear politicizing the events of January 6, the Democrats should fashion the truth of that day into a weapon to discredit and dismantle the GOP in the eyes of all but its most rabid supporters.  Whatever inclinations they have towards conflict avoidance and a false bipartisanship need to be put aside in the name of exploiting these points of extreme vulnerability for the GOP.

In important ways, the GOP continues to inflict potentially disastrous harm on itself on a daily basis — if Democrats are willing to take up the appropriate political and rhetorical cudgels.  Every day that the GOP continues to deny the right-wing violence of January 6, it is providing cover for that violence, and eroding whatever claims it might still make to be a legitimate American party.  Every day, in other words, its vulnerability grows, as do the stakes around whether the Democrats choose to highlight the GOP’s embrace of the January 6 insurrection.  For if the Democrats allow the GOP to re-fashion the events of January 6 into a story of how the former president’s defenders tried to stop the Democrats from stealing the election, without countering it with the truth of the president’s coup attempt (which in fact started long before January 6) that energizes a majority of Americans into a continued defense of democracy in 2022 and 2024, then they will have made themselves complicit in their own defeat.

But as important as fighting to promulgate the truth of January 6 is, the Democrats need to connect the armed assault on the Capitol with the GOP’s broader efforts to accomplish insurrection by other means — most importantly, by subverting future elections through a combination of voter suppression, gerrymandering, and administrative changes whose goal is to dilute and deny Democratic votes.  This is an aspect of the Democrats’ decision to punt on voting rights legislation that I find particular infuriating; the party would be so much better positioned to make the vital connection between January 6 and the need to stop the GOP anti-voting onslaught if the January 6 hearings were being held alongside hearings on why voting rights legislation is needed.  Democrats are doing the GOP undeserved favors by separating out these two issues.  The linkage can be illustrated in a variety of ways, but Democrats might summarize it as follows: If the GOP denies you the vote, then next time, without Democrats in power, the insurrectionists will win.  If the GOP insists on tying itself to the unforgivable actions of a treasonous former president and his armed minions, then let’s make them pay as dearly as we can, by using it to help defeat this whole sordid authoritarian movement.

It may be that Democratic leadership will shy away from making this case, or fears riling up its base in ways that might feel analogous to the tactics of the GOP.  But if elected Democrats won’t do so, rank and file Democrats must to this for themselves.  There is no equivalence between a GOP that motivates its base with lies and anti-democratic animus, while seeking to deny the country free and fair elections, and a pro-democracy movement that is activated and enraged in defense of democracy, and that seeks to ensure that everyone can vote, and have their votes counted.  One thing is the illness; the other is just what the doctor ordered.