The Ukraine Crisis Is a Pressure Test of Biden's Green Energy Commitments

It may not have been on most people’s radar in the first shocking days of Russia’s Ukraine invasion, but the repercussions for the fight against climate change have quickly become clear, a critical ancillary aspect of the crisis. Russia’s role as a major supplier of oil and gas, and the objective of denying Russia the revenue and power that flow from this, have created a host of urgent questions. A central dilemma the world faces, and the one with the biggest impact on climate change, is the degree to which the response will spur investments — not only in Europe, but here in the U.S. — in fossil fuel technologies that will only contribute to immense long-term damage to our environment.

In the U.S., the Republican Party has jumped on the conjunction of this question and high gas prices (coupled with overall high inflation) to demand a huge expansion of domestic oil and gas production, while also claiming that any high prices right now are actually due to the Biden administration’s aggressive green energy policies. In other words, the GOP sees this crisis as an opportunity to renew its war in favor of big oil and against the stability of the planet’s ecosystems.

Such Republican pressure, coupled with the very real economic impact of the Russian invasion, in turn means that this crisis has created a crucial test for the Biden administration’s commitment to the fight against climate change. Though it’s far too early to know how things will play out, there are a few pieces of tentative good news on this front. First, there seems to be pretty broad understanding of the stakes, certainly among those involved with climate issues, but also within the Biden administration itself. According to The Washington Post, 

Biden has personally expressed support for recasting the administration’s clean energy proposals as part of an attempt to move America away from its dependence on authoritarian petrostates, according to two people aware of the president’s thinking on the matter.

“That’ll mean tyrants like Putin won’t be able to use fossil fuels as weapons against other nations, and it will make America the world leader in manufacturing and exporting clean energy technologies of the future to countries all around the world,” Biden said Tuesday as he made a renewed push for investments in renewable energy. “This is the goal we should be racing toward.”

Let us hope this is more than just lip service to a good cause. I don’t think we can overstate how essential it is for the Biden administration to use this crisis to double down on the importance of a green energy revolution, not least because the near-term solutions do inevitably involve, at least in part, ensuring a steady supply of oil and gas for Europe, the U.S., and other nations around the globe. The reality is that fossil fuel price hikes and supply constraints have the potential to have real-world impacts on millions of people around the globe, who not only will pay higher prices for heating and transportation, but who will also be adversely affected by any resulting economic slowdowns. This is to say nothing of the suffering that would ensue if European households were unable to heat themselves during the cold weather of late winter and spring. Particularly after the battering the world’s economies have suffered due to the coronavirus pandemic, this is a very big deal. Yet the Biden administration must balance these short-term needs with the longer-term, existential goal of weaning the U.S., and the world, off of fossil fuels. Demonstrating this commitment at a time of crisis, and emphasizing the urgency of fighting climate change even in the face of immediate needs to keep fossil fuel supplies steady, is a balance that the Biden administration must get right if it wants to maintain public support for green energy policies and actually move the U.S. towards those goals. In fact, successfully navigating this moment will arguably strengthen the case for green energy in the long term, if the U.S. can demonstrate that climate goals need not be abandoned due to short-term demands.  

Clearly the GOP and fossil fuel companies see a golden opportunity to blunt the momentum towards clean energy, bolstered as they are by the actual ongoing effects on fossil fuel supplies and prices due to the Russian invasion. But the critical flaw in their reasoning is that they’ve reverted to the discredited notion that climate change isn’t a serious threat to the world economy, political stability, and civilizational survival. It would be one thing if they presented the current moment as a one-time need to expand fossil fuel production — but as others have pointed out, that’s not how fossil fuel infrastructure works. New investments will require years of operation to pay for themselves, locking the U.S. and other countries into additional decades of planet-fouling energy production. Instead, the GOP betrays its anti-environmental animus by using the current crisis to argue that it somehow discredits the fight against climate change as a general proposition. This is a crazy, nihilistic position, rooted in the same anti-science, exploitative economic practices that have gotten us to this perilous climate moment to begin with. (It’s also worth pointing out that the world economy’s continued reliance on fossil fuels is a prime reason why Russia has been able to afford the weaponry and financial insulation that enabled its invasion of Ukraine in the first place.)

If anything, this is an opportunity for the Biden administration and others to play offense at promoting a green energy economy. For instance, a great idea floated by climate activist Bill McKibben has now been echoed by White House advisors: the United States could mass produce heat pumps, perhaps under the auspices of the Defense Production Act, and export them to Europe to compensate for any gas supply constraints or shut-offs. This sort of two-in-one move is exactly the sort of policy the White House should be pursuing as part of the solution to the current energy conundrum — it advances climate protection while also helping mitigate the immediate energy crisis.

McKibben also suggests that individual Americans can do their part to both help Ukraine and fight climate change by instituting ride-share and limited-driving practices to reduce oil use and the indirect flow of dollars to fund the Russian war machine. Whether or not this particular idea catches on, it’s a reminder that we need to keep building society-wide pressure in favor of climate action, and find ways that people can make an impact even as green energy legislation remains stalled in Congress by Republican and conservative Democratic opposition. The likelihood of forcing political action only increases when people make green choices in their daily lives, exposing pro-fossil fuel politicians as the anti-science extremists that they are.

Democrats Can't Count On Authoritarian GOP to Back Them In Ukraine Crisis

The domestic political fallout from Russia’s Ukraine invasion will be developing over the coming weeks, months, and likely years, but as I discussed last week, some elements are already crystal clear. The Republican Party has indicated that, despite the U.S. facing arguably the worst foreign policy crisis since the end of the Cold War, it will use the conflict as a partisan political weapon against the Democrats and President Biden in upcoming elections. Far from being the good-faith criticisms of a loyal opposition, the GOP’s line of attack constitutes a shocking willingness to do substantive harm to national interests in the name of partisan gain.

Even as they appear to be abandoning long-term indifference to Ukraine’s fate (more on that shortly), Republican politicians have floated two major criticisms: that President Biden is responsible for Vladimir Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine due to his incompetence and weakness, and that Biden is responsible for the high gas prices that have ensued, both due to his aforementioned culpability in causing the invasion and because he has set up the U.S. for oil and gas shortages because of his (actually non-existent) aggressive measures against global warming and in favor of green energy.  

The danger, as Brian Beutler writes this week at Crooked Media, is that the national unity against Putin that Joe Biden claimed in his state of the union address will inevitably fray if the Republicans continue to press their attacks against the president. The idea of unity at the political level is of course already tenuous, given that there’s no good evidence that the GOP’s sudden reversal into concern for the fate of Ukraine has any real substance to it. But there is actual unity among the voting public, at least for now (among other startling recent poll results, some 79% of Americans favor banning imports of Russian oil, even if it means higher prices at the gas pump). This widespread shared public outrage against Russia is a big part of why Republicans have at least felt compelled to voice their outrage about the attack on Ukraine, even if their actions over the past several years have told a far different story about their support of that embattled nation.

Beutler’s point is that this public unity will eventually dissolve, at least among GOP voters, if their elected officials continue a campaign of denigration against the president’s leadership and place the blame for higher gas prices (and thus continued inflation) squarely on Biden. In other words, the GOP’s electoral strategy is inextricably linked to subverting Joe Biden’s — that is, the nation’s — ability to confront and restrain Vladimir Putin in his war against Ukraine, which already contains dark, if still remote, possibilities of spreading into a broader war against NATO.

I highly recommend reading Beutler’s column, which presents the dynamic I summarize above in much more nuance and detail, and also gets at the solution to this issue: the need for Democrats to ensure that their arguments prevail against those of the GOP in what will inevitably become (due to the GOP’s scorched earth strategy) a partisan fight over the direction of U.S. policy towards the invasion and management of the accompanying economic and political challenges. But there’s another angle I wanted to bring into play here, probably not a surprising one for many: the continuity between GOP actions on Ukraine and the Republican insurrectionary project that’s been underway since the waning days of the Trump administration.

We can’t really properly talk about the Republican reaction to Ukraine without putting it in the broader context of the ongoing GOP attack against free and fair elections in this country, which I’ve argued constitutes a slow-motion coup against American democracy. Republican efforts to unfairly blame Biden for Russia’s invasion, in a way that ultimately strengthens the hand of an authoritarian ruler, needs to be seen as deeply linked to the GOP’s own authoritarian aims in the United States. It is not so much that Republican politicians see Putin as an actual ally — though some, including former President Trump, clearly do — but that the GOP has no actual interest in defending democracy, or warding off authoritarianism, in another country. After all, a true commitment to promoting democracy abroad would inevitably expose the gaping distance from the GOP’s policies at home, where voter suppression, radical gerrymandering, and white supremacism are central elements of its politics. The GOP can’t defend democracy abroad in any meaningful way without undermining its war against democracy at home.

In turn, any Democratic strategies regarding the Ukraine crisis that fail to account for the GOP’s insurrectionary turn are bound to be hampered and subverted by such a glaring blind spot (this, not coincidentally, is definitely a theme of Beutler’s article noted above). Here, Republican backing of a ban on Russian oil imports is a chilling case study.  As The Washington Post’s Dana Milbank summarizes, “For days, Republicans called for a ban on imports of Russian oil, a move that, while the right thing to do to counter Putin’s attack against Ukraine, would cause already high gas prices to rise even further. Biden did as Republicans wanted — and they responded by blaming his energy policies for spiking gas prices.” While the GOP benefits in the public eye by appearing tough on Putin, I would argue that the primary GOP interest in banning these oil imports is in fact to harm the Biden presidency, given the Republican Party’s actual lack of interest in either defending Ukraine or democracy in general. Recognition of this fact would prompt a far different Democratic response, which right now is primarily to overlook the GOP attacks in favor of pointing to the GOP actions as a demonstration of national unity.  

This is not to say that there aren’t very good reasons for Biden and the Democrats to want to create an appearance of togetherness. After all, any perceptions by Putin or U.S. allies that America is divided in its resolve to defend Ukraine could have deeply counterproductive consequences in the real world, whether by emboldening Russia or disheartening our friends. But Democrats surely also have an interest in promoting actual unity at home, rather than the false one that currently obtains — and this would entail confronting the GOP on its hypocrisy when it blames Joe Biden for the consequences of the very actions the GOP claims to support.

Rather than impute good faith to the GOP’s support of a Russian oil ban, Democrats should act with full awareness of the GOP’s insurrectionary nature, and mercilessly attack the GOP when it tries to turn a show of bipartisan unity into a baseless attack on the president — that is, when it reveals the true motivations behind its pretense of unity. This might seems counterintuitive — won’t this just cause the appearance of American disarray the Democrats are so eager to avoid? — but the fact of the matter is that, at least right now, the GOP is actually in a bind. GOP politicos do have to appear anti-Putin and anti-invasion, due to broad public upset at the Russian attack. And so when they blatantly use actions they themselves support to attack Biden, and thus undermine the very efforts to bring Russia to heel that they claim to back, they create enormous vulnerabilities for themselves. The hypocrisy is so glaring as to be not blinding, but deeply illuminating. When the GOP demonstrates that it would rather blame Joe Biden for inflation than Vladimir Putin, the party is both showing its true insurrectionary colors and placing itself in the crosshairs of a righteous critique.

As we’ve seen so often before, Democrats insist on compartmentalizing the feral, anti-democratic descent of the GOP, behaving as if its war on democracy might somehow be separated out from other areas of politics. This manifests in various ways, from President Biden’s continued insistence on the supreme importance of bipartisan legislation, to the party’s general reluctance to highlight the broader GOP’s complicity in Donald Trump's January 6 coup attempt, to a refusal to level with Democratic voters and the public at large about the GOP’s white supremacist, Christian nationalist vision for America. And now, at a time of foreign policy crisis,  the Democrats risk repeating the error, promoting a fiction that politics stops at the water’s edge even as the GOP demonstrates the folly of such self-delusion.   

Only self-imposed constraints are stopping President Biden and his fellow Democrats from making the GOP pay a steep price for their subversion of American efforts to counter Russian aggression, which is the far more accurate reading of the past few weeks’ events than the fiction that the GOP has joined Democrats in an amazing display of national resolve. Democrats should proceed with eyes wide open as to the nature of their political opponents. The fact that the GOP has not been shaken back into a shared national purpose, even with Russian armies threatening the systems of post-Cold War stability, should in fact be another wake-up call as to the true nature of the contemporary GOP. 

The ability to roll back Russian aggression, defend global stability, and, above all else, promote true democracy around the world depends on the Democrats’ ability to roll back the GOP. On its own, the media will obviously not zero in on the Republican Party’s malign role in the current crisis — but if Democrats make this into a story, then there is a far greater chance this will become a larger part of the national conversation. As has frequently happened over the past several years, the Democrats can promote the national interest at the same time as they promote their partisan goals, which is what happens when only one party is committed to the perpetuation of American democracy.  

The alternative, which strikes me as likely absent a course change by the Democrats, is that the Republican Party will simply escalate its attempts to blame Biden for any invasion-related fallout to the U.S. economy. Without active efforts by the Biden administration to maintain public support — which necessarily involves pushing back against the GOP’s self-serving and deceptive critiques — this support will gradually diminish, particularly among a Republican base driven into a frenzy against “Biden inflation.” With the GOP hell-bent on turning U.S. resistance to Russian aggression into a partisan issue, the Democrats ignore this distinct possibility at the nation’s peril.  

Lack of Climate Change Talk at SOU Was Missed Presidential Opportunity

Let’s hope that President Biden’s disturbing silence on climate change in his state of the union address was solely due to the emergence of the Ukraine invasion as the dominant narrative of the night. After all, just a day before his speech, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released yet another urgent report: this time, on how the impacts of climate change are being felt by human societies faster and more powerfully than anticipated, “so rapidly that they could soon overwhelm the ability of both nature and humanity to adapt.” Such news created an obvious opening for the president to discuss the overwhelming need for action in his annual address.

Yet the omission makes even less sense when the same speech included assurances to the public that the Biden administration would do what it can do minimize the impact on U.S. energy prices from the Ukraine crisis. The obvious solution is to increase gas and oil supplies, including by opening up more American land for drilling — exactly the solution that some in the Republican Party are already advocating. Indeed, it’s not too much to say that the GOP sees this as a perfect opening to blunt the momentum towards transforming the energy sector in a sustainable direction; as Philadelphia Inquirer columnist Will Bunch notes, Republicans are “using the crisis [to] advocate for their donors’ pet projects like the Keystone XL pipeline — killed, for now, by the White House because of its climate impact — or opening up more drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.” Now, the GOP can claim that fossil fuels are key to economic stability and even defending freedom itself.

Without a doubt, the Russian invasion is a true crisis, the handling of which will likely have enormous repercussions for the future of international relations, the world economy, democracy, and the global fight against authoritarianism. Biden does need to shield the U.S. against its impacts. But there is an inevitable tension between the goals of maintaining our gas and oil supplies, and pursuing the even more important long-term fight against climate change, which just as surely holds the potential to destabilize our economies, undermine free societies, and empower authoritarian leaders eager to spin environmental chaos into justification for strongman rule. Indeed, the Russian invasion will not be the last crisis where such conflicting needs must be balanced — yet balanced they must be.

This is particularly the case when the very leverage Vladimir Putin holds through control of large oil and gas supplies is key to his ability to wield power and sow chaos. A powerful, overlapping response to both authoritarianism and climate change is possible: weaning the world off fossil fuels, as fast as possible. As Bunch reminds us, “Dictators like Putin or Saudi Arabia’s murderous monarchs have used their control of the oil spigot to extort other nations and bend them to their will. In the present crisis, Putin’s leverage on the West would amount to a hill of beans if Europe had started earlier and more aggressively to move away from fossil fuels. Thus, building infrastructure that would lock us into oil and gas for another generation seems the height of madness.”

Rather than being at odds, then, the fight against climate change is inextricably twinned with the fight against authoritarianism. This is why it’s so disappointing that President Biden did not make this case when he had the nation’s attention focused on him last week. If nothing else, it would have been an instance of going on offense against the GOP’s completely predictable pro-fossil fuel response to the Ukraine crisis. Instead, Biden now must contend with the Republicans’ tendentious arguments for expanding drilling, having surrendered a prime opportunity to knock them off balance and make a case for actual energy independence, where we trade dependence on oil companies for the reliable, renewable power that come from the wind and the sun.

Democrats Shouldn't Fool Themselves About GOP's Sudden Eagerness to Confront Russia

Like many of you, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has been at the front of my mind for much of the past two weeks. Many have noted the feeling of a pivot point in history, whether it’s the eruption of a new Cold War or an escalation of direct hostilities with Russia; a possibly destabilizing cascade of follow-on events (food and energy shortages, higher inflation, a huge new refugee crisis); or a strengthening of European solidarity and unexpected impetus to an accelerated transition to green energy. But by far the most important framework for thinking about the attack on Ukraine should be the conflict between democratic, free societies and a resurgent authoritarianism that finds inspiration in the tactics and beliefs of fascistic leaders, with Vladimir Putin claiming a leading role.

Here in the United States, it should shock us anew that until the invasion, many Republican elected officials and pundits have been unabashed fans of Putin  — a function not only of loyalty to Donald Trump’s own unstinting support for the Russian leader, but also of a belief in Putin’s importance as an avatar of “white Christian values” in the world, as political scientist Thomas Zimmer describes. But though many in the GOP are currently rushing to do an about-face by sounding off their support for Ukraine, and even warning sternly against pro-Putin voices in the party (as Mike Pence recently did), it would be foolish for Democrats to accept this hypocrisy as the price for national unity at a time of foreign policy crisis. After all, nearly every sitting Republican representative and senator voted either not to impeach or not to convict Donald Trump following his attempts to deny Ukraine vital armaments in exchange for manufacturing political dirt on Joe Biden; a mere two years ago, the GOP saw protecting its corrupt president as more important than the cause of a U.S. ally and crucial test case for democracy along the Russian border. 

As bad, though, is our current political reality, in which the GOP is already preparing to wield the Ukraine conflict as another weapon in their war to kneecap the Biden presidency and pursue their own brand of authoritarian rule in the United States. As The New York Times reports regarding Republican strategy discussions, “with inflation soaring, linking Biden’s handling of the war in Ukraine to his domestic woes could prove to be a potent argument with voters in the fall.” The lines of attack are clear. First, it seems inevitable that we’ll see the Russian invasion continue to impact oil prices, which have already gone higher on fears of disruptions or embargo, which in turn will drive inflation up or at least keep it at its currently elevated levels. This will allow the GOP to hammer Biden for “causing” inflation, simply because he’s president while it’s happening, while also making the case that any Biden administration resistance to expanding gas and oil production in the U.S. is also driving prices higher. Second, some in the GOP will assert that they want to be even more aggressive than Biden in countering Russia, free of the president’s need to keep the present confrontation from spiraling out of control (witness Lindsey Graham’s speculation that what we really need to roll back the invasion is for someone to assassinate Putin). Finally, Republicans will do what they can to blame Biden for creating the current crisis; indeed, minority leader Kevin McCarthy introduced this critique when he tweeted yesterday that, “Just as the United States should have supplied weapons to Ukraine sooner, we should speed up the sale of weapons to Taiwan so they can safeguard their future against China.” McCarthy’s brazen effort to rewrite history is particularly offensive, requiring us to ignore the sordid history of Trump’s blackmailing of Ukraine and the GOP’s stalwart defense of his self-dealing, while essentially casting President Biden as the one who failed Ukraine. It is as if he is begging the Democrats to call him out.  Well, they should.

Given that the GOP is openly telegraphing its plans to undermine Biden’s efforts to marshal American power against arguably the greatest threat to world peace since the end of the Cold War, and is implicated in the emergence of this threat through the Trump presidency, Biden and the Democrats should go on the offense against such partisan efforts. They need to realize that they can’t simply will bipartisanship into existence just because we face an international crisis. Indeed, the fact that the GOP can’t even unite behind the president at such a time should be front and center in the Democratic Party’s appeal to American voters. At Crooked Media, Brian Beutler outlines what such an outreach effort to voters would look like:

Tell them that Republicans are under [Trump’s] thumb—remind them of this, with the huge archive of Trump’s words and deeds, every day. Instead of stopping short at, “I will do everything in my power to limit the pain the American people are feeling at the gas pump,” draw on the same kind of anticipatory information tactics that so effectively stripped Putin bare: Because they’ve sided with Putin, Republicans in Congress will try to convince you that higher gas prices are Democrats' fault—don’t believe them [. . .] Another, more straightforward way is to simply observe that the party that tried to overturn our election here in the U.S. is now in the pocket of the tyrant who’s trying to snuff out democracy in Ukraine by force.

While this would obviously also be a partisan approach to a foreign policy situation, as Beutler acknowledges, what the Democrats ignore at their peril is that this is simultaneously the correct approach to take in order to defend the national interest. A party that has to date chosen to coddle apologists for the Russian dictator or offer him outright support, to the point that we can make the case that their actions helped make Russia’s invasion of Ukraine more likely, cannot now be allowed to whitewash that sordid history for the sake of seeking advantage against a Democratic president, and in doing so undermine his efforts to defend the national interest.

Beutler also makes another point that’s well worth drawing out, when he writes, “The urgency to deny [Republicans] power has just grown significantly, because if they win we can’t count on them to be on the side of global democracy in a new war against fascism that just turned hot.” This captures the urgent need for Democrats to assume a proper stance against GOP criticism around Ukraine and inflation. If Democrats believe that defending Ukraine is critical to defending democracy around the world, then employing a hard-hitting but truthful critique against an opposition party that would abandon that defense should it come to power must be a high priority.

I should be clear that the GOP is perfectly free to offer whatever criticism it wants of Biden’s efforts around the Ukraine crisis. In an ideal situation — which we are far from — good-faith critiques would be a vital part of our democratic deliberative processes. But in any circumstances, and certainly right now, Biden and the Democrats are equally free to denounce criticisms that are baseless, inflammtory, and ultimately in the service of the GOP’s authoritarian endgame. This is yet another case where the Democrats are badly served by behaving as if the Republicans are still a normal political party dedicated to democratic norms.

What's Stopping Democrats From Fully Engaging Against GOP's White Supremacism?

Last week, I surveyed Republican efforts to subvert the teaching of U.S. history with white supremacist propaganda aimed at reproducing the bigotry of GOP politicians, who view racist manipulation as key to retaining power in a diversifying America over the coming decades. Rather than being a side issue that Democrats should easily dismiss, these attacks on basic American principles of equality and free thinking in schools pose a threat to American democracy as well as an enormous opening for Democrats to hit back against massive Republican overreach.

We are now beginning to see hard evidence that the GOP hasn’t just chosen an immoral side in this fight, but a highly unpopular one. In a column last week, Washington Post opinion writer Greg Sargent cites recent polling on the issue:

The poll finds that 83 percent of Americans say books should never be banned for criticizing U.S. history; 85 percent oppose banning them for airing ideas you disagree with; and 87 percent oppose banning them for discussing race or depicting slavery.

What’s more, 76 percent of Americans say schools should be allowed to teach ideas and historical events that “might make some students uncomfortable.” And 68 percent say such teachings make people more understanding of what others went through, while 58 percent believe racism is still a serious problem today.

Finally, 66 percent say public schools either teach too little about the history of Black Americans (42 percent) or teach the right amount (24 percent). Yet 59 percent say we’ve made “a lot of real progress getting rid of racial discrimination” since the 1960s.

Among other things, these numbers give the lie to the idea that Republican politicians represent anything like majority opinion as they seek to sanitize and propagandize the teaching of U.S. history. Just the opposite — they represent a minority, even fringe opinion. These poll results are even more remarkable in light of the fact that Republicans have spent literally the last year attempting to incite public opinion to align with their war on U.S. history, with almost zero Democratic pushback, and still have built nothing close to majority support.

The big take-away for me, though, is how these polls demonstrate what Democrats should have already concluded based on political instinct, morality, and common sense: rather than Democrats being on shaky ground, it is the GOP that has made itself vulnerable by embarking on a racist initiative to rework the very nature of U.S. history education — an initiative that involves not just teaching white supremacist propaganda, but, as Sargent reminds us, also involves the incitement of violence against school officials as part of a broader campaign of intimidation against U.S. public education.

I won’t repeat my in-depth arguments for why Democratic hesitance to engage on this issue has been so wrong-headed, but I do want to delve more into the underlying question of why, exactly, Democrats would have such difficulty doing the morally correct and politically advantageous thing in this and other similar conflicts. Crooked’s Brian Beutler has long been hitting Democrats for their reluctance to engage in what they perceive as mere culture war sideshows, and has extensively documented the self-defeating nature of this disinclination; in a recent newsletter, he revisited some ideas about why this might be the Democrats’ default position. Noting the the double-edged news that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has belatedly registered the power of culture war attacks by Republicans, and is looking at strategies to neutralize those attacks through more effective fact-checking, he writes:

I see Democrats’ late grappling with the potency of GOP culture war tactics as both necessary and terribly myopic. It’s also of a piece with the party leadership’s tendency to recoil from partisan matters in general—to react, rather than take charge, only when forced, and to do so in the most shrunken and narrowcast possible way. 

[. . .] The way I’d put it is that the most important division in Dem politics isn’t left vs. center—it’s partisan and procedural boldness vs. timidity.

[. . .] Because they’re scared, Democrats can’t seem to recognize the GOP’s huge and obvious vulnerabilities when they arise, let alone exploit them. Whatever the bone of contention happens to be on any given day, Republicans approach it by trying to disrupt the Democratic OODA loop, and Democrats, almost always playing for defense, let it happen. It’s allowed Republicans to set the terms of national discourse on almost all issues—the economy, the pandemic, education, everything outside the penumbra of January 6—with the federal government under unified Democratic control.

I don’t want to be too reductionist with Beutler’s many nuanced observations over the years, but I want do draw out a common theme I see between the points above and in his previous columns: the Democrats’ apparent lack of conviction and confidence in their own policy positions, let alone in their ability to win fights over more amorphous culture war issues where, far more often than not, right and majority opinion are on their side. This assumption of their own lack of popularity and righteousness, I would submit, is an awfully strange attitude for a political party to take!

Beutler’s references to the Democrats being “scared” as well as timid on partisan and procedural fronts are important parts of the puzzle, reminding us that whatever the deeper reasons for their political decision-making, Democratic leaders bear ultimate responsibility for whether they choose to fight or flee.  Here, psychology, as well as basic realities like the advanced age of what some describe as the Democrats’ gerontocratic leadership, may certainly play a part.

The interaction of age and outdated conceptions of politics is something that Thomas Zimmer touches on in a recent exploration of why Democrats so often pull their punches in critiquing their GOP opponents. Zimmer notes that older Democratic leadership figures “came up in a very different political environment, when there was indeed a great deal of bipartisan cooperation in Congress.” To be a bit provocative: their age means they are somewhat stuck in the past, unable to acknowledged the current highly partisan reality. But Zimmer gets closer to the heart of what’s holding many Democrats back when he writes that:

The way some establishment Democrats have acted suggests they feel a kinship with their Republican opponents grounded in a worldview of white elite centrism. Their perspective on the prospect of a white reactionary regime is influenced by the fact that, consciously or not, they understand that their elite status wouldn’t necessarily be affected all that much. The Republican dogma – that the world works best if it’s run by prosperous white folks – has a certain appeal to wealthy white elites, regardless of party.

[. . .] American political discourse is still significantly shaped by the paradigm of white innocence. Economic anxiety, anti-elite backlash, or just liberals being mean – whatever animates white people’s extremism, it must not be racism, and they cannot be blamed for their actions [. . .] The idea of white innocence also clouds Democratic elites’ perspective on Republican elites: Since they cannot possibly be animated by reactionary white nationalism, they must be motivated by more benign forces, fear of the Trumpian base perhaps, or maybe they are being seduced by the dangerous demagogue.  

Zimmer’s observations takes on even greater resonance — and persuasiveness — when we consider that the root of so much of our current political conflicts, whether on the level of policy or “culture war,” is a mammoth struggle over whether we will be a white supremacist nation or one that accords all Americans political equality regardless of skin color or race. Certainly this seems to be Zimmer’s understanding in making his observations quoted above, and it allows us to circle back and more fully answer the question we started with: what’s behind Democrats’ reluctance to fight back against Republican white nationalist authoritarianism with the ferocity and single-mindedness needed to win this fight, even when a clear majority of Americans are on their side and not doing so threatens the very survival of both democracy and the Democratic Party?

I think Zimmer’s discussion of what amount to white supremacist blind spots among Democratic leaders does much to explain their maddening reluctance or inability to take the fight to the GOP. At a basic level, Democratic leaders don’t want to admit the centrality of racism to our current politics, and the necessity of aiming for the destruction of white supremacism, because they literally can’t imagine a world without it. Too many have internalized its benefits and feel immune to its worst consequences. It’s simply beyond conception that it might be eliminated or brought completely to heel; their imaginations simply cannot make that leap.

But I think we can go further, and say that not only has this blinded them to the nature of their Republican opposition, this has equally blinded them to the nature of the the American people they purport to serve — not just to the racism of so many white Republicans who will never be wooed into the Democratic fold by kitchen table appeals, but to the burning desire in millions of Americans to do all that’s possible to destroy, degrade, and nullify white supremacism as a force in this country. Instead, for too many Democratic leaders, elevating the pernicious role of white supremacism in public consciousness must only hurt the Democratic Party by forcing white Americans to choose race over principle, which they fear will push millions of white Democratic voters into the GOP camp, or at best, into non-voting neutrality. The Democratic Party is gripped by a primordial, even unconscious fear that the GOP will successfully label the Democrats as the non-white people’s party, and in this way administer a sort of coup de grace to the party’s prospects forevermore. This feeds their reluctance to make the obvious case that the inverse is true, and perniciously so — that the GOP has become not only the white people’s party, it has in fact become the party of white supremacism and its accompanying drive to authoritarian power against the American majority.

In turn, the Democrats’ inability to fully reckon with the white supremacist mindset that is rending our politics and leading the GOP into violent authoritarianism is preventing them from fully engaging against either authoritarianism or its racist roots.  Democratic leaders place high importance on a conciliatory, bipartisan approach to politics, when what our country truly needs is a full disclosure and exploration of its actual conflicts and irreconcilable divisions. There cannot ever be peace or compromise with the forces of white supremacism, because white supremacism is not compatible with a full, multi-racial democracy. Yet Democrats leaders continue to behave as if this were not so, wish to deny the logic of the moment, leading to all manner of bizarre behavior like ducking out of fights about banning books and accurate teaching about the history of racism in America. In doing so — by failing to rally the majority that is already on their side, and by demoralizing their base by acting as if basic ideals aren’t worth fighting for, they actually make it more likely that they will lose future elections.

GOP War on Education Aims to Turn Classrooms Into Incubators of White Supremacism

No matter how much Republicans talk about critical race theory and being “anti-woke,” nothing should blind us to the fundamentally white supremacist intent of their ongoing efforts to restrict public school education on matters of racial inequality and exploitation. The efforts by Florida state Republicans to pervert education in his state are a standout example, with The Washington Post reporting that a state Senate bill:

sets new standards for school curriculum, requiring districts to teach “the history and content” of the Declaration of Independence and proper forms of patriotism. Teachers and lesson plans may not imply that any “individual is inherently racist, sexist, or oppressive, whether consciously or unconsciously.”

“An individual, by virtue of his or her race or sex, does not bear responsibility for actions committed in the past by other members of the same race or sex,” the legislation states.

HB7 is even more expansive, giving parents and state regulators considerable authority to ban books or teachings that cause discomfort, including carefully reviewing lessons about “the Civil War, the expansion of the United States … the world wars, and the civil rights movement.”

A separate bill in the Senate, SB1300, would also appoint a state-trained reviewer in each school district to look over curriculums and textbooks, and establish procedures for any parents or resident to file objections to material they find offensive. 

The Florida shenanigans illuminate a central point about the GOP’s war on history teaching — it’s very much not simply about promoting a distorted version of the past, but rather about the power of white Americans over non-whites in the present. It’s no exaggeration to say that conservatives and the Republican Party want to ensure that public schools act as incubators for white supremacism, which necessarily involves minimizing any teaching of racism in America’s past and present, so that a social and power hierarchy in which whites are on top is rendered both invisible and unchanging. The centrality of protecting (white) children from “discomfort” gives the game away, because the idea that white kids might feel guilty about slavery and racism is only a concern if white kids identify with racist Americans in the past. But why would white kids feel truly guilty if they aren’t racist? And if they do have racist attitudes, isn’t the purpose of a good civic education to challenge such feelings? The tacit assumption that they are as prejudiced as their parents betrays the backwards mentality of the GOP. Ultimately, conservative parents and politicians aren’t worried that white kids will feel guilty; they’re worried that white kids will feel anger — at them and their inexcusable racism.

But still more striking is what the “discomfort” rhetoric seeks to hide. Rather than white kids being made to feel guilty about racism, the far likelier — and powerful — effect of learning about racism is sympathy for racism’s victims. Even more powerfully, such sympathy might naturally lead to identification with people of other races — a potential blurring of the lines between white children and minority children that is key to the racist backlash against public education. Of course, such identification has the virtue of being rooted in the reality of our common humanity and our highest ideals as a people, while attempts to derail and subvert such basic human connection is at the heart of the white supremacist project.

Given the tremendous stakes, it’s incredible to me that the Democratic Party has not already organized a full-scale pushback against this movement to indoctrinate white school kids into white supremacism while inculcating non-white kids in a web of disinformation and propaganda. As Ronald Brownstein discusses in a recent essay, these efforts mirror and complement the current GOP onslaught against voting rights for minority Americans. The associate director-counsel of the NAACP Legal Defense and Educational Fund tells Brownstein that, “This is the next wave of voters, so the indoctrination that we see occurring right now is planting the seeds for the control of that electorate as they become voters. They are trying to manipulate power and exert their influence at both ends of the spectrum by limiting those who can cast ballots now, and by indoctrinating those who can cast ballots later.”

Just as voter suppression tactics aim to relieve brown-skinned Americans of the franchise, propagandistic renderings of American history and reality are aimed at relieving brown-skinned young Americans of any sense that structural racism exists in the country and may be affecting their life prospects. Brownstein notes that, “Though the measures have been promoted mostly as a defensive tool (to prevent white students from feeling guilty), many see in them an equally important offensive goal: discouraging the growing number of nonwhite students, as they reach voting age, from viewing systemic discrimination as a problem that public policy should address.”

For elected Democrats to look at what’s happening in schools across the country, and dismiss it simply as “culture war” distraction that’s not worth engaging in, is to completely misunderstand how these public education conflicts are deeply tied in to struggles over political power. The GOP isn’t expending all this energy for nothing; Republican politicians understand the short- and long-term political benefits of what Democrats might dismiss as a side show. But how we think about our history and what is encouraged or discouraged to be discussed in classrooms inevitably shapes the political context of American life.

Among the various ugly strands involved in this assault on truth and free thought in American schools, the idea that Republicans are seeking to preemptively disempower young Americans of color through the teaching of white supremacist-inflected history is particularly abhorrent. Not only should this be opposed on purely moral grounds, it also strikes me as political dynamite to use against the racist GOP. No American parent whose child is on the receiving end of this propaganda effort will be happy to learn that one of America’s political parties is committed to ensuring that their children grow up disempowered and primed to be exploited by a white supremacist minority. This is enraging stuff, and any Democrats’ failure to speak to it and counter it is a profound betrayal of their constituents.

The current GOP effort is an affront not only to minority children, though, but to white children as well, who not only are being inculcated in the tenets of white supremacy, but implicitly being sold on the lie that their lives will be prosperous only so long as they remain atop the political heap. It is an effort to poison their minds and corrupt their souls, but also to make them pliant future victims of the GOP’s plutocratic economic policies. In fact, the Democrats can easily make the opposite case as the GOP is — that vast numbers of white Americans will continue to live in poverty or straitened circumstances because the GOP has convinced them it’s better to feel superior to African-Americans and other minorities than to actually have better life prospects, like affordable college education, free health care, or a minimum wage that allows for a life of dignity. By advocating propaganda in place of history, the Republican Party aims to hinder young Americans’ ability to interrogate the white supremacism that is central to the GOP’s electoral strategy.

Likewise, Democrats can’t simply stand by and let the GOP wreak havoc on the education not just on the children of their constituents, but on the education of likely future Democratic voters. Simply put, Democrats need to appeal to and defend this rising multi-racial majority, both as a matter of morality and of self-interest.  For any Democrat to assume that changing demographics will automatically translate into an imminent Democratic majority ignores not just GOP efforts to engineer white minority rule in perpetuity, but the fact that there isn’t some magical reason that minority Americans tend to skew Democratic. Rather, it’s for the substantive reason that Democrats have, far more than the GOP has ever done, advocated for the equality of all Americans regardless of race or ethnicity (not to mention gender and sexual identity). To the degree that Democrats do not double down on this record, they risk (rightly) losing the loyalty of  millions of current and potential voters. 

At the same time, the potency of the GOP’s foul narrative that any gain by brown-skinned Americans necessarily means a loss for white Americans needs to be countered and defused. In this age of accelerating voter suppression and unhindered gerrymandering, the Democrats need a strategy to win over enough white voters so that the Republican project of minority rule can no longer sustain itself. Right now, the GOP is reinforcing its white supremacist narrative by pretending that U.S. history, if taught accurately, constitutes anti-white propaganda. Engaging in this fight over history education would give Democrats a prime opportunity to articulate a countervailing and unifying vision for America, based on our actual history, that sees recognition and confrontation of past — and present — racism as key to transcending it for a nation that works better for everyone, regardless of the color of their skin. The way forward involves giving every American child the tools to transcend the sins of their fathers and mothers, not doom them to repeat those sins or be their future victims.

Republicans clearly see the benefits of riling up their base with lies rooted in the idea that the “wrong” sort of history aims to denigrate white people and make white kids feel guilty about being white, and that they’re defending white Americans from the treasonous libel of anti-American liberals. But what I’m arguing for shouldn’t be confused with “fight fire with fire” tactics — though that’s admittedly part of it. This is one front in a larger fight about whether the United States will become a true multi-racial democracy, or whether it will be increasingly strangled by the minority rule of conservative whites. For the Democrats to break the back of GOP legitimacy, they will need to articulate a unifying vision for the country that captures the imagination and allays the fears of both non-white and white Americans. They must aim big, at no less than destroying the power of white supremacism in this country.

They have material reality on their side already — our current situation of extreme inequality, with its deep roots in racism, is holding us back collectively, save for the wealthiest among us. But beyond this, they also have morality and right on their side. While white supremacism remains deeply entrenched in the U.S., the primary importance the Republicans are according to “culture war” issues aimed at invigorating white resentment and white rage should remind us that even the Republicans see these advantages as impermanent and in constant need of reinforcement. And why wouldn’t this be the case? Allying yourself with a cause that brought the country such calamities as slavery, the Civil War, and Jim Crow carries obviously toxic, self-defeating downsides for anyone not fully bought-in to its retrograde ideas. This isn’t just a vague ideology, like conservatism. It’s an ideology that’s indefensibly evil. We know this not only from its past and current effects, which have resulted in mass murder and exploitation over the course of centuries, but because it goes against basic notions ideas of our shared, common humanity. Against the cynicism and cruelty of the GOP vision, Democrats need to keep the faith that our common humanity will serve as a powerful force in binding us back together, however slow and difficult that effort may be.

Another Week, Another Insurrection

A week doesn’t seem to go by without the GOP providing fresh evidence that it has transformed into the party of insurrection.  Witness the Republican National Committee issuing a condemnation of Representatives Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger asserting that, via their participation in the House January 6 commission, they are aiding Democrats in the “persecution of ordinary citizens engaged in legitimate political discourse.”  In other words, the Republican Party has now asserted that the attack on the Capitol was “legitimate political discourse.”  Not only is this retroactive support of an insurrection against the United States, it defines violence as a legitimate element of politics going forward.

Violence, though, is the enemy of democracy, the attempt to substitute force for the casting of votes and peaceful adherence to election results that are the very heart of democratic politics.  Declaring the violence is a proper way to conduct politics is simply another way of declaring war on democracy.  This is insurrectionary behavior, not an intemperate statement.  It gives aid and comfort to those who participated in the January 6 attack, but also looks ahead to the future, informing Republican voters and others on the right that the party will have their back if they participate in future violence against the republic.  It is also of a piece with Donald Trump’s recent calls for Republican rank-and-file to engage in street actions if state prosecutors begin charging him for his many crimes.  The rule of law is to be opposed with the law of the jungle.

So we need to be using the terms “insurrection” and “insurrectionary” when talking about the Republican Party — not only for the sake of accuracy, but because they capture and communicate the urgency of our American political crisis.  They let us better comprehend the ways that the GOP is in rebellion against both the democratic rules of American politics and the ideal of a free and equal society, attempting to overturn them with a mix of violence, subversion of elections, and attacks on civic harmony.  They break through the illusion that there is anything ordinary about the present political stakes, or that politics is confined simply to the action in Congress and statehouses.

For instance, this rebellion certainly encompasses the GOP’s unending war on the war on covid, in which anti-vaxx and anti-mask animus ensure that the U.S. suffers mass death, social chaos, and economic destruction in the name of denying Democrats victories in the 2022 and 2024 elections.  It also includes the support among elected officials for truck protests akin to those afflicting Canada; many in the GOP are quite comfortable with fomenting economic mayhem through such protests, so long as it gives them a leg up in the November elections.  It also arguably includes the widespread right-wing effort, to which many GOP politicians have happily subscribed, to subvert public education so that the classroom becomes an incubator of white supremacism and disempowerment for minority students.

We are experiencing a broad right-wing, white supremacist uprising against American democracy and society that aims to transform it into something authoritarian, morally repugnant, and, crucially, politically illegitimate.  The Republican Party is the primary agent of this reactionary movement.  Any politics that seeks to defeat it needs to broadcast and confront the GOP’s insurrectionary nature.

Let the Little Ray of Sunshine In

I’ve been arguing for some time now that there’s no way out our political crisis until the Democrats fully acknowledge and confront the authoritarian, white supremacist reality of the Republican Party.  For democracy to survive, Democrats need to defend it. But dishearteningly, through a combination of structural disadvantage, internal division, and poor leadership, the Democratic Party has so far failed to meet the moment. Incredibly, the party seems reluctant to make the GOP pay a political price for literally becoming a party of authoritarian insurrection, or to even know how to do so.

E.J. Dionne has a column out that manages to capture both the general notion of what the Democrats need to do, and the party’s bizarre confusion about how to properly engage the challenge before them. Not only is the GOP tied into Donald Trump’s lies about a stolen presidential election, Dionne correctly points out, the party is now engaged in doing what it can to undermine and steal the 2022 and 2024 elections. Meanwhile, it benefits from some voters’ excitement about Trumpism, even as it doesn’t suffer any previous backlash from Democratic voters, who aren’t being made aware by their elected officials as to the continuing threat of Trumpist authoritarianism. Asks Dionne, “So why are Democrats not shouting from the rooftops about the need to protect democracy?”

(I should pause here and say that, in a bleak media and political landscape, the fact that an opinion writer as essentially mainstream as E.J. Dionne is talking about his bewilderment at the Democrats’ fumbling of such an important and obvious thing as protecting democracy feels like a ray of hope. Surely, at some point, if enough people yell loud enough about the problem, the party leadership will be moved to act, at least so as not to appear too far outside mainstream consensus, right? Right. Like I said, it’s a ray of hope, not a full blast of sunshine, but we will take hope where we can.)

At any rate, Dionne offers a partial answer to his question about what’s keeping the Democrats so tongue-tied: too much adherence to the advice of political consultants who don’t see defense of democracy as a winning issue, particularly in comparison to everyday concerns like inflation and the state of the economy. Dionne rightly points out the circular logic at play, since not talking about issues is often a guaranty that voters will assume they’re not important.

But whatever role the consultant class might play in warping Democratic politicians’ strategies, the basic idea that Democrats are worried about prioritizing the fight for democracy because it doesn’t poll well is persuasive. And this, I would submit, is absolutely bonkers. There are limitless, effective ways in which the party can link everyday concerns with the democracy fight (hell, even the consultants Dionne interviews make some limp suggestions in this direction). The one area where I have a little sympathy with the party leadership right now is over worries that “democracy in crisis” might sound abstract next to the idea of food prices shooting up — but my sympathy ends when I start to think about how easy it is to make the GOP’s war on democracy as concrete as inflation’s war on Americans’ bank accounts.

On the one hand, after the shit show of the Trump presidency, Democrats should be able to easily make the case about what actually happens when the GOP holds power: uncontrolled pandemics, looting of the treasury, the elevation of white supremacism, and violent insurrection, coupled with inaction on any pressing issue facing the country save tax cuts for the richest among us. And on the positive side of the ledger, Democrats can point to the things that they can and will do if they hold power: expanded health care, stronger government support for unions, a higher minimum wage, more money for public schools, robust support for a green energy transition, and equal protection under the law regardless of your race, gender, or sexual orientation.

All of these ills, and all of these goods, are tied to whether or not the GOP overturns American democracy and institutes some variant of one-party rule in this country. Any concern that defending democracy is too abstract for voters to comprehend is a failure of imagination by politicians, not voters. At the end of the day, a Democratic message to voters that unites the war for democracy with the fight for everyday justice and prosperity might boil down to this: “Whatever you want in life, in your job, for your family, will simply be meaningless if your vote no longer counts, as the Republican Party is aiming for. Vote for Democrats, and not only will we make sure that your vote counts, we will fight like hell to make sure your civil rights are protected, the economy prospers for everyone, your children get a world-class education, the planet lives, and fascism dies.”

Given what I believe is the obviousness of the approach the Democrats should be taking, the question I find myself mulling more and more is the same one Dionne raises — why aren’t Democrats shouting from the rooftops about the threat to democracy, when such a clear case can be made in conjunction with concrete, kitchen table issues? I suspect that part of the Democrats’ failure to fully engage in the fight for democracy, and against GOP authoritarianism, can be tied to the party’s internal divisions over how much it should fight for the social and economic goods that are the concrete manifestations of democracy. One shocking but clarifying aspect of the apparently defunct Build Back Better Act is how non-radical its elements were: from child care and free community college to green energy spending, its initial, grandest form contained a wide range of programs that this country should already have had long ago. Prioritizing defense of democracy would also logically mean prioritizing delivery of the material and social goods that move democracy from theory to practice, that ultimately make democracy worth fighting for: the ability to make our votes count and our collective voice heard, not simply because it is morally right, but because it is the way we advance our collective interests.  

My hunch is that another substantial reason for Democrats’ torpor is the party’s hesitation in confronting the white supremacism that’s core to the GOP’s turn to authoritarianism —not because the party leadership isn’t opposed to racism, but due to a primal fear of alienating white voters by making the stakes of the conflict so explicit. This caution runs the risk of being self-defeating, and of giving aid and comfort to the forces of white supremacist reaction. If the GOP can continue to more and more explicitly identify itself as the party of white supremacism, and to enact laws that give white supremacism the authority of state power, while the Democrats don’t describe this reality or move unambiguously to oppose it, this can only lead to demoralization among its multi-ethnic base and delegitimization of the party leadership.

What’s even crazier is that not only do the Democrats face a GOP opposition that sees ending competitive democracy as the road to power, the Republican Party’s machinations have crossed over into a sort of closeted insurrectionism. With retroactive approval of the January 6 coup attempt granted by most Republican congresspeople and senators, the party standing back and standing by as the former president incites mob violence against prosecutors who have him in their crosshairs, and multiple GOP state legislatures looking at ways to throw out presidential election results the next time around, the Republican Party has basically decided that insurrection is politics by other means, and that it feels pretty darned good. To see various Democratic Party politicians respond by insisting that Democratic voters just have to try harder to vote, by continuously imputing bipartisan openness to opponents who long for their destruction, and by essentially lying to their base about the threat the country faces, you would be in good company if it appeared to you that many Democratic leaders appear to have no clue as to the depth of the crisis we are in. So plain old denial may well be playing a part in the Democrats’ deer-in-the-headlights act. 

Once again, it’s clear that our political crisis has two complementary halves: a GOP gone feral with authoritarian and white supremacist beliefs, and a Democratic Party not fully committed to opposing this existential threat to our democracy and to our basic ability to live our lives as we see fit.  This is not to say there is any equivalence between the two, only that you could make a pretty good case that a tougher and more clear-eyed Democratic Party leadership would allow no political quarter to an opposition bent on the destruction of American democracy and the conversion of much of the Democratic base to unchallengeable second-class citizenship.  Something has got to give here; let us hope it involves a new wave of Democratic leaders fighting back, and not the GOP steamrolling over the majority in the coming years.

GOP Sabotage in Pandemic Fight Is Fair Game for Democratic Pushback

Adam Johnson has written a great elucidation of how, through the course of the pandemic, commentators and politicians have anthropomorphized the coronavirus into a sentient, malevolent entity akin to a terrorist group or crazy regime.  This rhetorical gambit, he argues, has powered all sorts of misguided and perniciously bad takes on public health strategies.  Johnson notes that, “It’s not just a quirky cultural framework that’s interesting to note in its own right, but part of a larger epistemological regime in American political discourse: So much of how we speak about the world is based on tough-guy bullshit, solipsism, martial posturing, hyper-individualism, and triggering the libs.”

Kudos to Johnson for drawing our attention to this glitch in the discourse, and how it enables all manner of nonsense — such as Republican politicians arguing that we shouldn’t live in fear of the virus, or rants about how people are “done” with the virus, as if we were in an abusive relationship that it’s in our power to break off (news flash: you can’t dump a pandemic).

But where Johnson really gets cooking with gas is in connecting this anthropomorphization of covid with a right-wing effort to blame the suffering that covid has wrought on liberals who purportedly want public health measures against the pandemic.  Of columnist Bari Weiss’ recent appearance on Bill Maher’s Real Time show, in which she proclaimed herself to be “done” with the virus, he writes that: 

What’s notable about this rant, aside from the fact that it’s presented as edgy or subversive truth-telling when it’s basically bipartisan conventional wisdom at this point (sans, perhaps, mask mandates), is that what she’s spewing is 100 percent, uncut demagoguery. She’s taking genuine and understandable frustrations and re-positioning the cause of the audience’s suffering as not the virus itself, but liberal scolds lobbying for modest mitigation efforts. This re-positioning gets a major applause from Maher's audience, and of course it does: It deliberately appeals to our reptilian brain—the part that’s mad, mad at all the sacrifice and suffering, mad at all the missed birthdays, funerals, and trauma we’ve all suffered over the past two years—and gives it a human face. It’s not Covid, it’s those goddamn Covid-weary liberals who want to shut everything down.

A parallel phenomenon plays out when GOP politicians talk about not living in fear of the virus: by behaving as if the virus is a conscious enemy that’s trying to psych us out, the GOP can then point to progressives as the real enemies, for supporting measures that would purportedly have us upend our lives out of fear of this actively malevolent force.  The GOP thus makes the terms of debate such that “the force we’re standing up against is not the virus, but oppressive and overly paranoid protection measures,” which are presented not just as a needless, harmful surrender to the virus, but even more politically potent, to crazy liberals who favor such measures for their own sinister ends. As Johnson summarizes: “Take vague anger over the disruption to normal life, and don’t blame a non-sentient, non-intelligent, agency-free virus, but those calling for public health interventions to delay or reduce its spread.”

Two things stand out to me in Johnson’s observations.  First, he’s identified something that arguably constitutes a major engine of right-wing resistance to common-sense anti-covid measures — the way that right-wing politicians and opinion shapers work to channel very justifiable anger at the ravages of covid into anger at their political enemies for the alleged crime of being the ones who are actually causing the suffering.  Second, he gets at something that Democrats and progressives have been slow to grasp: the sheer amount of existing anger that the right is thus able to tap, and, more specifically, the underlying irrationality of these emotions, which constitute a vast reservoir of resentment that the Democrats ignore at their peril.

Once again, I’m reminded of the disparity in political approaches between our two major political parties.  Not just on the pandemic, but on issues of crime, immigration, and, most prominently, race, the GOP as a party appears fully conscious of, well, the unconscious and emotional motivations of Americans — that appeals emotion and irrationality can rouse and motivate voters.  In contrast, the Democrats still seem largely wedded to a rational, policy and fact-based approach of appealing to voters’ rational and material interests.  What’s particularly enlightening about Johnson’s essay, and the way that covid has ripped not just through our population but through our politics, is that this pandemic has helped revealed the fatal limits to the Democrats’ overly rationalist approach.

The truth is, from the very start, the U.S. approach to this pandemic was deliberately politicized and thus undercut by a Republican White House eager not to harm the economy in the run-up to the 2020 election.  Not only did Donald Trump insist that the coronavirus was not a threat to the United States, his instinct for self-preservation hindered the necessary governmental and societal mobilization that could have bought us precious time in the pandemic’s early days.  Just as perniciously, the GOP’s need to cover for Trump’s mistakes created a massive incentive for the party to double down on Trump’s efforts to downplay the seriousness of the virus.  Then, once Joe Biden became president, the GOP’s focus went full bore on undermining measures to fight the virus, in the hopes that the economic harm and societal damage would increase their chances of success in the 2022 midterms and beyond.  As Perry Bacon Jr. summarizes in a recent column, “While the president was running a massive campaign to get Americans vaccinated, GOP officials and conservative media effectively ran an anti-vaccine countercampaign, promoting doubts or playing down the importance of inoculations. Mask-wearing, vaccines and every other part of Biden’s covid strategies have been broadly undermined by Republicans, including GOP-appointed judges."  Most catastrophic has been the combination of outright and tacit support for the anti-vaccination movement, which has helped ensure that the U.S. has seen death rates and infections that surpass many of its peers. 

In the face of this sabotage, and the resulting literal death count, the Biden administration’s continued insistence on treating the fight against the pandemic as something that must rise above politics must be deemed a failure.  What Johnson’s piece helped illuminate for me is the sense that Democrats are courting disaster if they fail to confront a GOP strategy that redirects Americans’ anger and fear towards the virus and necessary mitigation measures — irrationally conflated, as Johnson describes — onto Democrats.  Key to the party protecting itself is making sure that all that rancor, resentment, and rage roiling in American hearts and minds over the pandemic are properly directed at a Republican Party that has made itself an accomplice to covid’s continued prevalence and deadliness across the land.

While it’s understandable that the Biden administration would want to keep the vaccination effort in particular as free of politics as possible, so as to increase the chances of persuading reluctant Americans — particularly on the right — to get vaccinated, plateauing vaccination rates demonstrate the limits to the current approach.  Beyond this, the unacceptably high infection and death rates we’ve been seeing are signs of a strategy gone terribly wrong.  In failing to counter the GOP’s one-sided politicization of the covid fight, President Biden and the Democratic Party more broadly are helping bring about a situation in which the GOP’s deliberate use of the pandemic as a weapon to undercut the fortunes of its political opposition are inflicting deadly, serious harm on the nation.  In failing to defend the country against such sabotage, the Democrats are failing their basic purpose as a political party — to serve the public interest — and inexplicably allowing a full-on assault against their own political fortunes to proceed unchallenged.

This is not to say that the Biden Administration hasn’t made mistakes outside of failing to confront the GOP over pandemic sabotage, or that it bears no responsibility for the continued ravages of the coronavirus.  Among other things, it’s now clear that Joe Biden’s declaration of victory over the coronavirus back in the early summer of 2021 was both premature and counter-productive, and that the administration displayed stunning flat-footedness in anticipating the dangers of both the delta and omicron variants.  The lack of better guidance around what type of masks to wear, and the extremely belated provision of very limited numbers of N95s to Americans free of charge, only appear more mind-boggling as time goes on.

Yet the Biden administration’s unforced errors and failures have occurred under a larger good-faith, science-based effort to bring the pandemic to an end — an effort opposed at multiple points, over the course of the last year, by much of the Republican Party.  At long last, then, the Democrats need to take all the justified anger that people are feeling about the pandemic still upending lives, and direct it squarely at those most responsible for prolonging the pandemic: a GOP that dementedly behaves as if the virus is a conscious, sentient enemy, and that urges American to “defy” both the virus and opposes commonsense measures like vaccination and mandatory masking.  Not only is this the right thing to do, it’s the politically smart move — not just for the sake of countering GOP efforts to place the blame on Democrats, but because majority opinion remains strongly in favor of the effective, science-based approaches that Democrats generally advocate.  On this front, it’s telling that the GOP and right-wing commentators revert again and again to the idea that Democrats are pushing “lockdowns” and other such onerous restrictions, when the truth is that the current mitigation measures are limited to mask-wearing requirements in public places and a continued push for vaccination.  In many ways, the GOP is pushing back against alleged Democratic policies that don’t actually exist.  The opportunity exists to paint the GOP as a party of extremism, anti-science, and indifference to mass suffering.

On the specific issue of prioritizing vaccinations, the Dems have a moral as well as political obligation to rethink their approach.  As Jonathan Chait writes, the anti-vaxx wing of the Republican Party has now grown so large that it’s essentially an unshakeable element of the GOP coalition; even Republican politicians who officially support vaccination provide space for anti-vaxx disinformation and activists to spread their poison.  Opposition to vaccines on made-up grounds is a public health threat in its own right, and Democrats must speak and act based on this fact: first and foremost, for calling out Republican politicians who engage in anti-scientific and anti-public health rhetoric, and who promote such policies.  Republican politicians are in a vulnerable position, in that what’s popular or acceptable within their own coalition is rightly seen as simply crazy by the rest of the country.  Democrats need to exploit this element of Republican extremism, and implicate the larger GOP in the insanity of its anti-vaxx elements.  

Among other things, no Democrat talking about vaccination efforts should ever fail to remind listeners of the hideous differential between Democratic- and Republican-leaning counties in covid deaths.  It should be a basic talking point that the GOP is pursuing policies and encouraging ideas that are killing its own voters.  The purpose of this, apart from communicating the truth, is to pry apart GOP voters from the politicians who have betrayed them.  Equally importantly, it would serve as a wake-up call to disaffected Democrats unnerved by high inflation and perceptions that Joe Biden hasn’t been able to deliver on his most ambitious campaign promises: if the GOP returns to power, the country risks seeing the death rates of red counties sweeping the whole nation.

One might argue that there’s no reason for a shift in Democratic strategy, given that the omicron wave is peaking and the possibility that we may be through the worst of the pandemic.  But this is not just a fight over the present state of things: it’s both a fight over the past, and over how we set ourselves up for the future.  Even if the omicron variant ends up being the worst of the coronavirus pandemic, we can’t allow the GOP to re-write history in a way that assigns blame for these horrific death tolls on the Democrats.  Likewise, given the very real possibility of an equally bad or even worse variant in the future, Democrats have every incentive to defend public health policy that emphasizes the importance of measures like vaccination and masking as basic tools for fighting this and similar pandemics.  Ultimately, this goes far beyond pandemic preparation, to a very real fight over what sort of country we want to be: one in which everyone does their part to advance the public good, or one in which each person is valorized for acting in the most selfish ways possible, whether it’s refusing life-saving vaccines or harassing public health officials for doing their jobs. Democrats need to come to grips with the fact that this is not just one more random “culture war” fight, but a struggle essential to the continued health and prosperity of the country far into the future.

Congressional Stock-in-Trade Should Not Be Stock Trading

Last month, I noted House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s flabbergasting opposition to legislation that would restrict or ban stock trading by members of Congress.  Her comments came in the wake of a startling Business Insider report documenting how 54 senators and congresspeople violated the lax existing rules, which simply require disclosure of trades by elected officials or family members within a certain window of time.

For a variety of reasons, banning or severely restricting stock trading on Capitol Hill should be a no-brainer.  So color me not surprised to read last week that Republicans, including House minority leader Kevin McCarthy, are considering turning restrictions on congressional stock trading into a campaign issue to use for winning back the House in November.  This potential GOP strategy validates criticism of Pelosi’s somewhat contemptuous dismissal of the need for better stock trading rules. After all, public opinion runs strongly against the practice, which can’t hurt the party that adopts it as a campaign issue.  More than this, though, stock sale reform provides a perfect opportunity for the Republican Party to wield of fig leaf of ethical modesty in front of the vast apparatus of corruption the party embodies.  Why not talk a good game about banning stocks, if it will help the party distract the public from the GOP’s far-ranging attacks on fair elections and embrace of slow-motion insurrection, not to mention its entanglement with possibly the most corrupt politician in America, Donald Trump?

It’s the vast corruption of the dearly departed Trump administration in particular that made my head reel when I first read about Pelosi’s nonchalant take on corruption, or least its appearance, among congressional representatives.  To have experienced the Trump years, but then failing to conclude that ethical behavior would need to be at the center of the Democrats’ claim to be the party that could wash away the stench of Trumpism, is frankly a mind-boggling political (and moral) miscalculation.  Much of the horror of the Trump administration flowed from the replacement of the public interest with Donald Trump’s personal avarice and lust for power.  THIS is the true, larger context for Pelosi’s lack of enthusiasm for ethical reforms.  And now we are seeing the political fallout of this miscalculation begin to threaten Democrats — in this case, failing to act decisively earlier, in the wake of the Business Insider report, has allowed the GOP not only to pretend that it's interested in cleaning up politics, but to highlight an issue that makes it seem that both sides are equally corrupt and in need of a good hose-down.  Left to fester, it has now been weaponized by the GOP into a way to provide cover for the party’s broader corruption, and as a method for indicting Democrats as fellow travelers in trough-wallowing — all completely predictable, and both politically tone deaf and morally wrong.

The fact that various political odd couples and surprise embracers of ethics are joining the fight in favor of trading restrictions also highlights the bizarreness of Pelosi’s initial cold water response and the damage further foot-dragging by congressional leadership might inflict on the party.  In the House, Virginia Democrat Abigail Spanberger has joined with Republican Chip Roy of Texas to sponsor legislation that would require lawmakers and their immediate family to put their stock holdings in a blind trust.  In the Senate, not only Democrat Jon Osoff but Josh “fist bump your respect for the insurrectionists” Hawley are both pushing legislation to clean up this mess.

But now for some good news.  Last week, the Speaker seemed to moderate her position, stating that she now would be open to moving stock-trading legislation forward if her caucus were to support it — though she still felt compelled to note that, “I just don't buy into it.”  (Yikes.) More encouragingly, there are reports that the effort to move forward on restrictions has gained momentum in recent weeks — ironically enough, in part because of Pelosi’s initial derisive comments.   According to Representative Roy, “The news of the speaker’s comments blew the lid off the issue,” while Spanberger noted that, “Even if she disagrees or thinks it’s unnecessary, I think there was a dismissiveness of the question that I think caught a lot of attention and certainly has propelled this issue a bit more.”

Getting such legislation passed before the midterms should be a high priority for Democrats.  Not only do they need to do the right thing, they need to deny the GOP an easy cudgel to wield in the upcoming midterms.  Any energy spent defending themselves on this easily-resolved issue is energy that could have far better spent taking the fight to the GOP.

Say Its Name, Part 100

These last couple of weeks have felt like a particularly bleak period in U.S. politics, not just for their own sake but in the way they cast shadows and danger far into the future.  The Build Back Better Act has run into a Joe Manchin-shaped wall, while the Democrats’ ensuing strategic pivot to voting rights has run into a Joe Manchin AND Kristen Sinema-shaped wall; the economy seems stable enough, but inflation concerns haunt the citizenry (and Joe Biden’s approval ratings); federal roll-outs of free at-home covid test kits and N95 masks are haunted by questions of why it took so long to provide such no-brainer basics; and we’ve been gifted with a seemingly unending stream of stories about Dems in disarray, circular firing squads, and a White House that lacks a strategy for the midterms.  We’ve even seen the Supreme Court get in on the fun, striking down the OSHA policy requiring that all companies of 100 or more employees require covid vaccinations or testing — a decision that will surely contribute to thousands more needless deaths, not to mention serving the GOP’s partisan goals of kneecapping the economy and with it, Democratic election prospects.  

So it might seem perverse that I’m about to ask you to stare even further into the political abyss — but let’s try to think of this as a sort of shock and awe therapy, where confronting our worst nightmares also holds the key to setting us free (or at least moving us towards an actual strategy for defending and retaining American democracy).  I’m always eager to find writing that gets to the heart of America’s political dilemmas, and this past week has brought some real humdingers.  There are few chroniclers of the structural impediments and cultural conflicts driving our political crisis as good as Ronald Brownstein; he’s consistently accessible and insightful, and has a pair of articles out this week that serve as the latest installments of his democracy-in-crisis coverage. He zeroes in on the voting rights fight, and how the failure of federal legislation to protect voting rights is both catalyst and symptom of an anti-democratic collection of Republican power, which consists of “the axis of Republican-controlled state governments, the GOP-appointed majority on the Supreme Court and filibusters mounted by Senate Republicans,” which in combination are “limiting Democrats' ability to set the national agenda, even as they hold unified control of the White House, House and Senate for the first time since 2010.”  None of these sources of GOP power on their own would be sufficient to block the Democratic trifecta of White House, Senate, and House of Representatives; together, though, they seem to be more than sufficient.  Brownstein describes the Republicans as essentially conducting a “revolution from below,” using state initiatives to challenge federal policy.  Where the wrenching importance of the voting rights rollback comes into view is not just in our embattled present, but moving forward, with voting suppression and a sympathetic Supreme Court very likely leading to a reversal of basic civil rights like abortion access across red states unencumbered by federal protections.

The particular power of Brownstein’s articles is in their persuasive description of dynamics that have long been in motion but are now reaching their logical conclusion, as if they were following rules of political dynamics akin to laws of physics.  A far-right Supreme Court with nearly half its members appointed by presidents who lost the popular vote but still made it to the White House; a Senate disproportionately favoring conservative states; and voter suppression efforts aimed at negating the Democratic majority, and indeed making it impossible for that majority to ever change the rules back to fairness: all have congealed into an anti-democratic roadblock for the American polity.

Next to Brownstein’s excellent analysis of how America’s political structures have been manipulated in the service of the GOP’s quest for minority rule, a piece by historian Thomas Zimmer provides a parallel perspective on why the Republicans have embarked on a journey that has turned the GOP into an explicitly authoritarian party, with Zimmer writing that:  

For several decades, the Republican party has been focused almost exclusively on the interests and sensibilities of white conservatives who tend to define “real America” as a predominantly white, Christian, patriarchal nation. America, to them, is supposed to be a place where white Christian men are at the top.  [. . .]

Due to political, cultural and most importantly demographic changes, Republicans no longer have majority support for this political project – certainly not on the federal level, and even in many “red” states, their position is becoming increasingly tenuous. [. . .]

No one understands this better than Republicans themselves. In a functioning democratic system, they would have to either widen their focus beyond the interests and sensibilities of white conservatives, which they are not willing to do; or relinquish power, which they reject. They have chosen a different path – determined to do whatever it takes to protect their hold on power and preserve traditional hierarchies.

Zimmer notes that the GOP is actually correct that the United States has indeed been moving, over the last several decades, towards becoming a “multiracial, pluralistic democracy”; like Brownstein, Zimmer sees the attack on voting rights as central to the GOP’s authoritarian project, which involves a repudiation and reversal of whatever progress the United States has so far made towards multiracial democracy.  Similarly, he sees a dark path ahead if the GOP project succeeds, with the advent of an authoritarian state well within the realm of plausibility.

Together, this trio of pieces helps us see our current political situation in stark, necessary terms — the only terms that will allow us to confront and overcome it.  I feel more strongly than ever that there is simply no way for Democrats, or any supporters of democracy, to succeed if they do not begin describing our current situation to their fellow Americans in just such an accurate and pointed fashion.  First, that the GOP is gunning, through the “axis” of state power, the Senate filibuster, and a Supreme Court majority, to institute minority rule in this country; and second, that this GOP vision is deeply rooted in a vision of white supremacism.  This anti-democratic, racist agenda needs to be made central to the political conversation in this country.  

On the first point, thinking about the long-term consequences of potential one-party rule by the GOP is also deeply clarifying, and must be mainstreamed into public discussion.  Brownstein points out the rights that are already under threat, including the right to abortion and of course voting rights.  But I think even this understates the depth of the danger.  If the Republican Party can gerrymander and suppress its way to a lock on all three branches of the federal government (in addition to control of many or most states), then the sky is literally the limit — not just on “culture war” issues, like a reversal of gay Americans’ right to marry, but with a whole range of economic and political sabotage and extremism becoming possible.  Higher taxes for blue states and lower (or no) taxes for red states — why not?  Further restrictions on voting rights ensuring that even the greatest of blue waves won’t win back power for Democrats — a no brainer!  Legislation requiring that recipients of federal contracts can’t be companies with unions — is the conservative and corrupt Supreme Court really going to stand in the way? Without the right to vote and have your vote counted, unchallengeable, unending one-party minority rule is the logical outcome, with guaranteed exploitation and degradation of the majority of Americans.

Along these lines, Brownstein and Zimmer have also left me more convinced than ever that Democratic rhetoric and efforts that treat the right to vote as an abstract assault on individual civil rights is woefully inadequate to the reality of our moment and of voting itself.  Without question, each of our right to vote should be treated as sacred and non-negotiable.  At the same time, though, our individual vote —our individual power — is only meaningful in combination with hundreds, thousands, millions of votes by similarly-minded or allied citizens.  And this power, in turn, comes not from abstractly voting, but by voting for something — specifically, the politicians, policies, and ideas we support.

Both Brownstein and Zimmer make this connection explicit, by reminding us that the GOP is not just subverting and blocking voting rights as a political power play, but as a means to achieving a certain reactionary project that places the morality of conservative, patriarchally-minded whites as the guiding light.  (To this, I would add that this conservative project also includes the advancement of corporate, anti-worker interests and the denigration of the state’s ability to address not just issues of social justice, but economic fairness as well.)  I think President Biden started to approach such a strategy in his voting rights speech last week, in things like references to “Jim Crow 2.0.”  However, this rhetoric needs to be greatly expanded, to explicitly address the reasons the GOP is now so very motivated to roll back voting rights: the collective threat the party perceives from a populace that is growing browner and more liberal every year.  Biden and other Democrats need to do three things: remind the American majority that the threat posed by voter suppression is actually a threat to whether we can live in the kind of society we want to, remind Americans that we have already long been working towards such a society, and mobilize Americans in defense of this vision.  

The elements of awareness and mobilization are all the more important in the face of likely unstoppable voting restrictions in the coming years.  In the first place, pro-democracy forces in the United States must ensure that a maximal number of voters at least attempt to make their voices heard, in the hopes of overcoming restrictions and gerrymandering aimed at diluting majority rule.  Alongside this, given the failure of the current Democratic Party leadership to prevent the GOP from attaining the means to a grand reversal of political and social progress, it will fall to state and local organizers and individuals to create strategies to counter the GOP’s subversion of voting and democratic governance.  Whether it takes mass protests, statewide strikes, supercharged union organizing, or civil disobedience, the answer to attacks on democracy inevitably involves a massive democratic counter-movement.  While one of the people Brownstein interviews suggests that the GOP’s minoritarian tactics in favor of unpopular positions make a backlash inevitable, the big question is whether this backlash can be channeled into actual reform and undoing of this reactionary movement: simply relying on voters to vote the bums out when those votes won’t count, or can’t even be cast in the first place, is not a strategy at all.

Having said all this, though, let’s not assume that all is lost in the coming election cycle.  The Democrats need to run like hell to hold the line in the 2022 midterms, so as to build their Senate majority and finally pass democracy-protecting legislation.  As observers like Brian Beutler have suggested, in the absence of large-scale achievements like the Build Back Better Act, there’s nothing wrong with trying to make the midterms about Republican perfidy; from Trump idolatry and the party’s murderous pro-covid policies and accompanying efforts to undermine the economic recovery, from opposition to popular Build Back Better policies like paid family leave and the child tax credit to complicity in the January 6 insurrection and cover-up, there’s plenty of ammunition for making the case that returning the GOP to power would be a stepping stone to the return of Donald Trump to the White House.  And as I argued above, the GOP’s quest for unassailable one-party rule and embrace of a white nationalist vision for American must be part of the mix.  “If Republicans win, your vote will never count again” is not much of an exaggeration, if at all.  

January 6ths All the Way Down

As we roll past the first anniversary of January 6, it’s crucial that we recognize the infamy of that day while also understanding that the attack on the Capitol was only one element of a larger coup  that preceded and followed that act of violence.  We know so much more now than we did a year ago — specifically about efforts by Donald Trump and his allies to discredit and throw out the election results in key swing states.  

But equally important for anyone who is trying to make sense of American politics and believes in a democratic future, we all need to come to grips with the reality that the insurrection exemplified by January 6 never actually ended.  The majority of Republican Party officials have either embraced Trump’s Big Lie that Democrats stole the election, or, even more importantly, support various legislative and rhetorical subversions of the American electoral system aimed at ensuring that Republicans will prevail in future elections.  And so across the land, GOP legislatures are not only making it harder for Democratic-leaning citizens to vote and to have those votes count, but making it possible for Republican legislatures to throw out election results and replace them with their own choices, particularly in presidential elections.  Meanwhile, thousands of rank-and-file Trump loyalists are flocking to join local election boards, with the goal of putting a thumb on the scales, or worse, in the running and counting of future elections; in states like Georgia, this effort to undermine election mechanics is abetted by state laws disempowering local election boards in favor of state intervention.  Alongside this, right-wing extremists engage in a spectrum of violence and intimidation, from disruptions of school board meetings to the lurking menace of political gangs like the Proud Boys and the Oath Keepers.

That much of the current GOP effort is non-violent and conducted through legal machinations makes it no less an attack on American democracy than the January 6 Capitol assault.  We are all living through a slow-motion insurrection against the republic, in which a political party representing a minority of Americans seeks permanent power over the majority.

We also need to recognize the larger struggle going on, the substantive reasons why the Republican Party has declared war on American democracy, as opposed to this simply being a power grab for its own sake, a case of hardball politics gone too far.  The GOP’s efforts are ultimately aimed at promoting the interests of white, Christian Americans against the diverse, expanding majority — an effort to turn back the clock to a time when white supremacy was the basis for American society.  Simultaneously, the GOP effort at seizing unassailable power also seek to raise powerful corporate interests beyond the scope of government regulation and subordination to the public interest.  The goal, then, is not simply to destroy democracy for the sheer thrill of power, but to institute a vision of American society and American capitalism deeply at odds with the interests of most Americans.  This reactionary movement also encompasses the right-wing Supreme Court and its subversion of the rule of law, civil rights, and the capacity of the federal government to work in the public interest; striking examples of this include its reversal of abortion rights, undermining the federal government’s ability to regulate the economy, and today’s striking down of the Biden administration vaccine mandate for large American businesses to combat the covid pandemic.

In this sense, then, we face not just a political insurrection, but a reactionary movement that understands that the only way to achieve its goals is to destroy both the American political system’s ability to serve the majority as well as any semblance of an egalitarian, tolerant society.  The question the rest of us now have to answer, from the Democratic leadership through ordinary Americans, is what we’re going to do about it.

At the mass level, it seems to me that the best defense of democracy is more democracy, from citizens getting engaged in local politics, to talking with friends about their concerns, to of course voting for candidates who defend American government.  But this last obvious point brings us back to the nature of the Republican insurrection, which crucially aims to ensure that as few Democratic voters as possible are actually able to vote or have those votes count.  And this means that Democratic elected officials need to do their part, now, to defend America.  God knows that President Biden and the congressional Democrats have their hands full with razor-thin majorities and the Build Back Better bill hanging by a thread, and with the filibuster currently blocking any possibility of democracy-protecting legislation — I don’t want to underestimate the very real challenges of this situation.

But at a bare minimum, what Democrats can do is actually talk, and behave, as if this country actually does face an insurrection.  A year into Biden’s presidency and the current Congress, it should be crystal clear that appeals to bipartisanship are folly.  Since January 6, the GOP has only continued to radicalize, not moderate, and at this point behaving as if major legislation is possible with the help of Republicans only serves to mislead the American people as to the true nature of this authoritarian party.  The country finds itself in a horrifying and dangerous place, and there is nothing to be gained by pretending that this reality does not exist, as if pretending might magically make it not so.

President Biden’s January 6 speech was a good start, but as others have noted, whether it marks a real change in his rhetorical and political stance toward the GOP will depend on whether he maintains a position consistent with his remarks moving forward.  At some point, if he is indeed stymied by senators Manchin and Sinema in the push to pass democracy legislation, then maintaining a posture of pointed antagonism to the GOP will only become more important.  At that point, in the absence of legislation, alerting and mobilizing the American people to the dangers of one-party Republican rule will be the Democratic Party’s primary way to defend democracy leading up to the 2022 election.  Democrats must make the case that January 6 was but the most violent expression of an ongoing mass insurrection against American democracy.

That said, retaining a great deal of focus on January is necessary, as it constitutes not only a tremendous crime in and of itself, but also represents an effective way to help make the case that we are experiencing a general attack on our political order.  Even GOP politicians who did not participate in the planning and actions of that day have retroactively made themselves party to it, either by parroting the Big Lie or by pressing for election restrictions the Big Lie is meant to justify.   Stressing the continuity between the intentions of the violence of January 6, and the intentions of legislation meant to subvert democracy, can be a righteous and effective cudgel in defense of democracy.  In an essay on the January 6 attack, historian Joanne Freeman argues that drawing a bright line against violence in American politics is essential:

All these months after the attack, the seemingly bare-minimum response has not happened: There has been no full-throated group statement from the congressional bully pulpit stating that the attack was out of bounds, no strong, clear line in the sand naming the events of Jan. 6 an unforgivable assault on the democratic processes and principles of our government that must never happen again. This astounding omission could prove fatal.

[. . .] Although accountability won’t single-handedly end our current crisis, its absence virtually guarantees more of the same. With no clear line in the sand, the attack on democracy will continue, unchecked and empowered, with the worst yet to come.

Even if the January 6 attack had not been part of a larger Republican insurrection, it would still require a forceful, unambiguous response.  It is time for the Democrats to realize that the Republican Party will never be part of a true accounting and reckoning with that day, and that January 6 must form a key piece of their broader indictment of an authoritarian GOP in the years ahead.  Televise the January 6 hearings; distribute daily talking points to Democrats so that they are singing from the same choir book; rinse and repeat through the November midterms, and beyond.  They can at least count on the GOP to keep feeding the indictment, such as with the mass refusal to attend the congressional commemoration of January 6 (save Lynne Cheney), constant assertions by many that January 6 was no big deal, and crazy talk from Donald Trump that the actual insurrection occurred on Election Day 2020.  Democrats must embrace the necessity of irreconcilable conflict with the GOP, and win this fight both in the court of public opinion and at the polls.  

Democrats Need to Tie Public School Battles to Broader Defense of a Free and Equal Society

Over at The Plum Line blog, Paul Waldman has accurately identified the deeply strange and insufficient Democratic response to the Republican Party’s current onslaught on public education.  As the GOP’s hysterical anti-critical race theory rhetoric is now leading to actual policies and laws that threaten to profoundly change the nature of American education, he describes the Democrats as being in a state of “paralyzed confusion,” without any concerted effort to counter this tide of awful that Republicans see as a winning issue going into the 2022 midterms. 

This is indeed a baffling and infuriating stance by Democrats, given the essential racism of the GOP’s anti-CRT crusade and the essential rightness of promoting school curricula that are based on truth and reality, not white supremacist propaganda.  Waldman zeroes in on a Democratic tendency as underlying the deer-in-the-headlights routine: “Devoted as they are to facts and rational argumentation, liberals can’t help themselves from responding to Republican attacks first and foremost with refutation, which allows Republicans to set the terms of debate.” Instead of getting sucked into a back and forth with an opponent that doesn’t care about facts, he suggests that the Democrats simply hit back, with something like, ““Republicans want to subject our kids to fascist indoctrination. Why do they want to teach our kids that slavery wasn’t bad? Why are they trying to ban books? Who’s writing their education policy, David Duke? Don’t let them destroy your schools!””  Concludes Waldman: “Maybe Democrats need to begin not with a response to Republican lies about what happens in the classroom, but an attack on what Republicans are trying to do to American education.”

The Democrats’ acceptance of Republican framing here is indeed glaring, and I couldn’t agree more with Waldman’s suggestion of a counter-attack.  But beyond the issue of framing, the current inaction also strikes me as a somewhat inexplicable Democratic alienation from basic values that would seem to form the moral center of the party — among them, commitment to civil rights, to facts, and ultimately, to a vision of the public good.  Republicans are proposing outlandish and racist changes to American public education that are aimed not simply at providing a winning issue in 2022, but at actually changing how American schoolchildren are supposed to think about their country and their fellow citizens, in ways directly opposed to ideas of the United States embraced by both Democratic politicians and voters.  It makes zero sense to me that Democrats would feel insecure about asserting that schools should teach such basic values as racial equality and the evils of slavery.  If the GOP is profiting from lies about history classes teaching white kids to hate themselves, then the solution is to oppose the lies, not tacitly assent to them.

But the Democrats’ disarray on this issue at least helps us grasp a broader disarray in confronting the authoritarian, amped-up GOP.  Confronted with an opponent that is able to effectively and comprehensively articulate its illiberal values and its perverted vision for American society, Democrats remain unwilling or unable to counter with their own vision of a progressive American society.  This is not to say that we don’t see glimpses of it here and there, from the social safety net-strengthening features of the adrift Build Back Better Act to President Biden’s energetic and pointed January 6 speech vowing to fight authoritarian politics — but there is a general lack of investment in making this vision explicit.  I’m not saying I want a 100-point enumeration of Democratic Party values, but I do think it’s reasonable for the party to, at a minimum, explicitly, repeatedly make clear that it’s in favor of transforming the United States into a full multi-racial democracy with equality for all.  After all, the underlying reality of this vision is well understood even by the Republican Party, many of whose efforts are explicitly aimed at rolling back these Democratic aims while painting them in the most ominous light possible to white Americans.  To bring this back to the conflict over schools — it is not at all hard to imagine Democrats putting the various GOP school initiatives in the context of the larger GOP assault on American political institutions and free society (not least because this happens to be true).  An aggressive response on this particular issue would also be an opportunity for Democrats to articulate their larger vision for a free and fair American society, if they dared to take it.  

The Democratic disarray in responding to the GOP’s war on schools is also reflected at the level of basic emotional appeal.  The Republican Party has no qualms about inciting its base into rage and action to promote a white supremacist backlash against liberal educational offenses.  The upside for the GOP, of course, is that this will motivate its voters to go to the polls, as well as inspire Republican rank-and-file to get involved in local politics.  Democrats, meanwhile, aren’t publicly showing the very reasonable anger and righteousness which should be the natural reaction to the opposition party declaring that America’s number 1 problem is not covid, climate change, or economic equality, but that a teacher somewhere might tell her students that the South started the Civil War or that Jim Crow made the lives of African-Americans a living hell.  It is also deeply offensive for the GOP to pretend to care about public education when its decades-long project has in fact been to defund and privatize our nation’s schools, viewing them as a corporate profit center.  If the stakes weren’t so high, the Republicans’ sudden professed interest in the minds of students would be laughable.  The overall effect of Democrats’ apparent lack of outrage is to signal to their base voters that they’re not willing to fight for basic democratic values in education, helping to further demobilize the Democratic base from either voting in the next election or getting excited about involvement in local politics.

As Walden notes, the GOP has chosen to make education an issue, so to that degree the Democrats can’t simply ignore it.  Moreover, the anxiety over covid’s impact on schools is playing into the potency of Republican demagoguery on the make-believe CRT front, so that Democrats would also be well-advised to take this opportunity to reiterate their long-standing commitment to public education.  Many teachers are badly burned out, if they haven’t already left the profession, and the post-covid era will require massive investments in hiring new educators and ensuring schools are prepared for the hard work of catching up a generation of kids who have seen their learning interrupted.  Such an initiative would help both neutralize and overwhelm the GOP’s bogus concerns, while offering real solutions to actual problems.  To echo Walden’s message: what are Democrats waiting for?

Obscene But Not Heard

Before you start popping the champagne over Donald Trump’s decision to back down from a January 6 press conference, I’d urge you to read this post from Josh Marshall over at Talking Points Memo.  Marshall pulls back the camera to observe the larger phenomenon of Donald Trump’s relative disappearance from mainstream coverage and appearances, and the news is not great.  Left to bluster and grow in the hothouse atmosphere of right-wing media, Trump’s utterances have only grown more extreme over the last year, even as most consumers of mainstream media would have little or no idea of this fact.  Rather than being an abstract issue with little real-world consequence, though, Marshall nails exactly what’s wrong with this picture (at least for those who prefer the continued existence of American democracy):

This hasn’t made Trump any weaker. His hold over the institutional and electoral GOP has only intensified since leaving office. The very small number of elected officials who refused to support the Big Lie have mostly been drummed out of the party. Trump’s Big Lie propaganda has become unassailable in heavily state-legislative-gerrymandered states where it will matter most. In short, the “don’t amplify” doctrine has allowed Trump to speak freely to his supporters and intensify his hold over the GOP, while keeping the incendiary messages that mobilize a majority of the country against him largely off mainstream airwaves.

All of the upside and none of the down. [italics added for emphasis]

God knows I talk about the crisis of American democracy often enough, but if we were to drill down to examine the various crises-within-crises that make up this collective meltdown, far up this Russian-doll-within-another-Russian doll food chain would the disparity that Marshall gets at.  On one side, Donald Trump has the ear of literally millions of Republican voters, unfiltered, able not simply to inform them of what propaganda he chooses, but, more specifically, to radicalize this base with his cracked ideas.  Meanwhile, the mass repugnance such ideas previously elicited from the American majority — repugnance that fueled a mass mobilization against Trump over the course of his presidency — has been cooled and diluted by the sense that Trump has left the building.  As I’ve banged on about many times before, we’re left in a very bad place where the GOP is not just energizing its base, but increasingly radicalizing its voters, while simultaneously the Democrats are demoralized by the lack of major legislation in Congress.  For Trump, this lopsided state of affairs is perfectly captured by Marshall: “All of the upside and none of the down.”  

As the Biden economic agenda and democracy-preserving legislation continue in a state of suspended animation, the danger of this enormous imbalance between the Republican base and the Democratic/persuadable mass of voters is increasing.  The solution, absent more media coverage of what Trump’s been up to (coverage, I’d hasten to add, that would ideally draw from the many lessons learned about amplifying and legitimizing Trump previously), would be for the Democratic Party to provide periodic reminders of the menace waiting offstage.  This would both provide a public service of letting citizens know valuable information about the authoritarian in exile, but as importantly would help energize Democratic voters and remind them of the stakes around the midterm elections and beyond.

It seems we have gone from one untenable extreme to another, from too much uncritical amplification of Donald Trump to an unhelpful suppression of the reality of his continued presence in American political life.  Marshall notes that the media’s “don’t amplify” attitude toward Trump is based on a certain “myopia,” and constitutes a “misunderstanding of how both journalism and political power work” by thinking it will help drown out Trump’s ideas or make it seem they don’t even exist.  Again, I think this point is echoed by much of the Democratic Party’s current stance toward Donald Trump, where at least in public, not much is made of the very real possibility Trump will be the GOP’s 2024 presidential candidate or that he’s still stomping around re-making the Republican Party in his own image.  It does seem to be a world-historic misapplication of the notion that if you ignore a problem, it will go away.

War on Democracy, Meet War on Society

Whether you call it an incipient American fascism or Trumpist authoritarianism, a reactionary, anti-democratic movement has seized hold of the Republican Party and many millions of Americans.  It’s a movement that Donald Trump catalyzed, but whose ambitions and power reach far beyond the former president’s wrecking ball appeal, drawing on the darkest strains of American history and society.  White supremacism and perceptions that white Americans are losing their privileged status in American society; chronic economic hardship for too many middle- and lower-income Americans, fueled by an extreme, unrestrained form of capitalism; a militant and un-Christian Christianity that provides moral, even theological justifications, for battling America’s democracy and imposing its views on others; a war on terror that has supercharged fantasies of an America under siege by dark-skinned infidels; a right-wing media apparatus dedicated to propaganda and incitement against fellow Americans and immigrants alike: all these and more are long-term pathologies that have helped bring us to this dystopian but very real age of danger.

Many of us hoped that the defeat of Donald Trump last year would shut down the hideous movement that he had come to represent, but the reality is that we gained only a temporary respite, if that.  In defeat, the authoritarian movement around Donald Trump showed its true nature in unambiguous terms, as the former president attempted a coup to remain in power, and then persuaded the bulk of Republican Party politicians to parrot his Big Lie that the election was stolen from him.  In the year since, this Big Lie has been adopted by a majority of Republican voters, and GOP politicians have used it as a basis for a determined attack against democracy at the state level.  From voter suppression and gerrymandering, to bills allowing state legislatures to decide who wins elections, the Republican Party has substituted a lust for power over the most basic democratic principles or loyalty; the January 6 coup never ended, but only transformed into a slow-rolling insurrection.

So this authoritarian menace has only continued to grow over the last year, to encompass a broader attack on the rule of law and a reactionary cultural assault on the nation.  As political scientist Jason Stanley writes in a chilling and essential assessment that traces the rise of what he terms an American fascist movement, it includes creating a sense of menace posed by outsiders like immigrants and minorities; legitimization of political violence in the form of right-wing militias like the Proud Boys and Oath Keepers; fanning the flames of racism and creating a sense of a true American culture under assault via the made-up threat of critical race theory; and denigrating the rights of women, and asserting the primacy of males, by a full assault against legal abortion.

Stanley describes the United States as being in “fascism’s legal phase,” with the Republican Party moving from fascist propaganda to attempting to enact laws and policies based on these extremist ideas, so as to ensure they are part of the legal and social framework we are all forced to live and breathe.  In other words, we’re past the point where the GOP has declared war on democracy and a free, egalitarian society — it’s already well on its way to enforcing this twisted vision on all of us.  Even as Democrats control the presidency and Congress, the GOP is implementing these changes in multiple states, transforming the daily, lived reality of million of Americans to the point that in some states, like Wisconsin, we can no longer even say that American citizens there actually live in a democracy, or in others, like Texas, we can no longer say that women have anything close to equal rights under the law.

In describing this legal assault on basic pillars of American society, Stanley highlights the basic fact that Republican authoritarianism constitutes far more than just an attack on our election systems (as profoundly, existentially a dangerous as that attack is).  This movement includes an evolving but very real substantive agenda that includes denigration of women and minorities, the infliction of violence on political opponents, the rejection of science in public health, and the promulgation of a misleading vision of American history that substitute myth for reality.  It’s not just a movement to illicitly gain power at the expense of the American majority — it’s also a movement with ideas of what it will do with the illicit power it wields, to the point that we might more accurately describe it as an assault on American society itself.  

Stanley departs from what has been the default way of talking about Republican authoritarianism, both by the media and by the Democratic Party, in which the GOP’s assault on democracy is treated as both the primary challenge, and as somehow separate from what the GOP would do once in power.  Yes, it is a very good thing that GOP election subversion has increasingly (and rightly) begun to receive a level of media attention commensurate with the threat it poses.  And while it hasn’t yet resulted in countervailing, corrective legislation, the Democratic Party has likewise identified the GOP’s election-sabotaging legislation as a direct threat to democracy and Democrats.   But by treating the question of GOP means as somehow separate from GOP ends, and focusing on election subversion as separate from the substance of Republican governance, such rhetoric inadvertently downplays the full extent of the threat posed by this authoritarian movement.  It makes it sound as if the GOP is “merely” gaming the electoral system, when the reality is much darker and of equal threat to the lives, livelihood, and basic dignity of American citizens.  It constitutes a wholesale effort to reshape American society based on white supremacism, a perverted version of actual Christianity, misogyny, contempt for the natural world, and unbridled exploitation of American workers.

I understand why reporters and others in the media would focus on the GOP’s assault on democracy — this is obviously a huge story, and a key element of what’s going on here.  But after having read many, many excellent recent articles on this topic, a persistent theme of abstraction prevails.  The articles all too often assume an objective, political science perspective in which the actual, substantive consequences of the GOP establishing a one-party state are somehow kept out of view — as if the GOP were trying to gain illicit power simply for its own sake.  This may strike some as a perverse critique — can’t we just be happy that the media are finally talking about the GOP’s assault on democracy!, you might be saying to yourself right now — but this phenomenon points to the limits of relying on the media to fully limn our present crisis.  The incentive for most journalists is to appear value-free, to not take sides on substantive issues; to draw the line between the Republicans’ assault on democracy and its assault on American society may be a bridge too far for most to make.

But make no mistake: behind the GOP war on democracy lies a war on a free and egalitarian American society, and this is also what needs to be talked about, by as many people as can make their voices heard.  If journalists can’t do so, then opinion writers and others must talk about this basic reality of our situation.  The Republican assault on liberal, humanitarian values and a society based on them needs to be relayed in concrete, everyday terms, because this is where millions of Americans will be suffering if this authoritarian effort succeeds. 

As an example of what such coverage and analysis can look like, this Ronald Brownstein article in The Atlantic looks at how Republicans are employing their ill-gotten political power to roll back decades of civil rights gains by women, minorities, and the LGBTQ community.  But there’s plenty more at stake beyond Brownstein’s excellent survey.  This reactionary movement takes aim not only at Americans’ rights, but at the federal government’s ability to regulate the economy, our health system, environmental protections, and more.  A woman’s right to an abortion; a child’s ability to breathe free air and grow up on a planet not ravaged by climate change; the ability of the economy to operate without the crippling effects of cronyism and corruption; the freedom of teachers to teach science and fact-based history; the right of all of use to go to the supermarket without worrying about being gunned down by an extremist with an AR-15; our ability to go to the doctor or take time off work when we’re sick — in short, our collective ability to live lives of dignity, collective empowerment, and meaning is now in the crosshairs.

So there is much more that the media can do to explain the dangers American society faces.  However, there is also no substitute for Democratic politicians rising to the occasion and articulating the true stakes of our moment — not just in drawing out the substantive horrors of the GOP’s vision for America, but, equally importantly, in proposing a countervailing, superior vision of American life in the 21st century.  There is no reason to be in a defensive crouch against the authoritarian GOP, whose war on democracy signals above all else its basic unpopularity and inability to win majority support in this country.  This is ultimately not just a conflict over particular policies, but over basic societal values.  A fundamental imbalance between Democrats and Republicans is that the GOP is doing a much better job in communicating its larger vision to its voters.  While the Democrats will never be able to match the diabolical coherence of the GOP’s authoritarianism — white men should be at the top of the social hierarchy, with the rest of the population to be exploited and kept in check by force if necessary — a Democratic legislative agenda should reflect basic humanitarian, egalitarian values supported by a clear majority of Americans.  If the GOP is attempting to remake American society based on a reactionary, immoral template, then Democrats have a responsibility for engaging in the fight at such a societal level, as a basic matter of alerting Americans to the stakes of this conflict and rallying them to political involvement.

In turn, Democratic politicians can draw on the existence of vast progressive social forces and trends to make their case for a more egalitarian, inclusive society.  From women’s rights to gay rights, from the labor movement to the environmental movement, progressive, forward-thinking ideas have found great purchase among the American people over the last few decades — part of the reason we’re now experiencing this reactionary backlash.  But the existence of backlash speaks to the strength, not weakness, of these progressive forces in American society, as counter-intuitive as that can feel at times.  The underlying trend is an increasing embrace of equality, tolerance, and mutual respect, which is clearly at odds with the white supremacism and misogyny of the authoritarian GOP.

And underlying this trend, in turn, is a faith — democratic in nature, but reaching far beyond the limits of our political system — that we can basically trust our fellow Americans to treat us as we’d like to be treated, that we’re bound by basic human values and are subject to the same universal human challenges, and, crucially, that there is an ongoing need to improve our social order by fighting against racism, sexism, homophobia, and other anti-human elements of our shared world.  This is the faith and the reality that the majority of Americans have been practicing and living for many years now — a society-wide democratization whose continuation is the only way forward if we are to ever become a truly just and democratic nation.  In this time of peril, the American majority united by humane, progressive values needs to become aware of itself, needs to understand that we have a broad set of beliefs to which we subscribe, and that make all of us better and stronger for doing so.  Creating such self-awareness needs to be a top priority for pro-democracy activists and politicians, in order to catalyze the mass political mobilization and democratic action needed to defeat the authoritarian challenge.

I’m sure that others can come up with far more expansive and persuasive accounts of the underlying beliefs that unite most Americans.   The far more important thing than arriving at some sort of doctrinaire definition of majority opinion, though, is to actively discuss and articulate these values, in order to make clear that they do exist, and to recognize the degree to which Republican authoritarianism is a refutation of these broadly-held values and an assault on the society that holds them.  To bring this back to the point I made earlier, it’s the difference between emphasizing that Republicans want to take aware your right to vote, and emphasizing that Republicans want to take away your right to vote so that they can replace our collective, humane but imperfect effort to build a better country with a deranged vision based on exploitation, white supremacism, and violence.  It means engaging on grounds that will rally the American majority by reminding us what’s good about our current society (including our collective ability to try to improve what’s immoral or unproductive), and that the GOP seeks to replace our open society with a reign of racism, suppression of women, crony capitalism, and yet more gun violence by criminals and domestic terrorists alike.  These are the true stakes of the GOP assault on democracy — it’s ultimately an assault on our ability to live our daily lives as we see fit, to undo an American consensus based on mutual respect, equality, and progress.  It’s a movement that seeks to replace actual, lived freedom with intrusion into our workplaces, our intimate relations, and our personal autonomy.  We don’t just need to fight against this foul movement; we also need to fight for a superior moral and democratic American society that is already within our grasp, and perhaps closer than we think.