The Mysterious Case of the Missing Democratic Anger

Something I was having trouble articulating a couple weeks ago, after Republican Glenn Youngkin won the Virginia governor’s race just a year after Joe Biden won that state by 10 points, has been stated plain as day by Brian Beutler:

What troubles me even more than the [Democrats’] governing errors, though, is the fact that Republicans were able to become competitive anywhere in any blue territory in the country so soon after Trump killed hundreds of thousands of Americans with incompetence and lies, then tried to steal the election leaving dead bodies in the halls of Congress. We can’t expect memories to last forever, but we can expect them to last longer than a year. There is plenty of precedent for the kind of reckoning Republicans deserve, and the fact that the entire GOP isn’t toxic in much more of the country after what we just lived through is prima facie evidence of a political failure.

For a year now, The Hot Screen and many other observers have been pretty rightly obsessed with the Democrats’ lackadaisical response to Donald Trump’s attempted coup and the rapid alignment of the Republican Party with the insurrectionist Big Lie that the Democratic Party stole the 2020 election.  A great part of why last Tuesday’s results were so disturbing is that, for the first time, we got a real-world test of the Democrats’ non-confrontational approach — and it was as disastrous as many of us had feared.  Thousands of suburban voters who had been shifting to the Democrats during the Trump years stampeded back into the Republican column, while disheartening numbers of Democrats didn’t bother to show up to the polls at all.

There have been numerous excellent discussions of how Republican candidate Glenn Youngkin was able to make racist appeals and energize the GOP base, while also appealing to swing voters by couching those appeals in the plausible deniability of talking about education concerns, in the form of anti-critical race theory rhetoric.  But even if you concede that other concerns separate from race, such as education and economic anxiety, were motivating some voters, this only makes the Democratic failure to tar and feather the GOP as a whole more damning: many Virginia voters felt that punishing the Democrats was more important than rewarding a Republican Party whose core organizing principle is that Donald Trump is actually still president of the United States, and that has in fact continued the insurrection of January 6 through other means, such as voting restrictions and suppression aimed at securing the GOP national power even against the will of the majority.

And so analyses of the role of race in the Virginia election also overlook a larger possibility: that many GOP voters went to the polls because they are incensed and angry out of their belief that the 2020 election was stolen.  As Beutler writes, “Add it all up and Tuesday starts to make an eerie kind of sense: A Republican base behaving, based on lies, the way you’d want people to act if they thought their way of life and tools for self-governance were being plundered. Meanwhile there’s a live torpedo aimed right at the hull of America’s popular majority, and our representatives refuse to act like it, plausibly costing Democrats a big swing vote.”  Because Democrats refuse to motivate their base about the real attack on democracy in a manner commensurate with how Republicans do motivate their base with made-up attacks on democracy, the Democrats have committed a profound unforced error.

You won’t get any argument from me against this essential Beutlerian formulation, and goodness knows I’ve probably quoted and echoed its various iterations across more pieces than even the most patient reader can stand.  But since last Tuesday’s election, a related idea has been bugging me: between the ongoing GOP insurrection against American democracy, and the redoubled GOP efforts to stoke white backlash to incite their voters to turn out, I’ve been puzzling over what I’m calling (probably because I’ve watched too many BBC mystery series during our covid years) The Mysterious Case of the Missing Democratic Anger.  Simply put, why are more Democratic congresspersons and senators not in a state of perpetual rage and contempt against at a GOP that is actively seeking to overturn American democracy and to maintain power through continuous incitements of white supremacy, and why are they not attempting to communicate and arouse this same outrage among their base?  I mean, you sure wouldn’t think so by their continuing broad emphasis on seeking bipartisanship and their general unwillingness to portray the GOP as a party no longer fit for partnership in a democratic nation.

But even if the pose of calm, rational evenhandedness towards the rabid GOP is a pose, a calculated effort to appear to be the grown-ups against the seething emotionalism of the GOP, something still does not compute.  Because even if I can understand Democratic politicians not acting angry, what I absolutely cannot fathom is the lack of rhetoric, policies, and overall attitude that would channel an anger that is righteous, democratic, and necessary in this time of extended political crisis.  

Let’s focus for a moment on a specific area of confrontation. The phenomenon of white backlash, which we surely witnessed in Virginia over the course of the recent gubernatorial race (with Glenn Youngkin vowing to fight critical race theory in schools), is a predictable reaction to the ejection of white supremacist Donald Trump from the White House — particularly when his party is largely committed to the lie that he didn't actually lose and sees his white nationalism as key to the party’s future.  This movement is powered in part by fear, yes, but also by anger, by white Americans’ resentment at losing power in American society to people of color.  Critically, I believe that the GOP’s embrace of white nationalism it is premised on the assumption that Democrats will not respond to it, out of a fear that doing so will drive away white voters, such as by creating the impression that Democrats are saying that all white people are racists.

But one reason I’m focusing on the emotion of anger is because I’m wondering if Democrats are reacting too strongly to their own feelings of anger, and that of their voters, and so are not trusting the response to white supremacism that this anger would direct them towards: outright denunciation and opposition.  It seems that at a minimum, Democrats are over-thinking the electoral threat of a strategy like that of Youngkin, where racist appeals are couched in plausible deniability (in this case, around the teaching of CRT to public school students, which is a way of shoehorning in the idea that teaching about racism and civil rights in schools is really a plot to make white children and people in general feel guilty about being white, and disempowered at having to recognize the equality of non-white Americans).  Rather than panicking about such subterfuge, justifiable outrage would demand that Democrats expose the racist operations of CRT fear-mongering, and embrace a righteous anger against white supremacists trying to poison the minds of American voters and American children alike with bizarre notions such as racism not being a central part of American history. The GOP is basically trying to prevent the sordid history of the Confederacy, the KKK, and Jim Crow from being taught to kids. In the face of this, Democrats shouldn’t be afraid of saying that part of the point of American education is to inculcate a righteous anger against the white supremacism of the past, and that a very good reason to do so is to help them be racially conscious citizens in the present.

Entitled to Prosper

In the wake of the over-hyped but still worrisome election results in Virginia and elsewhere last week, there is already pressure from some Democrats to scale back even more the broad social, environmental, and economic spending in the long-pending Build Back Better Act.  The reasoning here would be that the Democrats’ loss of the Virginia governorship in particular was due to voters believing President Biden has governed in too liberal a fashion.

But as the dominant media and political narrative of the past several months is that Democratic infrastructure legislation has been in limbo, this argument from the center and right of the Democratic Party doesn’t make a lot of sense, and sensible pushback against it has already begun.  At The New York Times, Paul Krugman notes that, “What’s crucial is that Democrats not take the election setbacks as an indication that they’ve overreached — that President Biden should back down on vaccine mandates, that their economic agenda is too left-wing. What the public perceives isn’t a party doing too much, but a party doing too little, and Biden and his allies need to end that sense of drift.” And at the Plum Line blog, Greg Sargent has a thorough takedown of the flaws in the reasoning of those urging a pullback in ambition, taking particular aim at those who say that Biden didn’t run on the big socio-economic polices he’s trying to pass, citing. . . actual things Biden said before he was elected president.  I also like Sargent’s diagnosis of the basic contradiction in the moderate-conservative blaming of the BBB Act for tearing down Democratic chances in Virginia when the BBB Act hasn’t even been passed yet: “The critics are incoherent on this point: The ideological scope of the package alienated moderate voters, and so did the failure to pass it.”

If nothing else, misguided attempts to marshal limited election results into a story about a grand national repudiation of progressive economic policies embraced by Biden and the great majority of Democrats remind us that this conflict over legislative ambition is a central fight in the Democratic Party right now.  But could it be that Biden and progressives have already won the battle far more than most of us realize?  Zachary Carter makes this case, arguing that despite how the BBB Act has been whittled down over the past few months by the objections of a handful of representatives and senators, its vision of a government that helps Americans with such essentials as child care has largely won the battle of ideas in the party.  Even the grinding pace of the BBB Act negotiations may have ultimately resulted in an underlying triumph: referring to the two Democratic senators most resistant to Biden’s agenda, Carter writes, “By repeatedly positioning themselves outside the Democratic mainstream, Manchin and Sinema have handed Biden a victory in the battle of ideas, even as they force him to scale back his policy ambitions.”  

If Carter is correct in his assessment, then this strengthens another interpretation of the Democrats’ recent political infighting and lack of strength in the Virginia elections: that rather than being a party in disarray, the party is suffering through a last-ditch effort by moderate and conservative Democrats to oppose a huge shift in Democratic thinking about how to promote economic growth and social well-being, and that once the BBB Act is passed, this shift in direction will at last be able to face the test of reality, in the form of voters who can judge its benefits or shortcomings for themselves.  Alongside evidence that a new intellectual framework has won over the majority of Democrats in Congress, it seems that greater legitimacy for ideas like child tax credits, pre-K for three- and four-year olds, and massive government investments in protecting Americans from tangible climate change will be difficult to reverse once voters actually start receiving those benefits.

I am not saying that these benefits will then result in Democrats handily winning elections — they will have to figure out how to deflect and demolish GOP race-baiting to have any hope of accomplishing that — but I would at least hope that positive reactions from constituents would create a feedback loop for Democrats to further double down on this new direction.  It seems that a theory of governance that says Americans deserve nice things from the government they themselves elect, and whose legitimacy ultimately rests on reflecting their will, can in the long run beat a vision that says the role of government is to ensure that Americans are always and ever responsible for their own individual fates. To borrow a term from Joe Manchin, Americans may soon come to fully embrace the idea that they are entitled to quite a lot, and that such entitlement is just, democratic, and of enormous benefit to American society.

Moving Beyond the Manchin Faction

I had wondered if I was a bit rough on Joe Manchin last week, but Philadelphia Inquirer columnist Will Bunch has surely won the award for injurious manhandling of the anti-environment West Virginia senator and scourge of Joe Biden’s approval ratings.  His comparison of Manchin to the villain of many a James Bond movie is spot-on:

In 2021, the monster who is actually threatening Planet Earth with untimely demise is a Bond villain barely worthy of the title. His potential for a mountaintop lair in his home state of West Virginia has been flattened and stripped by a century of Big Coal, so his evil abode is instead a houseboat floating lazily in the Potomac River. His goon squad consists of oil company lobbyists and “Morning Joe” sycophants, and his only scar comes from repairing a sink aboard the “Almost Heaven.”

And yet make no mistake: West Virginia Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin has positioned himself to destroy the globe in a way that Auric Goldfinger, Ernst Starvo Blofeld, or Lyutsifer Safin could have only dreamed of. 

As good as this conceit is in and of itself, Bunch deploys it to hammer how destructive and nonsensical Manchin’s opposition to badly-needed environmental legislation truly is, writing that, “The droughts, floods, rising sea levels, mass migrations and human misery that would result from this failure — triggered by a self-aggrandizing U.S. senator’s ego and massive greed — will surely surpass any mad scientist’s doomsday device.”  He also makes a point that’s been staring a lot of us in the face: the corruption of Joe Manchin, with his ties to big coal and his personal investments in the industry, may be as old as the industry’s involvement in American politics, but the consequences of it are newly horrific, at least for anyone who’s interested in preserving a livable planet.

This gets to a point that I wish I had made more strongly, but that Dave Roberts hits on with a recent Manchin take-down.  Roberts writes:

Manchin’s objections to the programs in the BBB are not based on any empirical evidence or coherent theory of government. What he has is a set of reactionary instincts, gut reactions common to old conservative white men [. . .] He's just a vain, arrogant, rich old white guy who surrounds himself with other vain, arrogant, rich old white guys. They all overestimate their own intellect & abilities. And apparently they're still the pinhole through which all policy must pass. This country is so fucked.

If there is any silver lining in Manchin’s suicidal stubborness, it is that we collectively have a narrow opportunity to see this combination of entitlement, corruption, and incompetence in the plainest view possible, and to keep pushing the Democratic Party to grow beyond reliance on this sad old guard to fill out their senatorial ranks.

No Time to Die (Democratic Party Edition)

The win by Republican gubernatorial candidate Glenn Youngkin in the Virginia elections a couple days ago was deeply unsettling and is indeed a warning sign for Democrats, but the broad tenor of news coverage indicating this portends the party’s annihilation in 2022 and beyond is deeply overwrought and misleading.  The most tendentious interpretations — that Youngkin’s victory, as well as a very narrow Democratic win in the New Jersey governor’s race and other setbacks for progressive causes around the country, signal America’s wholesale rejection of Joe Biden and the Democratic Party — are pretty clearly reflective of the political preferences and blinders of their promulgators.  For a clear-minded corrective, this piece by Steve Benen provides valuable commentary on the way the Virginia governorship has generally gone to the party that lost the White House in the previous year, in the thermostatic way that Americans tend to move towards the opposition party, as well as on how a short while ago Democrats soundly defeated a recall effort of Governor Gavin Newsom in California.

It seems fairly clear that Joe Biden’s poor approval ratings played a significant part in Democratic candidate Terry McAuliffe’s loss.  After all, Virginia has been trending blue for some years, and Biden defeated Donald Trump there by a solid 10 points just a year ago.  While turnout was relatively high for both parties, Democratic base enthusiasm just didn’t match that of the GOP, strongly suggesting knock-on effects of a generalized lack of enthusiasm for Biden.  And this lack of energization, in turn, owes much to the festering spectacle of inaction in Congress, as the twinned Build Back Better and bipartisan infrastructure bills seem to be enacting a real-world demonstration of Zeno’s paradox, ever approaching the finish line but never quite making it over.  Josh Marshall captures the dynamic succinctly, writing, “When the public mood is sour and the President looks powerless to accomplish the things he says are important members of the President’s party will lose elections.”

But it wasn’t just a lack of Democratic enthusiasm that led to the loss.  It appears that those who voted for the GOP were particularly energized by Youngkin’s claims that parents have lost control of what their children are taught in public schools.  But centered as these claims were around false allegations of the teaching of critical race theory, we can more accurately say that Youngkin rode to power by making racist appeals to the Virginia electorate.  What makes this a particular wake-up call for Democrats is that where Donald Trump badly failed to win Virginia by his own appeals to white supremacism, Youngkin was able to pull it off.  More specifically, as observers like Adam Serwer and Eric Levitz have noted, Youngkin was able to enthuse rural and right-wing voters while also luring back some suburban voters who had previously shifted to the Democrats.  

A Republican Party able to replicate this strategy, twinned with continuing low enthusiasm for Biden, would indeed be a catastrophe for the Democrats, and for American democracy.  After all, what is so concerning about this Democratic loss is the larger political crisis that forms the roiling background of everything that happened on Tuesday: that the GOP overall has devolved into an openly authoritarian, white supremacist party that is well on its way to instituting one-party rule in states like North Carolina, Wisconsin, Ohio, and Texas through a mix of gerrymandering and voter suppression; a majority of whose representatives voted to reject the 2022 presidential election results in the wake of a coup attempt by Donald Trump; and, at the risk of repeating a detail just mentioned, whose former president attempted a coup to overthrow American democracy.  Levitz captures what should have been the results of this perfidy:

Democrats needed this to be untenable. They needed it to be impossible for the GOP to simultaneously broaden its base and remain in the good graces of Donald Trump and his core constituents. Which is to say: They needed Republicans to have finally gone too far, and disqualified themselves from the advantages that the out-of-power party typically enjoys in our two-party system.

The Virginia results demonstrate that this voter punishment of the GOP has not in fact happened; that politicians like Youngkin have managed to find a path forward that links insurrectionists and more “moderate” whites via the alchemy of plausibly-deniable racist appeals.

Yet, as chilling as this reality is, the more cheering news is that whether such a strategy works in 2022 and beyond is very much in the hands of Democrats.  Defeating it rests on whether Biden, along with national Democrats, can revive his popularity, and whether the Democrats are willing to directly take on the GOP’s defining authoritarianism and white supremacism (even when the latter is cloaked in the plausible deniability of anti-CRT language).  Addressing the issue of Biden’s popularity is another way of saying that the president needs to get a lot more done over the next year, and doing so in turn requires full acknowledgment of the crises that beset us a year into his presidency.

First, Americans remain deeply concerned and unsettled by the covid pandemic, which, despite mass vaccinations and some return to normalcy, continues to upend people’s lives — not least by taking 1,000 of them every day (Biden made an enormous error in basically declaring the pandemic over back in July — a premature victory lap that bizarrely underestimated the obvious potential of the delta variant to reverse the progress we’d made).  In retrospect, I think it’s also clear that Biden made a huge error in not acting more aggressively, and far earlier, to promulgate vaccine mandates.  It’s also well worth pointing out that the GOP has played a key role in hampering Biden’s attempts to end the pandemic, both through its encouragement of vaccine resistance and to basic expedients like mask-wearing and even social distancing.  I mention this because the president absolutely must do all in his power to staunch this pandemic, including escalating the vaccine mandate to include air travel in the U.S., and this path will necessarily involve a much more forceful confrontation with the GOP on the matter of its covid sabotage.  As more and more Americans join the ranks of the vaccinated, GOP resistance to vaccine mandates looks kookier and kookier: bringing the fight to the GOP can both accelerate our transition out of the pandemic and make them pay the price they so well deserve for helping prolong a pandemic that has now killed more than 750,000 people in the United States.  The suggestions by some GOP governors that they are now against all mandatory vaccinations seems like a point of particular vulnerability.

Americans’ faith in Biden has also been shaken by the ongoing economic weirdness that encompasses worker shortages, inflation, and consumer product delays due to overburdened supply chains.  Even as there is plenty of positive news — the economy is growing, we’re adding jobs, many workers are able to demand and get higher wages, and the “Great Resignation” could well end up with millions of happier citizens and greater economic efficiency — the bad news is still unsettling, and hurts Biden when he appears to have no ability to fix it at the moment.  Part of this is reality — there will be inflation when some products are in short supply and shipping costs are through the roof — but this doesn’t absolve Biden of doing everything he possibly can to get inflation trending down and supply lines unsnarled.  I remain deeply perplexed that the Biden administration keeps coming up short on bringing sufficient government resources to bear on supply chain challenges.  Even with the crucial acknowledgment that many of our logistics nightmares were decades in the making, it seems incredible that, with Democratic control of Congress and his presidential prestige hanging in the balance, we’re not seeing more federal intervention in what comes down to moving physical objects from point A to point B.  This does not require the Manhattan project to resolve, just manpower, loading docks, and logistical expertise.  

Finally, support for Biden has been undermined by the lack of legislative progress in Congress to date.  Key to defeating the GOP and its authoritarianism is showing that democracy works in terms of making people’s lives materially better.  I’m hardly in the “blame-Biden” camp for why the BBB and BIFF bills have taken so long, but by hook or by crook, Biden has the responsibility for getting his agenda over the finish line.

To varying degrees, the fate of Biden and the Democrats on these three fronts is well within their control.  But engaging only on these matters isn’t enough.  The Virginia results, if nothing else, should be sufficient to convince them that an explicit, relentless assault on the GOP’s white supremacism is both justified and necessary.  Specifically, they must develop a strategy that denies the Republican Party the ability to affect concern about “critical race theory,” when CRT is the GOP’s current way of saying that white supremacy should be embedded in American institutions, beginning with schools not teaching about such basics as the evils of slavery and its ongoing racist legacy.  I think those who have been arguing that Democrats cannot cede “culture war” fights to the GOP, in the hopes that their policies will win the day, have been vindicated by what we saw in Virginia.  After all, “culture war” fights really are political fights, about what values we believe in and what sort of country we want to have.  I think Amanda Marcotte hit the nail on the head when she tweeted:

Imagine if McAuliffe had, instead of that idiot parents having input in schools comment, had hit back with, "I believe MLK Jr. should be taught in schools, and don't think some mini-Trump should be able to stop that." Instead, he waited until the last minute to strike back.

I can't believe Republicans ran what is tantamount to a pro-book burning campaign, and Democrats, ever fearful about culture war politics, let that one lie until it was too late.

The idea that Democrats should be on the defensive when Republicans campaign on banning books by black people is an absurdity (and also no doubt speaks to McAuliffe’s particular shortcomings as a politician).  If white supremacism is the engine of the GOP’s appeal, then the Democrats need to do everything possible to discredit and destroy that engine. 

Anxieties over schooling due to covid provided a lozenge beneath which the toxic pill of anti-CRT racism could appear palatable, and make use of many Americans’ resentment and anger — particularly in light of the Black Lives Matter protests of last year.  It should surprise absolutely no one that the GOP would try to cultivate and benefit from a racist backlash against BLM demonstrations.

Finally, above all, and unifying other Democratic efforts, the Democrats must learn to talk explicitly, unremittingly, and damningly of the GOP as America’s authoritarian party, unfit to hold power.  This reluctance is all the more amazing when you stop to consider that the great majority of GOP members, as well as the vast apparatus of right-wing media, expends much of their energy constantly making the false case that Democrats are a traitorous, un-American gang ready to sell out the country to Islamist terrorists and Mexican rapists at the first opportunity.  Perhaps most critically, the Democrats need to stop acting like the GOP is an equal and respectable partner in government.  As Jared Yates Sexton wrote in the context of the Virginia election, “[M]ake the GOP’s radicalization a prominent issue. Quit reaching across the aisle for a hand holding a dagger. Talk incessantly about what this antidemocratic, authoritarian movement represents. Stop gifting them respectability and cover.”

It is simply amazing that in Virginia, the GOP alleged that Democrats intend to undermine the nation by teaching “critical race theory” to kids, while Democrats chose not to emphasize that authoritarian, racist GOP values already led to an attempted coup by the former president (the clincher is that the GOP’s anti-CRT strategy is a manifestation of the same illness that led to Trumpism and the authoritarian surge that resulted in the coup attempt).  Put the GOP on the defensive by moving forward the John Lewis Voting Rights Act to protect democracy, and use the January 6 commission to identify and punish all GOP politicians who took part in the coup attempt or tried to cover it up afterwards.

One final point, in the hope of sort of tying all these observations together.  Since the Virginia election, I’ve seen a few people taking big picture views of U.S. politics and society, pointing to things like the 2008 financial crash and rampant inequality, and more recently the covid pandemic and the George Floyd civil rights protests, as reminders that our society and politics are far from stable and experiencing a prolonged period of transition.  To these I would add the overwhelming urgency of responding to climate change.  Taken together, they form a background of anxiety and fear to American life.  The growing authoritarianism of the GOP has roots in this instability, as does the appeal it poses to millions of Americans.  In uncertain times, people tend to want strong leaders who can offer them certainty and protection against perceived threats.  The Democrats have the obligation to present America with leadership where strength takes the form of competence, inspiration, and vision, as a democratic answer to the strongman, racist authoritarianism of the GOP.  From this perspective, there is very little worse that the Democrats could now do than to subscribe to self-blaming ideas of their own foreordained doom in 2022 and beyond.  The idea that the one party that stands for democratic governance in the United States should lack confidence about the fundamental soundness of its vision for America, or in the various policy proposals in the BBB and BIFF bills that consistently receive broad support among the voting public, is frankly nonsensical.  The fundamental problem is that the Democrats have not fully engaged the fight they need to engage against Republican sabotage, propaganda, and incitement of violence.  Engage that fight, offer no quarter to the authoritarian GOP, and let the chips fall where they may.  Even if the Democrats lose in 2022, or god forbid, 2024, they will provide a template for a democratic future that will eventually defeat the authoritarianism of the GOP.  

Are Spine Donations Needed for Major Democratic Donors?

Recent statements from major Democratic Party donors that they may withhold donations for the midterms out of frustration at the lack of Democratic legislation should inspire fear and loathing in the hearts of rank-and-file voters.  Likely intended, at least in part, as a way to pressure Democratic legislators to hurry up and pass the massive Build Back Better and bipartisan infrastructure bills, such statements raise troubling questions about these donors’ basic understanding of current American politics.  After all, no close observer of the recent roadblocks to passing both bills could reasonably conclude that the great majority of Democrats aren’t united in passing legislation that would give a significant boost to the economy and social safety net.  Even a cursory review of recent stories — even recent headlines, for Pete’s sake! — would show that two conservative Democratic senators, Joe Manchin and Kristen Sinema, have been instrumental in stymying a final product through a combination of obfuscation and ad hoc objections.  Punishing the vast majority of Democrats in 2022, rather than, say, mounting a pressure campaign now against this pair of holdout Democrats, is a curious choice that suggests a lack of commitment to the manifold goals that are so closely within reach.

This proposed donor capital strike also betrays a basic misunderstanding of the current stakes of American politics, in which the alternative to Democratic rule is the proven incompetence, malice, and white supremacist authoritarianism of the GOP.  For donors to tacitly suggest it would be better for the Democrats to lose their support and well, lose, in 2022 strangely elides the likely deadlock that would ensue, as well as the momentum this would lend to the possibility of a second Trump presidency in 2024.  If these threats of withholding are true, they speak to a basic failure of values and vision among these financiers and other titans of wealth.  It also suggests a basic failure of logic: after all, with the Democrats so close to passing major legislation, wouldn’t the better play be to pledge to double down on commitments to the Democratic Party, particularly to the progressives who are holding the party’s feet to the fire in getting this legislation passed?  

It’s sickening that the Democrats are to any extent reliant on donors who threaten to take their money and walk at the party’s hour of greatest need for unity and resolve.  Even if simply intended as a motivator for legislative action, it simultaneously sends a message of demoralization to the party’s base voters, while suggesting that the alternative of GOP rule is any way palatable or sane.

Defense of Voting Rights and Vision of a Democratic Society Are Inextricably Linked

A typically-incisive recent piece by John Stoehr has helped shake loose an idea that’s been stuck in my craw for a couple weeks now, as if it were a good samaritan performing the Heimlich on a hapless diner with a bit of choice steak lodged in his throat.  After referencing the ongoing discussions around popularism and the $10 million question of what electoral strategy or policies have the best chance of winning the Democrats power in 2022 and beyond, Stoehr comes down firmly on the side of those arguing that policy just isn’t as important as people think in determining elections.  Instead, he says that the particular crisis of democracy we’re in right now is uppermost in Democratic-leaning voters’ minds: 

The biggest coalition in the country’s history did not vote for Joe Biden because it wanted his party to enact its policies, however good those policies may be. It voted for him to save America from a leader of an authoritarian collective threatening to assimilate everyone into a police state predicated on preserving the superiority of white Christian men. When democracy itself is in danger, policies become secondary.

What was so startling was how strongly I both agreed and disagreed with his formulation.  Because as much as I’ve been alternately startled, outraged, and dismayed by the Democrats’ refusal or inability thus far to press the case to the American people that GOP authoritarianism is a deadly threat to this country, and agree that defense of democracy should be the party’s highest priority; and as much as I agree that fury at Trump and his American authoritarianism was key to Joe Biden’s win, I don’t agree that a focus on saving democracy will be voters’ highest priority in 2022.

Now, I’m not saying that continuing fear and loathing of Donald Trump doesn’t motivate Democratic voters.  In a New York Times article on the Virginia’s governor’s race that Stoehr cites, some Democratic voters are clearly being energized to vote out of repugnance at the prospect of a Trumpist candidate, Glenn Youngkin, winning power in their state.  There are also Trump-adjacent policies, such as vaccine and mask resistance, that also scare the living daylights out of Democratic voters, and that seem to have helped motivate them to turn out in sufficient numbers in California’s recall election to basically replicate Governor Gavin Newsom’s overwhelming victory in the last gubernatorial race.  So the evidence, and common sense, say that Democrats shouldn’t shy away from reminding voters that the GOP is now the party of Trump, with all the associations of white supremacism, corruption, authoritarianism, and incompetence the man and his presidency convey.

But it’s not sufficient for Democrats to place anti-Trump sentiment at the center of their appeal.  I think you can see hints of the danger of doing so in the Virginia governor’s race, where Democratic Terry McAuliffe has gone all in on tying Youngkin to Donald Trump.  I will say upfront that there’s evidence that this linkage is a strong motivator with the Democratic base — the Times piece noted above provides examples of this.  However, my worry is that this sort of appeal can come across as desperate to voters who aren’t so strongly anti-Trump, and perversely, start to suggest a lack of confidence on the Democrats’ part if they fail to actually provide an affirmative reason for voting for the party.  At the same time, a focus on Trump can misguidedly take the place of making a broader case against the larger anti-democratic corruption of the Republican Party itself.  

But even if Democrats articulate the anti-democratic turn of the GOP, this in itself would also be insufficient as the focus of their electoral case, for some of the same reasons that Stoehr and others have used to argue against relying too much on policies to sway voters: because talking about democracy, or threats to democracy, is in and of itself simply too abstract to resonate with many voters.  Instead — and now we get to the insight that coughed out of me when I read Stoehr’s piece — making the case to Americans that both policies and democracy matter to their individual lives infuses both with a power they don’t have on their own, makes concrete what would otherwise be ungrounded.  One way of putting it is this: why should Americans care if the GOP is taking their votes away, if casting those votes isn’t perceived as having an impact on their lives?  Abstracting voting rights from the individual and collective power that those rights represent when turned into laws and policy would be a noble but perverse appeal, separating votes from the actual, concrete results that can follow.

The necessary fight against Republican authoritarianism is equally a fight for a democratic future on multiple fronts beyond defense of the franchise: on the economy, on the environment, on civil rights.  The best way to energize voters based on GOP efforts to suppress their votes, or not have those votes count as they should, is to also articulate and fight for concrete democratic visions of our economy and society that can result from casting those votes.  While it’s true that voters may be alternately unmoved or unaware of how specific Democratic policies have benefitted them, it is also true that a broad enough array of policies that promote economic equality and benefit Americans in a variety of ways would collectively give them a reason to vote for Democrats.  If Democrats passed debt relief for college loans, and crowed about this fact, would this really not rally grateful debtors to reward the party?  If Democrats expanded child care credits, and talked endlessly about this, would this really not appeal to families of all classes?  And it’s not just that voters would reward Democrats for what they’d done; more than past performance, it’s future promises and visions that weigh the most when citizens mark their ballots.  And this, in turn, gives vital power and substance to the Democrats’ fight against Republican authoritarianism, which would take away both the power of Democrats’ votes and the many specific policies that would benefit not just Democratic voters, but the great majority of Americans of both parties.   

Fighting for the right to vote necessarily involves fighting for a more broadly democratic America — otherwise, the benefits of the right to vote would end with putting Democrats in power simply to make sure the GOP doesn’t fuck voters over (which is essential, but hardly everything).  The logic of voting rights (the morality of the franchise, the general understanding that it is so important) is that it is more than a negative right to protect yourself — it is the key to creating something that reveals itself to be a democratic society, whose limits are as broad as the imagination of the people who participate in it.  

A Heart Black as Toxic Coal Sludge

It’s a real-coals-to Newcastle situation writing one more diatribe against Senator Joe Manchin, seeing as just about everyone has something to say about the man these days — but seeing as I did I deep dive on him this past weekend, and we have news today that he has a plan to leave the Democratic Party, bombs away!  In truth, after absorbing what I could of the man’s history and recent maneuvering against the Democratic Party agenda, there’s not much I have to say about the man himself that hasn’t already been said.  But one detail that I’m surprised people don’t play up more is that not only does Manchin actively make money from owning companies in the coal industry, the specific focus of these businesses is on second-hand, more-toxic-than-normal coal left behind or generated following the mining of good old regular Joe Blow coal.  And so I am unable to shake the idea of Manchin as a bizarro universe analogue to the Joker, who rather than falling into a pool of toxic sludge as his origin story, decided instead to sell that nasty toxic sludge, and make his fortune off the ruination and debilitation of West Virginia’s lands and people.

Manchin truly embodies a particular American mindset hardly unique to him.  Writers like Jamelle Bouie have rightly dissected the senator’s worries about America becoming an “entitlement” society if the Democrats pass too many social and economic programs, with his general point being that a millionaire who dictates the writing of laws that just so happen to benefit his personal business interests, with nary a reservation about the blatant corruption this entails, seems to fit far better the idea of someone who feels “entitled” than an ordinary citizen who receives government assistance in order to afford child care, get an education, and contribute to the actual greater good of American society.  

More particular to the overlords of extractive industries like oil and coal, Manchin’s sense of entitlement extends to his sense of immunity to the environmental ravages of West Virginia — ravages that are both the direct and indirect results of his commitment to coal as an energy source and money maker.  From mountaintop removal that obliterates ecosystems and poisons drinking water, to the climate change-fueled rains that are drowning West Virginians out of house and hollow, commitment to coal mining and coal power plants is increasingly a literal death sentence for citizens of his state.  The (also literal) rising tide besetting West Virginia casts a sinister light on the fact that Manchin lives aboard a yacht while in Washington, D.C., but whose official homeport is Charleston, as if he were a millionaire doomsday prepper ready take full advantage of the state’s soon-to-be submerged highways and byways.  

Reading coverage from even just last month, before Manchin really brought the hammer down on any climate change legislation being included in the Build Back Better Act, the writing was already etched on the wall.  The combination of acknowledging human-caused climate change, while proposing nonsense measures like paying coal plants to switch to natural gas, while also generally signaling that we really have to slow it down on all this saving the earth from total destruction stuff, is so nakedly self-serving, but also, crucially, delusional.  There is simply no road to a habitable planet that includes the continued fetishization of fossil fuels just because they make a handful of people filthy rich. That is crazy, not the idea of getting our power from wind and solar. It also brings into focus the predatory and feudal attitude Joe Manchin has toward his own constituents, as if they deserve nothing better than to dig for coal and man the rowboats when the inevitable floods come in.  Posing as their savior and protector of their way of life, he is in truth an accomplice to their doom.  As others have pointed out, Joe Manchin could have gotten his voters almost anything he might have asked for, in exchange for his support of measures he might otherwise oppose — but when given the chance to be West Virginia’s version of Jesus Christ, the Easter Bunny, and Santa Claus all rolled into one, Manchin couldn’t see beyond just giving everyone another lump of coal. 

Mitch McConnell Provides Official Cover for Right-Wing Intimidation of School Boards

We’ve talked a lot here at The Hot Screen about the ongoing transformation of the GOP into America’s authoritarian party, and the basic fact that Republicans have continued to build this movement against democracy even though Donald Trump is no longer in office.  Indeed, the cracked notion that Trump is actually our rightful president and had the office stolen from him by corrupt Democrats is now a key tenet of the Republican Party.

The move toward lawlessness isn’t just coming from GOP congressmen and other elected officials, though.  In recent months, we’ve also seen right-wing parents and others attempt to pressure local school boards on covid-related matters (such as opposition to masking and vaccination requirements) and the teaching of American history that includes references to slavery or racism.   The latter effort is embodied in supposed opposition to the teaching of critical race theory, which in reality isn’t even taught at the elementary or high school level at all.  These two broad concerns are, not coincidentally, also central emphases of the authoritarian GOP.  In fact, there’s plenty of evidence that these protests are being encouraged and organized at least in part by right-wing interests such as Turning Points USA and the DeVos Family Foundation.

It’s not surprising that right-leaning parents, aided by right-leaning groups, are attempting to drum up the appearance of a mass parental movement against vaccine and mask mandates associated with Democratic governance, or against the purported poisoning of white student brains with accurate knowledge of American history.  And while these objectives are insane and fundamentally racist, respectively, giving voice to these ideas is hardly out of bounds in and of itself; of course parents have a right to express their thoughts and feelings about what they want their children to be taught. What is out of bounds, though, is the effort not to debate the goals of education, but to harass and intimidate school board members and teachers, including through the threat of violence — which marks this movement as one in which parents are not so much arguing in good faith for certain educational standards for their children, as asserting their right to a style of fascist politics in which might makes right and the ultimate goal is to intimidate your opponents from fighting back or participating in a reasoned debate.  And when you add in the role of right-wing corporate groups encouraging this violence, a dark and damning picture emerges of the authoritarian threat we face.

The situation has become so bad that, a week and a half ago, Attorney General Merrick Garland directed “the F.B.I. and U.S. attorneys’ offices to meet with local officials over the next month to coordinate a response to the threats,” and noted that such actions “are not only illegal, they run counter to our nation’s core values.”  For once, the Biden administration seems to be acting with dispatch against clearly illicit right-wing agitation against American society.

Garland’s order also had the benefit of fleshing out the relationship between GOP elected officials and the illiberal effort to intimidate schools on basic matter of public health and the teaching of American history.  Senator Mitch McConnell pretended that Garland had ordered federal law enforcement to suppress parental free speech, writing to the attorney general that, “Parents absolutely should be telling their local schools what to teach. This is the very basis of representative government.”  McConnell’s misdirection, by cutting out reference to the actual violence and harassment that prompted Garland’s action, effectively gives cover and encouragement to that violence and harassment by pretending it’s not happening, and that the U.S. government is engaging in tyrannical overreach.  McConnell was not alone in his highly misleading condemnation; Florida Governor Ron DeSantis essentially echoed the senator, stating that, “Florida will defend the free speech rights of its citizens and will not allow federal agents to squelch dissent.”  Rather than joining the attorney general in condemning violence against civil servants and educators, both McConnell and DeSantis promoted a false story about a federal crackdown on parents that will likely encourage even more violence and intimidation.

McConnell and DeSantis provide further, chilling evidence that the Republican Party now sees violence as key to its political future, and that supposed grassroots efforts to intimidate opposition to this authoritarian party and movement have the protection of GOP leaders.   This is a high-risk strategy, depending greatly on the reluctance of journalists and media outlets to fully report on the party’s embrace of violence, and willingness to accept statements like McConnell’s and DeSantis’ at face value, rather than the dog whistles to further violence that they are.

Such politicians are also depending on the Biden administration and Democrats not to press this case.  It’s notable that Garland’s effort to confront what is essentially right-wing violence has provoked efforts by GOP leaders to provide cover for this violence.  This is yet another piece of evidence that we are no longer in the realm of peaceful democratic competition between our two major parties, and that the Democrats had better quickly form a coherent and comprehensive strategy for dealing with the fact that the GOP sees violence as just another tool in the toolbox, just as the party has also decided that subversion of elections is an acceptable way to gain power.

Paradoxically, the perceived need to resort to violence and harassment of their opponents, as dangerous as it is for American politics and society, is also the ultimate sign of the basic weakness and failure of the contemporary GOP, and of the roots of the authoritarian movement that has overtaken it.  Lacking majority support for morally reprobate ideas like white supremacism and vaccine resistance, enforcing such beliefs through the rule of the gun and rigging our elections system are the remaining, twinned ways forward.

How to End an Insurrection

Through the course of this year, I’ve tried to argue that the single most important fact of American politics is that the right-wing insurrection that burst into view on January 6 never ended, but has continued on multiple fronts to this very day.  At its dark heart is the contention by most GOP elected officials, the Republican base, and right-wing media that the Democrats stole the 2020 presidential election from Donald Trump.  This purported theft of an election has been used as justification for unprecedented efforts by GOP state lawmakers not only to suppress the votes of Democratic-leaning voters, but to manipulate formerly non-partisan activities like the counting of votes.  

One basic reason that the term “insurrection” is the proper description for these efforts, rather than, say, just for the violence perpetrated by the thousands of Trump supporters who stormed the Capitol on January 6, is because they are based on the rejection of the verified 2020 election results.  This is not simply hardball or dirty politics; there is simply no difference between rejecting election results and rejecting American democracy.  The clincher is that this Republican movement that rejects American democracy is simultaneously putting in motion plans to capture power even if it gets less votes, through manipulation of those elections.

There has been a lot of great reporting on the various GOP maneuvers, but this recent piece by Robert Kagan is a standout for its clear summary of the various elements of this anti-democratic movement and the dangers it poses.  Kagan also effectively elucidates perhaps the central reason why so many people are having trouble clearly seeing what amounts to the greatest crisis of American democracy since the Civil War (which itself is arguably part of our crisis): 

With the party firmly under his thumb, Trump is now fighting the Biden administration on separate fronts. One is normal, legitimate political competition, where Republicans criticize Biden’s policies, feed and fight the culture wars, and in general behave like a typical hostile opposition.

The other front is outside the bounds of constitutional and democratic competition and into the realm of illegal or extralegal efforts to undermine the electoral process. The two are intimately related, because the Republican Party has used its institutional power in the political sphere to shield Trump and his followers from the consequences of their illegal and extralegal activities in the lead-up to Jan. 6.

Kagan neatly describes the dissimulation at the heart of our crisis: GOP politicos continue to behave as the “legitimate political” opposition, even as simultaneously condone efforts to undo democracy itself.  This doubleness of the GOP approach, so clearly stated, in turn illuminates the parallel crisis we are also experiencing: the failure of the Democratic Party to acknowledge and confront the basic insurrectionary nature of the GOP, and instead to continue engaging with the Republican Party as if its sole identity were that of a GOP practicing “normal, legitimate political competition.”

This blindness has also undermined the Democrats’ ability to effectively respond to the ongoing covid pandemic.  The idea that Republican governors and other elected officials would oppose covid mitigation measures out of a desire to harm the Biden presidency and the Democrats’ prospects in 2022 and beyond seemed beyond the pale to most Democrats at the beginning of the year; yet at this late stage it seems unquestionable, given GOP criticism of Biden’s inability to quell the spread of the virus, that many in the GOP view their ability to prolong the pandemic, and its accompanying economic malaise, as key to their hopes of reclaiming the House and Senate in 2022.  Indeed, the GOP’s sabotage of efforts to control the coronavirus — such as by opposing masking and vaccination mandates — is arguably another front in their insurrection against American democracy, an effort to hobble Democratic governance so that they are better positioned to press forward an authoritarian playbook amidst the resulting public disillusionment and economic disarray.

I note the GOP’s malpractice around covid because it helps us understand the limits to viewing the GOP’s insurrection as “merely” a matter of the Republican Party attempting to subvert the levers of government to maintain power despite only being supported by a minority of the American electorate.  It’s a glaring example of how the GOP plays by an entirely different rule book that reaches beyond opposition to democracy, to encompass even the sacrifice of public health in the pursuit of power — including, increasingly, the disproportionate suffering of Republican-leaning voters and their families, as the pandemic increasingly ravages unvaccinated, red-shaded areas of the country.  And it is of a piece with the GOP’s increasing use of violence and intimidation to achieve its political ends, such as in the various efforts at the county level to intimidate both election and public health officials at public hearings — behavior that has now resulted in a request by AG Merrick Garland that the FBI begin addressing the issue.

Because the GOP’s assault on democracy and the common good extends far beyond attempt to subvert the gears of power, the proper response must do so as well.  Ironically, because Kagan’s piece is so effective at describing the Trumpist-Republican uprising as an attack on the mechanisms of government, it’s helped me see how this is an insufficient way to view our crisis.  After all, even if the Democrats in Congress were somehow able to pass legislation that prevented voter suppression and partisan gerrymandering, this would only blunt the right-wing political onslaught, and perhaps only temporarily, as repeal of these laws would always be a lost election away.

This is not to say that opposing and defeating GOP election subterfuge shouldn’t be the highest priority of Democrats — it certainly should be, and count me among those who are somewhat maddened that the party didn’t seek election reforms just as soon as Biden and the new Congress took office, when the depredations of the Trump years and the ignominy of January 6 were still relatively fresh in the public consciousness.  But there is still time for them to do right, and political interest alone should impel Democrats to protect free and fair elections in 2022 and beyond, once they have worked through the rollicking sausage-making party of the Build Back Better and bipartisan infrastructure bills.  

But it’s imperative to recognize that the GOP’s election sabotage is the spear-tip of a broader movement — a movement that sees Donald Trump as its figurehead and leader, as Kagan rightly emphasizes, but that also extends far beyond him.  The fascistic hero worship may be new, but the essential authoritarianism so central to this movement is vintage GOP, a strain found from the Nixon presidency and its emphasis on law and order, through the modeling of George W. Bush as a wartime president, through its recent Trumpian incarnation and the resurgence of overt law and order rhetoric and substance.  Deeply intertwined with the authoritarianism is a deep misogyny that was previously glimpsed in right-wing opposition to the Equal Rights Amendment and more recent GOP indifference to providing childcare that might allow mothers to provide for their families without risking exhaustion and penury.  There is also an enormous strain of Christianist belief, that sees the United States as an exclusively Christian nation, and yearns to blur the separation of church and state to privilege the beliefs of this particular religion.

But at its glowing toxic core, burning away many of the conflicts of its adherents (such as class and religious denomination), is a fundamental commitment to white supremacy, a tribal vision of the United States in which the only real Americans are white Americans, and in which non-whites are seen alternately as resources to be exploited, criminals to be demonized, or competitors to be neutralized.  As the American population grows more diverse, white Americans feel their status increasingly threatened (indeed, polls show that most white Americans believe they are no longer a majority in the country, even though demographers predict that shift is still decades away).  

Recognizing the white supremacist, authoritarian movement that is powering the specific anti-democratic actions rightly calls into question the sufficiency not only of the Democratic response that aims to fix and strengthen our election procedures, but of the tacit Biden administration response that the key way to win future elections is by ensuring broad prosperity among working class and middle-class Americans.  These two Democratic strategies aim to empower and engage the Democratic majority that already exists in this country (7 of the last 8 elections having seen the Democratic president win the popular vote); the second in particular also aims to persuade some percentage of Republican voters to reward the Democrats for bringing them financial security.  Overall, this strategy is the stuff of regular politics, indistinguishable from what would be ideal were the party not facing an authoritarian nemesis.

Yet the very reasonableness and rationality of this approach, its basic conservatism, do not adequately respond to the challenge of an energized, reactionary GOP movement, in which a huge chunk of the electorate believes that its status and livelihoods are endangered so long as Democrats, and Democratic voters, hold power.  This approach by Democrats does not fully recognize the conscious solidarity that so many Republicans have with each other, and the degree to which the vision of common prosperity promised by the Democrats might be seen as a threat to their relative status.  How can millions of Trump voters consider the Democrats to be good for them if, even though they themselves might prosper in absolute terms, brown and black Americans appear to be catching up to them in relative terms of wealth and power?  To much of the Trump base, what most Democratic politicians and voters would consider an ideal vision of America would constitute not just failure, but an increased threat to them, the culmination of their worst fears.  Beyond the racial element, Democratic governance that promotes gender equality will surely arouse resistance from the misogynists of the GOP, while a defense of secularism and an ecumenical attitude toward religions will validate Christianist concerns that godless atheism is on the march.

Likewise, a Democratic approach of “normal” politics risks lulling the Democratic base and Democratic-leaning independents into a false sense of, well, normalcy.  Behavior like continuing to fetishize bipartisan legislation — such as with the “hard” infrastructure bill whose fate is being decided even as I write this — and otherwise acting as if congressional Republicans were not providing cover for their renegade confederates in state capitols who are busily rolling back voting rights and doing what they can to lock in permanent power — is a grotesquely unwarranted gift to the GOP.  In the mistaken name of dialing down the temperature or other such nonsense, the Democrats are telling their own voters that it might be fine to vote for the GOP at some point, or at least that it doesn’t totally matter if they show up to vote for the Democrats.  The reality is this: so long as the GOP is embarked on a mission to secure minority rule in America, it will never be fine to cast a vote for this authoritarian party.  Any messaging otherwise supports authoritarianism, and even (indirectly) abets the ongoing insurrection, by helping the GOP falsely cloak itself under the guise of republican virtue.

It is not just that the Republicans intend to subvert democracy so that they can hold power even when they aren’t supported by majorities, as bad as that subversion would be.  It is that they would then be able to enact laws that would attempt to impose the substance of their movement on the nation, beyond its anti-democratic dimensions — a regressive, hateful vision of misogyny, race hatred, and a twisted religious outlook that has very little to do with the basic teachings of Christianity itself, all united in a push to elevate the Republican base while punishing and diminishing the diverse Democratic majority.  This basic fact seems sometimes to be lost in the discussions that emphasize the importance of defending free and fair elections.  It is not just that power gained in such a way would be illegitimate; the governance and policies that would follow would embody racist, anti-egalitarian principles that are fundamentally opposed by a majority of Americans.  

Given the stakes, Democrats and other defenders of American democracy can’t confine themselves to confronting only Republican legislation: they need to attack head on the foul ideologies of Trumpist authoritarianism — to name them, to make them explicit, and to expose them to the scrutiny of justice, reason, and solidarity.  The goal of this attack is to discredit and demolish these ideas in the public sphere, as far as can be effected.  In this sense, Democrats need to discard prior notions of political competition.  They don’t just need to win elections — they need to win the battle of ideas.

To do this, it’s not enough to define and dismantle Trumpist ideas, as important as that task is.  It’s equally pressing that Democrats publicly articulate the positive, egalitarian worldview that underlies much of Biden’s economic and social agenda — the idea that no matter your race, wealth, gender, sexual identity, or physical ability, our government and our society will help lift you up, will help you contribute to your own development, and in turn to contribute to the common good.  Far from being a “radical” or “communist” idea, as the GOP will doubtless continue to assert, these values are arguably simply the basic ideas of any healthy community.

As both an example of what I’m suggesting, and as a central issue in and of itself, Democrats need to publicly discuss the changing demographics of American society, in which white Americans constitute a decreasing share of the population.  This basic demographic fact has supercharged white identity politics, to the point that observers have noted that Donald Trump was the first president in modern times to more or less explicitly portray himself as the president of white America, as the instrument of their fears and grievances.  Suppressing or failing to acknowledge the psychic importance of this change to the collective white psyche will only empower those politicians and media figures who wish to amplify white fears through fearmongering and neo-Nazi “white replacement” craziness.  Rather, the Democrats needs to talk about these changes, to facilitate open and honest public discussion, and ultimately to give voice to the enormous potential of these changes: that a more diverse, more egalitarian America will lift all Americans, that diversity will strengthen us, that more democracy will benefit the vast majority of Americans.  The grander the vision, the better — after all, the U.S. has the chance to be a shining example to the rest of the world, a multi-ethnic democracy that models a democratic future for nations everywhere.  This goal is something to proclaim, to shine like a beacon against the tribalism and cruelty of Trumpism in the U.S. and the welter of fascist and authoritarian movements abroad.

The objective is not just to persuade Americans of a vision that can unite us, but to essentially raise the consciousness of Americans so that they see themselves as part of a vast and historic movement; that they see Americans with whom they otherwise might not feel a connection as fellow citizens in a grand civic enterprise.  Even as the GOP activates white tribalism and works to turn Americans against each other, Democrats should ceaselessly work to remind Americans that they are already part of a greater nation than the Republican Party can ever offer — one where America isn’t hobbled by white supremacy or “makers versus takers” rhetoric, but includes everyone who wants to be a part of it.

By clearly articulating — and working toward — a clear vision of a democratic, egalitarian America, the Democratic Party also sets itself up to confront the worst case scenario that we can no longer discount as a remote possibility: that Republican election subversion will result in the GOP gaining control of Congress and the presidency in coming years, and that the party will then employ that control to cement its position in a way that shuts the Democrats and any other opposition out of power permanently.  By articulating a clear line in the sand now as to what is and is not legitimate democratic behavior, and of an unbridled vision of American democracy and society, the Democrats will better position themselves to remove the GOP from power through a combination of de-legitimization, mass resistance, and moral suasion. For the good of the country, Democrats need to be playing a long game.

Democrats on the Verge

For anyone who cares about the economic and political future of the United States, or the survival of human life on planet earth, the last week has been a real nail biter.  With razor-thin control of both the House and Senate, Democrats have appeared to be teetering at the edge of failure to pass legislation that could meaningfully reform the American economy and set us more solidly on a path to decarbonization.  I’ll confess to being deeply stressed by the see-sawing struggle between House moderates and progressives, and by the prospect that either Senator Joe Manchin or Senator Kristyn Sinema might single-handedly gut the Democrats’ best efforts.  On the economic front, the U.S. badly needs both “hard” infrastructure spending on things like bridges and roads, and “soft” infrastructure like child care and education that will help Americans in their daily work lives for the long-term good of the country.

But the nearer-term political consequences of failure could also be catastrophic.  If the Democrats cannot get the bulk of their economic agenda passed, it will create a strong headwind against the party in the 2022 midterms, demoralizing the party’s base and clearing the way for GOP takeover of the House and Senate.  This, in turn, would energize the authoritarian movement that has consumed the Republican Party, encouraging a new wave of anti-democratic actions across GOP states, while also crippling President Biden’s ability to get anything substantive done in the lead-up to the 2024 election.

Counterintuitively, though, the Democrats’ agonized push to not only pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill, but the much larger Build Back Better Act with its broad mix of economic and social spending, signals a positive, profound shift in the direction of the party.  As much as I might lament that Biden and other Democrats chose to make bipartisan cooperation a priority for the infrastructure bill, the fact that the vast majority of Democrats are on board with passing Democrats-only-backed legislation in the BBB Act is a huge deal.

If anything, the party has been underselling the boldness of this legislation, which represents not just a vision of greater economic equality and productivity, but also an accompanying democratic vision.  By mobilizing the power of government to support the economic well-being of ordinary Americans, the BBB Act represents democracy in action, as it serves the majority who put the Democrats in power to serve their interests.  And at another level, increasing the economic power of lower and middle class Americans will also increase their political power relative to the millionaire and billionaire classes that have twisted so much of American politics to their priorities.

Democratic leaders, and Democratic voters, should not lose sight of the fact that the policies they’re trying to enact are broadly popular among the American citizenry, and that these policies in fact are the legislative outcome of a de facto social movement, as fragmented as it might be, towards greater social and economic justice in this country.  One of my personal revelations in recent years has been that our society, economy, and democracy have been profoundly crippled by the suppression of individual opportunity, often based on lines of race and class.  Of course, this has only been my personal revelation because these ideas have been discussed, analyzed, and propounded by many, many sociologists, historians, and activists, whose ideas, with the power of truth, have filtered into public consciousness and seized the imagination of increasing numbers of Americans, opening our eyes to the reality around us.  

This means that whatever the outcome of the current legislative negotiations, there must be no backing down from the far-reaching goals that most Democratic senators and representatives now support.  The fight against climate change strikes me as the single most non-negotiable element in the current legislation.  We are at the point where it is reasonable to treat not only climate change deniers, but those who have no plan to combat climate change, as simply insane, and irrelevant to the public discussion.  Reality is on the side of the Democrats — as is also the case for legislation that makes the economy fairer, and treats ordinary Americans as deserving the backing and full faith of their government.

The fraught negotiations also reinforce how Democrats need to keep the fight for American democracy, and against GOP authoritarianism, front and center.  Even as the Democrats have effectively worked to normalize the GOP by prioritizing the importance of a bipartisan infrastructure bill, the Republican Party has continued down its path towards political radicalization, with state legislatures continuing their assault on voting rights and fair elections.  The fact that the Democratic House majority is so narrow is due in part to Republican gerrymandering and voter suppression, creating the illusion that the Democratic Party is less popular that it is; if the Democrats are to push even more ambitious legislation in the future, they can only do so by ensuring free and fair elections going forward.  There can be no economic advances without advances in democracy.  

Energy Imbalance

Recently, The Hot Screen has become fairly obsessed with a fundamental fault line in our politics: even as the GOP base and elected officials urge each other on to greater and greater opposition to American democracy, in a clear cycle of radicalization, Democratic leaders continue to respond sluggishly to this crisis, and have so far appeared either unwilling or unable to energize the Democratic base to provide a countervailing force against a rising tide of Republican authoritarianism.  Even if Democrats manage to pass some version of voting protections, which I am not at all counting out, and which could help turn back the tide of gerrymandering and voting restrictions passed by GOP state governments since the start of the year, this would still leave unaddressed the question of how to ensure Democrats and independents surge to the polls in 2022 and beyond.

At Talking Points Memo, David Kurtz has a concise but striking post on a new CNN poll that documents what Kurtz refers to as the “urgency gap” between rank-and-file Democrats and Republicans on the matter of America’s democracy crisis.  When asked whether democracy is under attack, some 75% of Republican voters said yes, while only 46% of Democrats responded in the affirmative.  Assessing these and other results of the poll, Kurtz writes:

We often talk about the enthusiasm gap in electoral politics, but we now face an urgency gap. Republicans under Trump have not only succeeded in selling the lie that Democrats are out to destroy democracy, they’ve got Republicans more stoked about it than Democrats are about the verified, believe-your-own-eyes threat to democracy that reached its current pinnacle with a GOP-led violent attack on the Capitol to subvert an election.

[. . .] [T]hat polling question is a strong signal that rank-and-file Democrats are taking their cues from the slow-footed, ambivalent, conflicted response of elected Democrats – not the other way around (though it probably functions as a self-reinforcing feedback loop).

This is such a great, pithy encapsulation of the perverse phenomenon I’ve been trying to document over the past several months, in which the GOP is just much more enthused about overthrowing democracy than Democrats are about defending it.  Kurtz is dead-on that this polling supports the contention that Democratic officials are failing to communicate the stakes to their constituents.  Why this might be the case, and how to resolve this “urgency gap” (itself a useful shorthand for describing this issue), are interrelated issues that desperately need to be addressed if we are to effectively defend democracy in this country.

First, to be fair, I think the Biden administration, and by extension its allies in Congress, are in something of a bind in responding to Republican radicalism.  Biden built his candidacy on restoring both normalcy and partisan comity to America after the horrors of the Trump years.  While this hardly stopped him from savaging the former president during the campaign, or from criticizing the GOP, it did set out a framework for how Joe Biden would proceed to govern.  Unlike his predecessor, the new president would not be stirring the pot of American politics on a daily basis, would not be not amping up his political rhetoric and fomenting cultural war conflict.  The new president would also look to the GOP as an equal, legitimate partner in government, both as part of his mission to turn down the political temperature, and out of the reality of a closely-divided House and even more closely-divided Senate.

In theory, Biden’s strategy made sense, not just for the good of the country, but for the good of the Democrats.  A politics that is less emotional, less angry, would open up space for Democrats’ traditional strategy of appealing to voters’ rational, material interests: by stopping the coronavirus and reviving the economy, Democrats would bring tangible benefits to the great majority of Americans set back or threatened by the covid-Trump economy.  And the massive government spending contemplated under the Build Back Better act could reasonably be anticipated to act as both symbol and substance of a new sort of politics, in which a powerful government role in promoting broad-based prosperity and equality could energize not only Democratic-leaning voters, but begin to peel away GOP voters who benefitted from the legislations’ manifold programs.  It’s also important to note that the emphasis on climate change-related spending could also reasonably be expected to reap political dividends from the increasing numbers of voters who prioritize the fight against global warming.

Given all this, why should it matter if there’s an urgency gap between Democratic and Republican voters on the question of whether our democracy itself is badly in need of being defended?  If the Democrats can win without their voters being as riled up about defending democracy as GOP voters are about upending it, what’s the problem?

The approach of attracting votes by benefitting voters’ material circumstances gives short shrift to some glaring realities.  First, in state after state, Republicans have worked assiduously since last year’s elections to ensure that the nightmare of majority rule is not repeated.  From extreme gerrymanders based on the 2020 census results, to voter suppression aimed at primarily Democratic constituencies, to efforts to subvert the mechanisms of elections and the counting of votes, the GOP is rewriting the rules of democracy in favor of locking in permanent Republican power, impervious to the will of the voters.  As writers like Brian Beutler and others have been hammering, it really doesn’t matter if most voters want to reward Democrats for the economic good they’ve done if the GOP ensures that their votes don’t count.  You can’t benefit from the support of the majority if the opposition party subverts majority rule.  Just as it’s self-defeating for the Democrats not to prioritize protection of elections, it's also self-defeating for them to discourage, or at least not to activate, a sense of urgency among Democratic rank and file that could pressure hesitant Democrats to support voting rights legislation, as well as incentivize grassroots involvement that could counteract GOP efforts to subvert election machinery at the state and local levels.

Second, Democratic over-emphasis on American politics as a limited contest between GOP and Democratic visions for providing Americans with material benefits badly undersells the stakes of elections in 2022 and beyond.  The GOP and its base are driven not simply by a false sense that Democratic-leaning voters and Democrats are taking away their job prospects and wealth (e.g., the Democrats are “socialists” trying to redistribute wealth from the “makers” to the “takers”), but more broadly by a white grievance politics that increasingly sees all possible measures as being on the table to stop the growing cultural and political power of non-white Americans, and to restore the social and economic preeminence of white Americans.  Throw in the deeply-rooted misogyny of the GOP and the avowed belief in America as a Christian nation, and top it off with the GOP’s barbaric opposition to science and reason, and it’s easy to see that America’s deepest conflicts are rooted in conflicting systems of values and morality, not in what party can best bring home the bacon.

I would contend that GOP voters see these full stakes more clearly than Democratic voters, and that they’re reflected in the CNN poll results cited above; after all, it’s not simply that Republicans believe the lie that the Democrats stole the 2020 election, but that they increasingly believe it’s actually unacceptable that Democrats might have won, since Democratic governance — governance by a party that supports the equal political rights of non-white Americans — is illegitimate on its face.  In this way, the fight over “American democracy” is as much a struggle over which Americans can be considered actual members of this democracy, as it is over whether or not non-white Americans can effectively exercise their right to vote.

So how to close the urgency gap, given the underlying stakes of our political conflict?  I generally think that Democrats are mistaken in not more explicitly discussing the demographic shifts that are supercharging the white supremacism and white insecurity that have always been present in American society.  This has left the field wide open for the GOP alone to define these changes in a way that appears maximally threatening to white voters — to portray them as unambiguously threatening to the social status and economic security of white Americans.  Counterintuitively, even as Democrats have largely chosen not to overtly discuss the demographic changes sweeping America — perhaps out of fear of alienating some of their own white voters or adding credence to GOP voters’ fear and anxiety — they have arguably abetted Republican efforts to exploit these fears.

Ironically, the counter-narrative is not difficult to articulate, and has the benefit of being grounded in reality: that America is strengthened by its diversity; that an economy in which everyone is able to contribute will create national wealth that will lift all boats; and that a politics in which all may participate on an equal footing represents a moral vision in keeping with the best traditions of this country.

It feels absolutely bonkers to me that, in the midst of a titanic struggle over the direction and nature of American democracy — indeed, a struggle over whether we’re to be a democracy at all — the Democratic Party would shy away from trying to define the roots and reality of this struggle, particularly when their opponents have no qualms about doing so.  And after the insanity of the Trump years, when we got a preview of the authoritarianism, unbridled white supremacism, incompetence, and violence that will surely ensue should the current GOP ever regain full national power, this reluctance moves from the category of incomprehensible to borderline incompetence.

This is why recent signs that the Biden administration and Democrats may be seizing on the Republicans’ sabotage of the covid fight as a path to energizing the Democratic Party’s base leave me with a mixture of hope and ambivalence.  As Greg Sargent argues, California Governor Gavin Newsom’s resounding defeat of the Republican recall effort was based not only on foregrounding Democrats’ tough measures against the coronavirus, but also because “Newsom and Democrats [. . .] aggressively prosecuted the case against conservative and Republican radicalization when it comes to resisting public health measures.”  Sargent continues: “A big question here is whether the derangement of Republicans around covid could be a kind of substitute energizer for Democratic voters at a time when Trump — who supercharged turnout among those types of voters in the 2018 and 2020 elections — is not on the ballot.”

In other words, making an issue of GOP covid sabotage can be seen as a way to make the case against the GOP’s broader incompetence and authoritarian tendencies, in a way that many Americans could not only easily understand, but that also riles them up emotionally and so boosts the likelihood they will vote Democratic in 2022.  My hesitation is not that I don’t think this is an effective argument — it’s no exaggeration to argue that the Republicans have the blood of hundreds of thousands of Americans on their hands due to their lies and propaganda around covid — but that it potentially gets the Democrats off the hook from articulating an even broader indictment against the GOP, and an even broader vision for Democratic governance.  Persuading voters that the GOP will inflict mass death through disease on the country should they return to power could well be a powerful motivator in 2022; but will it counter the reality that GOP voters themselves are energized by the very tribalism represented by the GOP’s unabashed covid policies, in which literally dying to own the libs is now part of the party’s playbook?  

But the apparent effectiveness (in California at least) of emphasizing GOP radicalism via the specific issue of the covid fight does suggest to me that the Democrats may be well served by making the broader case against GOP authoritarianism, white supremacism, and anti-science tribalism through concrete, readily-grasped real world examples beyond the important but limited matter of pandemic malpractice.  It’s probably too much to ask that Joe Biden lead seminars on how exactly white supremacism has poisoned the souls of millions of Republican voters; but I don’t think it’s too much for him and other Democrats to say explicitly that a country in which millions of Americans aren’t able to work up to their potential makes the whole country poorer, that the GOP’s anti-science attitudes that undermine the global warming fight are deeply linked to the party’s belief in the inferiority of non-whites, and that the party’s obsession with banning abortion is profoundly linked to white supremacist ideas of white women not producing enough babies to outnumber the brown hordes.  Challenging the GOP’s zero-sum racist thinking — if black or brown people have more power, white people are threatened—can’t be left unchallenged, or be handled merely by indirect approaches.

Twenty Years After 9/11, Will the U.S. Finally Confront the Folly of the War on Terror?

The 20th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks seems to have catalyzed a broad assessment among even middle-of-the-road political observers that the overall American response to the attacks has had dire consequences that stretch far beyond foreign policy, warping the fabric of American life and the nature of our politics.  I’ve been startled to read pieces like this one by Stephen Collinson at the CNN website, which includes the observation that, “[T]he thousands of deaths and injuries in foreign wars, the trillions of dollars spent on nation building, fury at Washington elites and prejudice against Islam brewed a pool of resentment ripe for a demagogue. And along came Donald Trump.”  Even George W. Bush seemed to gesture at the connection between the war and the rise of political extremism in the U.S., though I doubt that Bush would ever accept responsibility for this terrible domestic development.  No doubt the coincidence of the American withdrawal from Afghanistan just weeks ago has focused minds and attention in a way that the 20th anniversary alone may not have — as has the recent publication of Spencer Ackerman’s Reign of Terror: How 9/11 Destabilized America and Produced Trump, which has created a strong framework for critical thinking about 9/11 and the war on terror. 

I haven’t done any sort of exhaustive reading of 9/11 commentary over the past few weeks, but I’ve read some excellent and informative pieces discussing the folly of the global war on terror, including the above-mentioned piece by Collinson; this damning essay by Garrett Graff; this very Vox-like piece at Vox by Dylan Matthews evaluating whether the global war on terror has been worth the cost; and interviews of Spencer Ackerman by Sean Illing, Chris Hayes, and Ezra Klein that provide a good distillation of Ackerman’s Reign of Terror.  

However, there are several points that I haven’t seen given the attention they merit, particularly in mainstream coverage of the 20th anniversary of 9/11; collectively, I believe these under-discussed threads help explain, at least in part, why the dire consequences of 9/11 continue to ramify even as consciousness of the ill effects of the war on terror has never been higher. 

First, the continued insistence that Americans were “unified” for some time after 9/11 confuses the collective horror and resulting activation of basic patriotic sentiment (“we’re all in this together”) with how the Bush administration quickly warped this unity into a cudgel to attack its political opponents and build support for the disastrous war in Iraq (“you’re either with us or against us”).  It is the difference between an organic sense of feeling united in the face of a great horror and harm, and a political administration consciously constructing a politics in which to oppose the administration was to oppose America.  In the months and years after 9/11, the latter form of unity quickly replaced the former.  And in the way that the Bush administration channeled remaining feelings of solidarity into a thirst for revenge to support its political goals, whatever sense of unity remained became indistinguishable from embracing a dark and unhealthy set of impulses that included rage, paranoia, and bloodlust.

The perversion of American unity points to a second aspect of 9/11’s aftermath that remains deeply repressed: despite the very real Bush administration interest in using the attacks to enact a vision of America as a sort of hyperpower astride the globe, the administration and its allies in the Republican Party were even more enraptured by how they could ride conquest and perpetual war into dominance in American politics.  Promoting the idea that anyone who opposed the Bush administration’s radical decisions to occupy Afghanistan and invade Iraq was disloyal and un-American wasn’t just a way to maintain support for its foreign adventures; it was a way to shape American politics so that to oppose the Bush administration on any issue was to oppose America itself.  A central goal was to stomp the living bejesus out of the Democrats by either making them passive bystanders of the Bush vision, or into despicable enemies of America; either way, the GOP would come out ahead.  The ultimate distillation of this strategy was Bush’s now-infamous declaration of victory in Iraq a mere two months after the American invasion, in which a “Mission Accomplished” banner was unfurled across the bridge of the USS Abraham Lincoln as Bush landed on the carrier’s flight deck and announced the end of major combat operations in that country.  The fact that Bush’s use of war as a conscious political strategy ended up backfiring, as the disaster of Iraq became impossible to deny, renders his form of hypernationalist, authoritarian politics no less despicable.

Twenty years on, the country also seems unwilling to admit the basic immorality at the heart of the war on terror ignited by 9/11: the idea that any number of non-Americans, whether terrorists or civilians, can legitimately be killed so long as it’s done in the name of keeping Americans safe.  In a better country, the nature of the 9/11 attacks would have led to the opposite conclusion: that the only way to respond to such barbarism was to avoid mirroring the terrorists’ own inhumanity at all costs, to do everything possible to make sure that the only people harmed in the American response were those who deserved it, and to take every precaution to avoid the loss of civilian life.  The brutality and nihilism of al-Qaeda’s attacks called for any American response to repudiate indiscriminate violence.  Instead, the Bush administration determined to out-terrorize the terrorists, embarking on wars that to date have killed hundreds of thousands of innocents, displaced millions more, and consumed $8 trillion in U.S. spending.

The indifference to mass civilian death, not only by the war on terror's executors, but also by too many Americans, is closely linked to the essential racism of the war.  Brown-skinned people overseas are simply not considered fully human, or at least as human as Americans, which is a distinction without a difference.  This aspect of the war on terror remain broadly unacknowledged.

Finally, the war represented a tragic mis-assessment of the dangers most threatening the United States in the 21st century.  By elevating the threat posed by future Islamist terror attacks to an existential level, U.S. policymakers enmeshed the country in a global war on terror that continues to the present day, despite the withdrawal from Iraq and Afghanistan.  This war preoccupied the nation even as a true existential threat was allowed to gather force while the country dawdled: and so, in the two decades after 9/11, traumatic climate change moved from possibility to inevitability, as the U.S. and other nations of the world continued to emit carbon into the atmosphere without meaningful measures to slow or stop the damage.  Now the necessary response to climate change may yet involve a war-like mobilization of the United States, but of a far different kind than the global war on terror: one that seeks alliances and the input of friends; is based on the preservation and equality of all human life; and requires the dropping of not a single bomb.

Portland Mayor Does a Head-Spinning Reversal on Anti-Right Wing Gang Strategy

Recently I described the unfathomable decision by the Portland Police Bureau, with the support of Mayor Ted Wheeler, to allow far-right street gangs to brawl with counter-protestors on Portland streets without the intervention of law enforcement.  In the ensuing chaos, gunfire was exchanged between participants downtown, while neighbors in the Parkrose neighborhood were traumatized by rolling fights and property damage.

Amazingly, in the immediate aftermath of the violence, Wheeler insisted to the public that the police strategy had actually been a success.  As I wrote at the time, “It is startling that the mayor thinks that the terrorization of a Portland neighborhood counts as a success if actual casualties were confined to the brawlers.”

Now, weeks later, Wheeler has reversed his previous assertions that the police adopted the correct strategy.  At a city council meeting on Wednesday, he said that, “It is clear based on the public outcry, on the media outcry, on the national front, that that strategy was not the right strategy. I think we can all acknowledge that.  I take full responsibility for it.”  Oregon Public Broadcasting also reports that, “Wheeler said he’s asked the police bureau to provide a ‘thoughtful, dispassionate analysis’ of the bureau’s approach to the demonstrations.  ‘We’re still trying to find the right recipe,’ he said.”

While Wheeler’s acknowledgment of obvious error is welcome, it needs to be weighed against his nonsensical earlier response to the clear failure of the police strategy, as well as his mistaken endorsement of it prior to implementation.  It should not require a “public outcry, media outcry” for the mayor to recognize facts as plain as these.  Alongside reports that the PPB will be exempted from the covid vaccine mandate that supposedly applies to all city employees (according to OPB, this makes Portland the only major U.S. city with a special vaccination exemption for police officers), Wheeler seems once again unable to provide proper oversight or control over the police bureau he heads.  If the mayor is truly unable to direct Portland police to perform such an unobjectionable task as protecting Portland residents from terrorization by violent street gangs, he should seriously consider looking for another line of work.

Democrats Should Never Play Defense on Coronavirus Pandemic

For the duration of the coronavirus pandemic in the United States, the Republican Party has been incentivized to downplay the severity of the crisis and the necessity of an effective government response.  The former impulse has been driven by the party’s need to give cover to the former president’s catastrophic mishandling of the disease, the latter by the GOP’s knee-jerk opposition to activist governance and an ideology that privileges “keeping the economy open” over saving lives.  Neither of these observation should be controversial, as the evidence for them is overwhelming.

But after Joe Biden’s election, these two toxic streams merged with a third, poisonous torrent: the need to undermine a Democratic presidency by any means necessary.  Not only would waging a war against masking and giving tacit approval to vaccine resistance rile up the GOP base, it would have the real world effect of slowing America’s recovery from mass death and economic malaise.

The idea that the GOP would effectively undermine common-sense measures aimed at saving thousands of American lives in order to promote their political interests only sounds controversial or extreme if you ignore the bountiful evidence of the last nine months, not to mention the GOP’s sociopathic rhetoric on the coronavirus during the final, deadly year of the Trump administration.  And yet, the great majority of political observers, and certainly elected Democrats, have been deeply reluctant to discuss what is emerging as perhaps the most salient fact of American politics, or at least one that gives fierce competition to the GOP’s transformation into America’s authoritarian party: that in the great chess game of American politics, many Republican leaders have shown little hesitation in literally sacrificing American lives as pawns in a quest to retain and regain political power.

But as Greg Sargent discusses in a post at The Plum Line today, Democrats seem to be starting to grasp that they can no longer avoid a reckoning with the Republican Party’s deadly pro-covid policies.  He reports on a new Democratic congressional strategy memo that calls for foregrounding GOP sabotage on the coronavirus front: 

The memo from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee directly ties GOP extremism on covid to the health of the country — and, importantly, to our prospects for economic recovery and a return to normalcy.

“House Republicans have lied about its impact” and “dangerously rejected medical guidance to wear masks and social distance,” the memo says, adding that “extremist Republicans” have “even encouraged Americans to consume horse and cattle dewormer.”

House Republicans and GOP candidates have spread disinformation about the virus, have staged epic fake-outrage fests about mask mandates, have demagogued about vaccines in ridiculoushallucinogenic and obscenely wretched ways, and have pushed the rankest of absurdities to undermine confidence in federal health officials.

Crucially, Sargent notes that the Republican Party itself has made clear it intends to use President Biden’s purported failures on the coronavirus pandemic as a primary strategy in the 2022 midterms.  In other words, having worked assiduously to undermine the country’s response, the GOP now plans to turn around and place all the blame on the Democrats.  In this light, the Democrats would seem to have no choice but to go on offense to ensure voters understand the reality of the situation.  But beyond this, it’s hard to see how Democrats can make the case that they have addressed the pandemic if they also fail to make a case against the pandemic’s aiders and abettors in the GOP.   As Sargent says, doing so wouldn’t just be for the good of the party, but for the good of the country.

As Sargent summarizes, the memo could help Democrats move to making the case that “electing more Republicans to positions of responsibility right now would likely mean more economic malaise, sickness, misery and death.”  This would be exactly the right strategy.  In fact, I think there is little downside in staking out a maximalist position about the horrors that would await America should the GOP return to national power.  Foregrounding covid will likely be necessary as we get closer to the 2022 midterms, since even if we are past the worst of the pandemic we will still be dealing with its after effects and continued GOP sabotage.  But the GOP’s covid response also effectively highlights the broader moral, political, and intellectual turpitude of today’s Republican Party.  Any discussion of it can easily encompass the GOP’s increasing embrace of lawlessness (for example, as anti-masking protestors attempt to intimidate authorities like school boards); its opposition to democratic governance (witness the GOP governors who won’t allow Democratic-led cities to pass masking ordinances); its disregard for science (which, apart from covid, has its most disastrous consequences in the party’s refusal to accept the reality of human-driven climate change); and its assault on free and fair elections (“the GOP wants to suppress your vote so that they can pass policies that ensure covid will continue threatening your family’s health and your ability to work.”)

While such a Democratic strategy wouldn’t miraculously transform the thinking of most GOP stalwarts, the demonstrable case for GOP incompetence may manage to peel off Republican voters for whom the infliction of mass death on the country is a bridge too far.  As Ron Brownstein notes in an Atlantic piece about Democratic emphasis on covid and vaccines in the California recall and the Virginia governor’s race, “Democratic strategists [. . .] say the emphasis on vaccine and mask mandates, and the linkage of Republican candidates to Trump and the anti-mandate GOP governors, not only appeals to independent voters but also energizes the Democrats’ base.”  But more importantly, applying this strategy at a national level would help lay bare the true stakes of 2022 and other future political contests for Democratic and independent voters in a way that could truly energize turnout and mass political engagement.  In a nation where arguably the most pressing single issue is whether nihilistic, anti-science voices are able to convince sufficient numbers of Americans not to get vaccinated or use common-sense measures like masking, we are beyond even the usual highly-torqued stakes of recent American elections.

Disorder in the Court

Though the Supreme Court’s ruling last week effectively assenting to the near-total elimination of abortion in Texas is shocking for its destruction of women’s rights, it portends a broader, frightening assault by the Republican Party against the basics of liberal democracy and a free society.  Particularly unsettling to me is the court’s refusal to dismiss outright the Texas legislature’s particular approach to destroying women’s rights; under the law, individual citizens enforce the abortion restrictions via civil lawsuits, in what many observers are describing as a form of “vigilante” justice, turning individual citizens against each other and creating a system of snitching akin to that found in authoritarian regimes.  Even worse, citizens are incentivized to act under the law because they stand to be paid a $10,000 bounty for reporting those who break the law.  As Michelle Goldberg persuasively describes, this encouragement of vigilante justice is part and parcel of a wider movement in the GOP:

Today’s G.O.P. made a hero out of Kyle Rittenhouse, the young man charged with killing two people during protests against police violence in Kenosha, Wis. Leading Republicans speak of the Jan. 6 insurgents, who tried to stop the certification of an election, as martyrs and political prisoners.

Last year, Senator Marco Rubio praised Texas Trump supporters who swarmed a Biden campaign bus, allegedly trying to run it off the road: “We love what they did,” he said. This weekend in Pennsylvania, Steve Lynch, the Republican nominee in a county executive race, said of school boards that impose mask mandates, “I’m going in with 20 strong men” to tell them “they can leave or they can be removed.”

Over the last several years, Republicans have taken a number of steps to legalize various forms of right-wing intimidation. Several states have granted immunity to drivers who hit people protesting in the street. In some states Republicans have given partisan conspiracy theorists access to election equipment to search for ways to substantiate accusations of voter fraud. They’ve also passed laws empowering partisan poll watchers, who have a history of intimidating both voters and election worker.  

Goldberg places the Texas law squarely in this demented vein, describing how the law will allow citizens to harass and intimidate those who assist women in seeking an abortion.  The end result, not surprisingly, is that the threat of harassment will effectively end even the pretense of abortion rights left in Texas — if anyone can launch a lawsuit based on their gut feeling that a woman is getting an abortion after six weeks, how many people would run such a risk to help her?  Capping off the sinister construction, such vigilantism is aimed at overturning a right still ostensibly protected by Roe v. Wade, which the Texas law’s 6-week pregnancy rule obviously runs afoul of.

Tellingly, the Texas abortion law and other maneuvers that Goldberg describes are an explicit perversion of democratic norms.  Citizens are encouraged to become politically active — what would generally be a positive thing in a democracy! — yet their activism has anti-democratic ends, aimed as it is at intimidation and the suppression of the rights of their fellow citizens.  The GOP is increasingly comfortable with subordinating the rule of law to the rule of force.  The prime exhibit for me remains the GOP’s broad indifference, if not outright support for, the events of January 6, when a Republican president instituted a violent coup against the American government — yet as dark and dangerous as that day was, the idea of encouraging millions of Americans to take the law into their own hands will have still more catastrophic and long-lasting consequences for our country.

The Editorial Board’s John Stoehr makes complementary points to Goldberg’s about the Court ruling, arguing that it’s of a piece with a pervasive lawlessness in the GOP that encompasses not only vigilante justice, but governors and legislatures that pass laws to prevent local communities from anti-coronavirus mask mandates, a general opposition to gun control measures of any kind, and the secretive nature of the abortion ruling itself that was clearly intended to avoid the repercussions of abortion restrictions opposed by a strong majority of the American people.  Stoehr makes the key point that this ruling not only undermines the rule of law, but the basic trust necessary for our society to function, writing, “By putting a bounty on the heads of people who aid and abet abortion-seekers, the law creates a market for snitching, turning neighbor against neighbor, family against family, giving bad-faith actors something to gain from treachery. Instead of making law that incentivizes service to the common good, Texas made law that incentivizes the moral corruption of social bonds.”  He also points out how these dangerous effects intersect with the means of the Court’s ruling, which came via the “shadow docket” process wherein the Court declines to include either its reasoning or subject the decision to the arguments of outside counsel.

So what in isolation would have been merely a catastrophic move by the Supreme Court — more or less eliminating abortion rights for women in Texas — also brings into sharper, chilling focus the broader authoritarian movement that has overtaken the GOP.  We can argue about whether the seeds of authoritarianism were always latent in the modern Republican Party (and I would respond with a YES), but no objective observer can now say that this is a party that adheres to democratic norms and the ideals of a liberal democracy.  I never thought that an effective overturning of Roe v. Wade would potentially be overshadowed by how it illuminated even deeper dangers to our democracy, or be rivaled by the idea that the Supreme Court would give its approval to mob justice — and yet this is our disorienting reality (as Stoehr notes, the Court’s decision, “was done in the shadows, and because of that, the Supreme Court risks becoming, if it is not already, a font of lawlessness and disorder rather than a sentinel of lawfulness and order”).

The idea that not only Republican politicians, but now GOP-appointed Supreme Court justices, are building a quasi-legal framework that dismantles both the rule of law, and a free and fair society, fills me with dread, and doubly so because the Democrats and other supporters of democracy seem so far behind the curve in responding to this existential threat.  The Nation’s Elie Mystal has a great Twitter thread making just this point on the abortion front:

Not having a plan for this day, from either the WH or Congress, only "looking into federal options" or "planning to bring a bill to the floor" now, is ITSELF malpractice.  Texas passed this law in MAY.  Mississippi has it's own Roe killing law in front of SCOTUS NOW.  Did you think they were JOKING?  Did you think these conservatives who have spent a generation trying to take away abortion rights were going to STOP? [. . .]  The Executive Branch has "whole of government" action plans for everything from alien invasion to LOTS OF SNOW. But they *didn't* have something on file, ready to DEPLOY, the moment women's rights were attacked in this country, LIKE RED STATE REPUBLICANS HAVE PROMISED TO DO?

While there’s some small gratification in seeing the House move to pass legislation codifying Roe v. Wade, there’s no way such a law is going to pass the Senate — and so Mystal’s points gain even greater resonance.  The Supreme Court has just assaulted the basic human rights of millions of Americans, and there is no immediate plan by the White House to protect the right to abortion of Texas women in the here and now?  As frustrating as the lack of a plan is the predictability that Mystal highlights. As he says, so long as Roe v. Wade is the law of the land, the executive branch should be guaranteeing the right to an abortion, whatever smoke and mirrors the Court’s ruling has put up (Mystal has a piece in The Nation that elaborates on possible ways the Biden administration can continue to ensure that Texas women have access to abortion). 

Dispiritingly, the lack of a Democratic response to Republican moves on abortion is echoed across a much broader range of political conflict.  As the GOP essentially mobilizes vigilante movements against voting rights, where is the Democratic national legislation to defend free and fair elections?  As GOP legislatures pass laws allowing drivers to mow down Black Lives Matter protestors, where is the federal legislation strengthening the right to protest free of physical harm?  As right-wing extremists assault members of the media, where is the federal legislation that ensures that those who attack a free press go to jail?  A year out from civil rights protests often handled in brutal and repressive fashion by police, where is the federal legislation requiring that no members of white supremacist groups are able to join law enforcement?  As the GOP mobilizes against the basics of our democracy, it is incomprehensible to me that the Democrats are not using their main levers of power — the ability to pass and enforce laws — to repel this wave of violence and intimidation. 

The threat to Americans’ freedoms isn’t something vague lurking over the horizon; it’s actually happening, here and now.  As Ron Brownstein describes, multiple states controlled by Republicans have already enacted right-wing agendas, including legislation meant to retain power even against the will of the majority — an authoritarian vision put into everyday practice.  For Democrats not to respond to this with federal legislation undoing this assault on basic freedoms and majority rule is, again, self-defeating and incomprehensible to me.

Likewise, as I’ve written before, Democratic politicians’ unwillingness or inability to rally the democratic majority, to mobilize the citizenry to the (mostly symbolic) democratic ramparts by getting involved with local and state politics, and to pressure their elected officials to defend democracy, may be the single most glaring failure of the Democratic Party today.  In light of the reality that the GOP is mobilizing a mass vigilante movement against American democracy, the continued Democratic consensus that they must treat the GOP as equal, good-faith partners in American democracy seems increasingly suicidal.  The Democratic failure to properly describe and frame the stakes of American politics today is astonishing, and only becomes more so when you consider that the principles I’m talking about — free and fair elections, freedom from right-wing violence, the right of women to bodily autonomy, just to name a few — are the clear majority position in the U.S.  In fact, positions like the GOP’s anti-masking zealotry and refusal to acknowledge, let alone act on, climate change, lead to a reasonable conclusion that the modern Republican Party simply cannot be trusted to protect the lives or livelihoods of Americans.  Meanwhile, a more detailed case could be made that the GOP constitutes a retrograde movement that rejects modern life, science, and individual liberty in favor of a white supremacist, Christianist, male-dominated hierarchical society.  The GOP’s turn to lawlessness is ultimately a sign of weakness, not strength, and there is simply no excuse for the Democratic Party not to make the stakes of our political conflict as plain as day to the American people, and rally the support of a clear majority to reinforce and reconstruct a vital American democracy that serves us all.